After winter-like weather this week, most of Spring Break looks nice

Good morning. It’s cold, dreary, and rainy out there this morning, and we’re not going to warm up much today. And just as temperatures finally start to push back toward 70 degrees at the end of the work week, and even stronger front will arrive on Friday to plunge us back into deep winter this weekend. A freeze will even be possible for some locations. But looking ahead to next week, when most area kids will be on Spring Break, the weather takes a turn to the more moderate side. It looks, dare I say it, quite nice?

The high temperature forecast for Tuesday is not particularly high. (Weather Bell)

Tuesday

As expected, we’re seeing warmer air above thin layer of cold air at the surface, and this lifted moisture is generating light to moderate rainfall across much of the metro area. A few thunderstorms will also be possible this morning before we transition to more scattered, lighter showers this afternoon.

Overall, most areas probably will see about one-quarter to one-half inch of rain, but we can’t rule out some higher amounts for isolated areas. With gray skies, temperatures won’t warm much today, likely topping out in the upper 40s to low 50s for most areas. Lows tonight, generally, will drop into the low 40s, with any lingering showers ending.

If you’re headed to the Houston Livestock Show and Rodeo this evening to see Maren Morris, there is the possibility of some very light rain during the late afternoon and early evening hours, but at this point it looks like even these showers will move off shortly after sunset. Temperatures will be in the upper 40s on the way into the show, and only a degree or two colder afterward.

Wednesday

Skies should start to clear out on Wednesday, with this sunshine helping to warm temperatures to around 60 degrees. Lows Wednesday night should drop into the 40s for all but coastal areas.

Thursday

As stated Monday, this day will be the pick of the litter for outdoor activities this week. Expect sunny skies, highs in the mid-70s, and relatively light winds. Overnight lows drop into the 50s.

Friday

Friday should start out fairly warm, with temperatures rising into the 60s for most of Houston. Then we’ll be on the lookout to the northwest, for the next frontal passage. I still don’t feel great about pinpointing the timing of this one, which could pass through Houston anywhere from late morning to early evening. The front will likely have some rain with it, and while it looks like these will be fairly light, scattered showers, we cannot yet rule out the potential for some briefly heavier rainfall. After the front passes winds will quickly turn to come from the north, with gusts likely above 30 mph. Skies, too, will clear out pretty quickly allowing temperatures to plunge into the 30s by Saturday morning, with a freeze possible for some locations in and around Houston. We probably won’t have a clear idea of where the freezing line will be for a few more days.

Current low temperature forecast for Saturday morning. (Weather Bell)

Saturday and Sunday

The weekend looks chilly and sunny, with highs in the 50s on Saturday, another cold night in the 30s, and then highs in the 60s on Sunday.

Next week

This will be Spring Break for many children in the Houston area, including my own. The good news is that much of next week should feel like a really nice spring week. I’m betting on partly to mostly sunny skies for most days, with highs in the upper 70s, give or take. There’s also not too much in the way of rainfall, at least through the first half of the week, if not longer. Enjoy!

After a spring fling, winter returns for a dramatic encore this week

Good morning. Following a warm and humid weekend in the 80s, a cold front has moved through most of the Houston metro area overnight, and will soon push off the coast. This will set the stage for much colder weather this week. Then, just as we’re warming up, an even stronger front arrives on Friday. A freeze is probable for part of the Houston area, and possibly even the city itself.

Sunrise temperatures are much colder on Monday morning for most of our region. (Weather Bell)

Monday

Temperatures have fallen to about 50 degrees for inland areas this morning, and this colder air is moving south. Temperatures should stay in the 50s today for most of the region. Light rain is possible through the morning hours, but any showers should end by this afternoon as drier air moves into the region. The story for today will be gusty northerly winds, with brief bursts possibly exceeding 30 mph before conditions calm down somewhat this evening. Overnight lows should drop into the upper 40s for most of Houston, but not much further as skies remain overcast.

If you’re headed out to see Luke Bryan tonight at the Houston rodeo, wear something warm. Temperatures should be around 50 degrees before the show this evening, but winds probably will still be somewhat gusty. I don’t think precipitation will be an issue, however. Temperatures will be about the same after the show.

Tuesday

Tuesday won’t be much nicer. Highs will probably only reach the mid-50s or so, and we’ll add rain to the mix. Essentially there will be a thin layer of colder air at the surface, with warmer air riding up on this thin layer. This warmer air should lead to the development of fairly widespread showers, and a few thunderstorms, on Tuesday morning. Accumulations will probably range from 0.25 to 0.75 inch for most, but a few areas may see somewhat higher totals during the late morning and afternoon hours. Lows Tuesday night will drop into the mid-40s for most.

Wednesday

We can’t rule out some additional rain showers on Wednesday, but for most of us this should just be a partly to mostly cloudy day, with highs around 60 degrees. Clearing skies will allow overnight lows Wednesday night to drop into the low- to mid-40s.

Thursday

This should be a warmer day, with partly to mostly sunny skies and highs perhaps around 70 degrees. If you had to pick one day this week for outdoor activities, Thursday is definitely the day.

