Beautiful weather gives way to gusty winds by Sunday

Good morning, and happy Go Texan Day! Throw on the boots and enjoy the beautiful weather today (and tomorrow).

Today

We are starting Friday a good bit milder than yesterday. Most locations are in the upper-30s to low-40s. The balance of the day should feature wall to wall sunshine. It looks absolutely splendid. Yesterday’s 61° should warm close to 70° this afternoon. If you’re heading out to the BBQ Cook-Off, just soak it all in.

Temperatures should ease back from about 70° at 3 PM into the upper-50s by 7 PM.

Saturday

It will be another beautiful day tomorrow. If we are seeking blemishes, there should be a few more high clouds in the sky and pollen remains fairly high. But aside from that, it should be outstanding. Morning lows in the upper-40s will warm into the low-70s by afternoon.

Sunday

One thing you will notice this weekend is that the winds are going to gradually become more noticeable as we move forward. Onshore flow on Saturday will pick up further on Sunday. Look for southerly winds to build to about 10 to 15 mph sustained, with gusts over 20 mph at times. Add about 5 to those values for the coast and bays.

Wind gusts should be around 20 mph over land and 25 mph or so at the coast and over the water on Sunday. (Weather Bell)

Aside from the wind, Sunday should be a typical mild late winter day in Houston. Look for a mix of clouds and some sun. Sunday won’t be a washout, but a few showers are likely in spots through the afternoon. Don’t alter any plans at this point, but just be aware of that chance. With stronger onshore flow Sunday, temperatures will start close to 60°and warm into the low- or mid-70s.

See full post

Spring fling ends as Houston descends back into something more like winter

As expected, we ran for 80 degrees yesterday but came up just short, hitting 79° at Bush and Hobby. Today, many of us will probably not even get to 60°.

Today

It’s a much colder start to the day today for sure.

This map shows how much temperatures have changed since the same time yesterday. We are running about 15 degrees colder than Tuesday morning. (NOAA)

Temperatures across most of the area are running about 15 degrees colder than yesterday at this time. At the coast, it’s a bit less than that. Our current temperatures will not move a bunch either. Look for high temperatures to perhaps end up only 2 to 4 degrees warmer than where they’re at this morning. Basically, expect 50s all day today inland, near 60 at the coast.

How about rain? Well, if you live in Houston or Harris County and points south and were hoping for rain by now, you’re probably getting a little frustrated. Like we told you yesterday, the bulk of the rain was expected to stay north of Houston, and it did, way north. We’re starting today similarly.

While there may be light rain, drizzle, or mist this morning, the bulk of any steady rain is staying well north of Houston. This should mostly continue until tonight. (College of DuPage)

The steadiest rain this morning is way up north between Huntsville and Corsicana. In the Greater Houston area? Light rain, drizzle, mist, and nothing more than a couple passing showers. This should be the case for the majority of the day today, with perhaps that steadier rain nudging south late toward Huntsville or Conroe.

Tonight

Rain will continue slowly dropping southward late tonight, but the whole system will begin to also lose steam. The current thinking is that most areas north of I-10 will see at least some rain, with the heaviest amounts being, again, way north toward College Station, Huntsville, or Lake Livingston, possibly even north of there. The whole mess drops, somewhat disjointed into the rest of the area overnight. We could see some heavier showers or thunder along the coast late tonight.

Temperatures will drop to the low- or mid-50s south and upper-40s north by Thursday morning.

Thursday

The entire system will basically fall apart over us, meaning rain chances will gradually trend downward through the day, with rain mostly ending by afternoon. Clouds should linger, and much like Wednesday, temperatures will probably end the day near where they begin the day. Look for temperatures in the upper-40s or low-50s most of Thursday.

As noted yesterday, the wind is expected to whip up on Thursday too. An offshore breeze of about 15 to 25 mph will build during the morning or early afternoon inland, with 20 to 30 mph winds and higher gusts over the bays and along the coast.

