The forecast for this weekend remains pretty much the same as I’ve been describing it all week. Please remember this isn’t a guarantee. Nailing the precise timing of rain events like this is an inexact science, but we can have decent confidence in this forecast.
Breezy conditions, with strong southerly winds. Rains approach Houston from the west, perhaps reaching the western part of the metro sometime during the early afternoon hours, and the rest of the area during the mid- or late afternoon hours.
Rains move in from west to east, starting with light rain, building to steadier storms by roughly 7 to 10 p.m. Most areas will begin to see some rain. Additionally the strong southerly winds could push tides 1 to 2 feet above normal. A coastal flood advisory is in effect.
Heavier rains move into central Houston just before or after midnight on Friday. It’s not clear whether the biggest burst will come over inland counties or closer to the coast. 1 to 2 inches are possible. Thunderstorms likely.
From sunrise to about noon heavy rain will again be possible, with accumulations of perhaps 1 to 2 inches. Thunderstorms again are likely, with potentially damaging winds or isolated tornadoes, but I don’t anticipate widespread, significant flooding.
Some clearing possible as storms move out of the Houston area from west to east. Heaviest rains likely ending.
Most forecast models show the storms have moved off to the east. If it does rain, it’s likely to be scattered and light.
Cooler, drier air moves into the region. Mostly sunny skies with highs in the 70s, overnight lows in the 50s. A great day for outdoor activities.
Posted at 6:50 a.m. Friday