Low temperature forecast for Saturday morning. Temperatures subject to change. (Weather Bell)

Friday

Friday will start out warm, but at some point a strong cold front will barrel through. At this point I’d guess the timing is around noon, but there’s definitely some wiggle room in that. Some brief showers are possible with the front, but as dry air blows in any rain chances should quickly end as skies clear out. Lows Friday night will plunge, possibly into the mid-30s in Houston, possibly to freezing. It’s going to be fairly close, and at this point it’s impossible to say where the freezing line will be.

Saturday, Sunday, and beyond

Saturday should be sunny and cold, with highs likely in the 50s. Expect another cold night, with temperatures probably similar to Friday night. But by Sunday we should be warming back up, with highs in the 60s. Most of next week, in fact, should be in the 70s give or take.

Houston headed toward the low 80s this weekend

Humidity levels are starting to rise with a southerly flow across the region, and today will be the last day with moderately dry air before dewpoints rise into the 60s for the weekend. Temperatures will reach the low 80s by Sunday. Still, most outdoor activities should be fine for the next few days, with only fairly low chances for some light rain.

Parts of Texas are cold this morning, and parts of the state are not. (Weather Bell)

Thursday

Some parts of Houston are seeing a bit of fog this morning due to light winds and dewpoints matching temperatures, but this will burn off fairly quickly as the mercury rises this morning. The region is headed toward the mid- to upper-70s today, with partly sunny skies, and light winds from the southeast. As high pressure moves off our region will start to see a more pronounced onshore flow, and humidity levels will ramp up through Sunday. But today should still feel somewhat dry. Overnight lows will drop into the 50s for most locations.

Bound for the Houston Livestock Show and Rodeo to see for King & Country tonight? Temperatures this evening will be in the 60s, with light winds from the southeast and partly cloudy skies. Rain chances are nil. Temperatures after the show will be about 60 degrees.

Friday

As the onshore flow becomes more pronounced we’ll see winds pick up from the southeast, perhaps gusting up to about 20 mph. This will further boost atmospheric moisture levels, but I don’t think we’ll see any rain yet. Highs should reach the mid-70s beneath of mix of sunshine and clouds.

Saturday and Sunday

Both of the weekend days should feel similar, with highs around 80 degrees or a bit higher west of Houston, and dewpoints in the 60s making it feel reasonably humid outside. There will be some sunshine, some clouds, and perhaps a 20 percent chance of a brief rain shower each day. Lows will be in the mid-60s. This should be a fairly typical spring-time weekend for Houston.

High temperatures will be fairly warm on Sunday. (Weather Bell)

Next week

A cold front arrives sometime on Monday, probably around sunrise, to turn our weather cooler. This front should drive high temperatures down into the 60s, and nights into the 40s and 50s, for a few days. Since the atmosphere will remain disturbed after the front’s passage we probably will see mostly cloudy skies for a few days, with modest chances for some light rain showers through Wednesday or so.

Houston continues to slip into spring

Good morning. We’re continuing to warm up, with temperatures this morning generally 40 degrees or above for the metro area. We’re going all the way to the low 80s by this weekend before the next front arrives. If you’re looking for more signs that spring is coming, you can check the Houston Health Department’s daily pollen and mold count report. We’re starting to see heavy levels of tree pollen. For some of us, this means the beginning of a sneezy spring.

Houston pollen and mold count for Tuesday. (City of Houston)

Wednesday

High pressure remains in place, and that will bring us one more day of really dry air. Highs today will warm to about 70 degrees, or a little bit warmer, with light southeasterly winds. Skies will be mostly sunny, but a few clouds are possible tonight as low temperatures drop into the 50s across the region.

If you’re heading out to the Houston Livestock Show and Rodeo to see Tim McGraw later today, temperatures this evening should be in the low 60s, with light winds, and partly cloudy skies. After the show, temperatures will have dropped into the upper 50s, with perhaps a few more clouds. So there are no weather concerns at all!

Thursday

High temperatures will likely rise to the mid-70s on Thursday, with a little more humidity. Skies should still remain partly to mostly sunny, however. Lows Thursday night won’t fall much below the mid- to upper-50s.

Friday

This should be another partly to mostly sunny day, with highs in the mid-70s. As winds from the south become a little more pronounced at 10 to 15 mph, it will also start to feel more humid outside. Lows Friday night may not drop below 60 degrees.

Houston will see stairstep weather this week. (Weather Bell)

Saturday and Sunday

The forecast for the weekend is coming into better focus, and it looks to bring warm and partly sunny weather to the region. Look for highs both days to reach about 80 degrees, and perhaps a few degrees warmer for western parts of the Houston area. While some light, very scattered showers are possible each day, overall there doesn’t seem to be much atmospheric support for rain to develop. Overnight lows will be warm, in the mid-60s.

The next cold front should arrive some time on Monday, likely cooling our weather down into the 60s, with lows in the 50s. We probably won’t see as much sunshine after this front as the atmosphere remains disturbed and with showers are possible into mid-week.