Eric Berger

We’re not there yet, but we’re close. Houston faces four more days of summer-like weather before a strong cold front arrives. And then we should reach the time of the year when fronts arrive with some regularity. There will still be warm days, of course, and periods of humid nights. But 90 degree days? I think after Friday we’re done with those for 2021. There are no guarantees in weather, of course, but if you’re ready for the time of year when most days are in the 70s or low 80s, we’re almost there. It’s not summer. It’s not winter. It’s the in-between time in Houston, and it’s pretty darn glorious.

Tuesday

Most of the region is seeing a sticky morning, and with a mix of sunshine and clouds later today highs should warm to near 90 degrees. The atmosphere will be just disturbed enough to allow for the development of isolated to scattered showers this afternoon, which would be short lived. Winds will be out of the south at about 10 mph. Tuesday night will be mostly cloudy, with lows in mid-70s.

In Chicago, weather for today’s make-up of Game 4 between the Astros and White Sox looks good, with partly sunny skies and a high of around 70 degrees. Time to close out the series!

Wednesday

A hot day, with mostly sunny skies and highs near 90 degrees. Winds will be out of the south, to go along with rain chances of around 10 percent or less.

Thursday and Friday

These will be muggy, warm days with highs of around 90 degrees. Skies will be partly to mostly sunny, with perhaps a 30 percent chance of rain each day. The aforementioned cold front is due to arrive on Friday evening-ish, likely pushing well off the coast by midnight, or early Saturday morning. At this point I do not expect an organized line of storms with the front.

Saturday, Sunday, and beyond

The weekend looks fabulous, with days in the 70s, nights in the 50s, and partly to mostly sunny skies. A slow warm-up trend begins by around next Tuesday or Wednesday, but we’re likely going back to the low 80s for highs, with lows in the 60s. After Friday, rain chances appear to be low to non-existent for awhile.

Good morning Houston. The storms that rumbled through this morning before sunrise heralded the arrival of a weak front that, unfortunately, won’t provide too much of a lasting impact on our heat and humidity. However, our confidence is high that another, more significant front will arrive on Friday to usher in fall-like weather. Next weekend looks superb.

Monday

In the wake of the weak front, inland areas should see clearing skies and somewhat drier air this afternoon and evening, with high temperatures reaching the mid- to upper-80s. Closer to the coast, clouds will linger as the front essentially passes through and expires. Winds, for the most part, will be out of the northwest today at 5 to 10 mph. Low temperatures tonight, except for far inland areas, will be in the 70s.

Astros weather, Game 4

The Astros face the White Sox in game four of the American League Division Series today. Game time is set for 2:37 pm CT, and the forecast is iffy. The Windy City will live up to its name today as a front passes through the region. Wind gusts will reach about 30 mph, and showers and thunderstorms are very possible from about 3 pm to 9 pm today. Play ball? Hopefully.

Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday

Back in Houston, the region will see warm and muggy weather through the middle of the week. These days will see partly sunny skies, highs in the upper 80s to 90 degrees, to go along with low rain chances of about 20 to 30 percent daily. Overnight lows will be sticky, in the mid-70s.

Friday

Tropical Storm Pamela has now formed in the Pacific Ocean, off the coast of Mexico, and the system will affect our weather toward the end of this week as it curves back into Mexico and its remnants approach Texas. The tropical system may increase rain chances in Houston later on Thursday and Friday, and should also help drag a stronger front through the state and off the coast. As a result I think we’ll see some decent rain chances on Friday and Friday night as the front pushes through. Daytime highs will likely be in the upper 80s, with overnight lows falling to around 60 degrees.

Saturday and Sunday

In the wake fo the front, the weekend looks splendid. Look for highs in the 70s, with lots of sunshine, and lows in the 50s on Sunday and Monday mornings.

I hope everyone is enjoying our mostly sunny weekend. We should continue to see partly to mostly sunny skies today, with highs of about 90 degrees. There will be one noticeable difference, however—winds will pick up out of the south and become a little gusty this afternoon. This is a harbinger of atmospheric moisture levels rising across the area. Still, aside from the potential for a very few, very scattered showers, it should be a quiet day.

Conditions may change tonight as a line of storms associated with a cold front moves southeastward across the state of Texas. These storms could be especially severe in the Dallas-Fort Worth metro area on Sunday evening, likely from around 7 to 10 pm. This is something to consider if you’re traveling back to Houston from North Texas tonight.

This line of storms will weaken some as it moves closer to the Houston metro area, pushing through College Station after midnight, and likely reaching the central Houston region by around sunrise or before. The main threat from these storms will be damaging winds and hail. My sense is that the storms will weaken enough to not provide too much disruption to Monday morning’s commute, but please do be aware of the possibility of showers and thunderstorms early on Monday. Things should clear out quickly, regardless.

The other question concerns whether this front pushes all the way through Houston and to the coast. Some modeling now suggests it briefly will move to the coast, giving the region a dash of notably drier air on Monday and Monday night, but it’s going to be close. We’ll know for sure by tomorrow morning’s post.

Houston will remain under the influence of high pressure for several more days, allowing Houston’s skies to remain sunny through early next week. The only notable change will be an increase in humidity levels beginning Friday night as the flow becomes more southerly across the area.

Thursday

Conditions today will be similar to what we experienced on Tuesday and Wednesday, with sunny skies, highs near 90 degrees, and light northerly winds. The air isn’t exactly dry, but it’s not humid either. Overnight lows will drop into the low 60s inland, upper 60s in Houston itself, and low 70s along the coast.

Friday and Saturday

Basically, more of the same. Saturday will see rising dewpoints but it will still be reasonably nice outside. Highs again will be near 90.

Sunday and Monday

A front approaches the area on Sunday, but in all likelihood it will peter out before reaching Houston. So we should see mostly sunny skies both days, with high temperatures near 90 degrees. There’s a slight chance of rain, perhaps 10 or 20 percent, on Sunday night and Monday due to the dying front. Overnight lows will be back in the 70s, area-wide. Hello, humidity!

Next week

Our forecast becomes a little more uncertain later next week, when there’s a chance some sort of front may work its way through during the middle of the week, or more likely, not until the weekend. In any case, we’ll likely see more clouds and highs backing off a few degrees. There’s a decent chance that next weekend feels more fall-like in Houston, but it’s still too far to have much confidence.