Eric Berger

Good morning! We are now almost to the halfway mark of August, and it hasn’t been so bad. Average temperatures this month, so far, have been near normal. And as we look ahead to the rest of the month there appears to be nothing extreme on the horizon. Dare I say it, that we might get through Houston’s hottest month—when we are most drought prone, and exposed to hurricanes—without and really severe weather? No, I will not say it. But I’m thinking it’s a very real possibility.

Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday

The overall forecast pattern for the rest of this week has not changed. Moderate high pressure remains in place, but nothing too suffocating. This means high temperatures will probably peak in the mid-90s, and with a few clouds there will be a slight chance (maybe 10-20 percent inland, 20-30 percent close to the coast) of rain showers. Overnight lows will be in the mid-70s for far inland areas, and about 80 degrees right along the coast.

Saturday and Sunday

Again, not much change this weekend, with highs in the mid-90s and some isolated to scattered showers for the region. You probably won’t see rain. For the most part, skies will be sunny, and the water inviting due to the daytime heat. If you’re tailgating for the Houston Texans preseason game on Sunday evening make sure to stay hydrated out there. (That a was a joke, friends. I know any tailgaters will probably stay over-hydrated)

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Apologies for the late post this morning—I had to travel to Los Angeles very early on Monday morning, and only returned around midnight last night. Fortunately, there’s not much to say about our weather. It will be hot and mostly sunny this week. Normally that is something I would grouse about, but after what happened during the last week of August last year, I’m now less inclined to complain about hot and sunny weather during August.

Tuesday

Enough drier air remains today such that rain chances will be near nil, with mostly sunny skies and high temperatures in the mid-90s. Low temperatures Tuesday night, and for the rest of the week for that matter, will be around 80 degrees near the coast, and in the mid-70s for far inland areas. This is August. This is summer. This is Houston.

Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday

The pattern remains more or less the same; but with slightly higher moisture levels and high pressure present but not dominant, we could see some isolated showers during the early morning and then later afternoon hours. Rain chances are probably in the range of 20 percent most days, with any accumulations pretty darn slight. High temperatures will remain in the mid-90s.

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Sorry for the delayed post this morning, but sometimes things happen. Fortunately, the forecast has not changed too much, with the potential for showers and thunderstorms both Friday and Saturday before a decreasing chance of rain Sunday, and drier conditions early next week.

Friday

Expect a stormy summer day. Most of the ingredients needed for rainfall will come together early this afternoon, with ample moisture, lift, and instability across the region. Some of these storms could produce locally heavy rainfall, and we can’t rule out some street flooding. However, I expect that most areas that do see rain will probably see about one-half inch. Highs will probably be in the low 90s, but local conditions will vary on the amount of cloud cover and rainfall. Rain chances retreat, but do not go entirely away, tonight.

Saturday

We expect to see similar conditions on Saturday, with moisture and atmospheric lift driving another round of (probably) widespread showers. These will not be all-day storms, but certainly they will have the potential to move through and disrupt any outdoor activities. High temperatures, again, will be dependent upon cloud cover and localized rainfall.

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The Houston region will remain in a wetter-than-normal pattern through the weekend before conditions dry out some, and our weather turns more August-like; which is to say hotter and a bit sunnier, without the relief of afternoon showers.

Thursday

Rain chances aren’t ideal today as some drier air has moved into the area, but there still should be activity later this morning and through the afternoon hours scattered across the area. Chances are probably slightly better (40 percent) for the eastern half of Houston versus the western half (30 percent), but at this point we’re splitting hairs. High temperatures today should generally be in the low 90s, although as we saw yesterday it can get hotter in locations where there aren’t a lot of clouds. For example, Wednesday’s high temperature was 96 degrees at Bush Intercontinental Airport.

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