Good morning. Houston remains at the southern edge of a high pressure system, which should build over the metro region during the next couple of days. We’ll see some rain chances before that happens.
TODAY
I suspect rain chances later this afternoon will be similar to those on Sunday. While much of the area saw little or no rain, pockets of the city saw 0.5 to 1.0 inch of rain Sunday during primarily afternoon thunderstorms. Highs will likely climb into the low 90s.
This high pressure over the southeastern United States has kept a tropical system away from the Texas coast, and that’s probably a good thing. Tropical Storm Danielle formed in the southern Bay of Campeche this morning, but proximity to land is likely to prevent it from strengthening too much. Had it been allowed to move north toward the Texas coast, it would have had more time for development over open water. In any case, the system is going to be a rainmaker for Mexico, and is also notable as the earliest fourth tropical storm on record, beating Debby 2012 (June 23) and Dennis 2005 (July 5). It’s still not clear to me that this augurs a particularly bad overall hurricane season, because all the systems we’ve seen form have been fairly weak tropical storms.