See full post

Steadier rains mainly north of Houston through Wednesday

Houston officially topped off at 81° yesterday, our warmest February day since way back on February 6th, when we hit 82°. More importantly, we had some sunshine yesterday, which was a pleasant surprise. We won’t be seeing much more sun until Friday.

Today

Today is starting off cloudy inland and foggy along the coast. We probably won’t see much change in that situation through the day today.

In terms of rain chances today, those will be highest north of about The Woodlands, so from Navasota over to Conroe up through Huntsville and over toward Lake Livingston; basically along or north of Highway 105. Some of the rain could be heavy at times later this afternoon up that way, and thunder will be possible too. Closer to Houston or the coast, a few showers will be possible through this afternoon but they will probably not amount to much.

Oh, and it’s going to be a warm one again today. We should make another run toward 80 degrees this afternoon, but with more clouds than yesterday, we will probably end up a little short.

Tonight

The cold front will be located somewhere north and west of Houston early this evening, probably from about Lake Livingston through Conroe through about Sealy. Through the evening, the cold front will progress into and beyond Houston to about the coast by midnight or so. Look for scattered showers and a chance of thunderstorms tonight.

Total rainfall through Wednesday morning will be highest along Highway 105, lowest near the coast. (Weather Bell)

Rain totals will be highest today and tonight to the north of Houston. It is possible that some folks from I-10 southward may not even see a drop of rain. I would expect a range of 0.10 to 0.25 inches of rain on average along and south of I-10 through Wednesday morning, increasing to 1 to 2 inches or so north of Conroe. A couple spots up from Conroe or Huntsville over to Lake Livingston could see as much as 3 inches or so if we see slower moving, better organized thunderstorms later today and this evening.

Temperatures aren’t going to plummet behind this front, but they will drop about 10 degrees in its wake, from the 60s into the 50s this evening. By daybreak Wednesday, we should be in the low-50s or upper 40s from Houston north and mid- to upper-50s south.

Wednesday

Despite the front being offshore, Wednesday will be a cloudy day. Showers or light rain will be ongoing in parts of the area. The most sustained rainfall on Wednesday should again be along or north of Highway 105, so we’re talking Aggieland through Conroe. We could see upwards of another inch or so in those parts. Rain may fall steadier than today a bit farther south tomorrow, closer to Tomball or The Woodlands. But in the Houston area and points south, expect only occasional light rain, drizzle, or showers.

Temperatures are not really going anywhere tomorrow. We will probably finish the day within a couple degrees of where we start the day. So, dress for generally middle 50s, perhaps a bit milder south or colder north.

See full post

Nice Friday, warmer weekend, but back to winter by later next week

Happy Valentine’s Day, an important day in southeast Texas weather history! We have at least a couple more nice days ahead before some pretty significant changes slowly evolve next week.

Today

It’s a bit cold this morning. Temperatures are in the upper 30s to low 40s on average. A few isolated spots north of The Woodlands or out by Rosenberg in Fort Bend County are near or below freezing this morning.

Temperatures as of 5:30 AM Friday are in the 30s and 40s, with a few locations near freezing on the edge of the Houston metro area. (NOAA)

The chilly temps are partially because skies are clear, which means gorgeous weather is expected today. Sunshine should dominate with mostly light winds, though a bit breezy at times still on the Gulf and in the bays. High temperatures will warm up to near 60 degrees.

Saturday

Tonight will be cool, but temperatures will be a few degrees warmer than this morning’s lows. Look for 40s in general, followed by sunshine once again for Saturday. Clouds should become a bit more noticeable as the day goes along, and high temperatures will be a bit milder. We should top off in the 60s in most spots, perhaps near 70 if clouds are slower to arrive.

Sunday

Clouds thicken up Saturday night and Sunday. With the clouds could come a few showers, especially south and east of Houston. Additionally, some fog may develop by Sunday morning in spots. Otherwise, it will just be mostly cloudy and mild, with highs reaching into the 70s after morning lows in the 50s.

See full post