Trick-or-treating forecast still appears OK

Good morning, and welcome to my weekday morning update on conditions ahead for the greater Houston area.


It’s one of the coolest fall mornings of the year across Houston, with temperatures generally in the mid-50s across the region. This is courtesy of a front that moved through on Wednesday, and we’ll have a pleasant day with highs only around 80 degrees.


Later Thursday and into Friday winds out of the south-southeast will increase, bringing a quick return of humidity to the area, and raising atmospheric moisture levels. This, in combination with a storm moving in from the west, will set the stage for a rainy Friday night and Saturday.

Heavy -- but not extreme -- rain is likely on Friday night and Saturday in this map of accumulated rainfall. (Weather Bell)
Heavy — but not extreme — rain is likely on Friday night and Saturday in this map of accumulated rainfall. (Weather Bell)

As I wrote yesterday, it appears shower activity will increase from west to east during the afternoon and evening hours Friday, with the heaviest rains most likely between about 10 p.m. Friday night and 10 a.m. Saturday morning. By Saturday afternoon we should see a slow clearing as the system moves off to the east of the area. I expect most areas to see about 1 to 4 inches of rain in total, which shouldn’t be enough to cause widespread flooding. However strong thunderstorms are possible with these rains, so outdoor activity late Friday and Saturday before the early afternoon hours is not advised.

I’m still expecting Halloween evening — by 4 or 5 p.m. — to see dry conditions for most of Houston. At most there will be some scattered light rain. This will be good for little ghouls and goblins, as well as the University of Houston football game.

Sunday should see partly cloudy skies with highs in the mid-70s.


Monday and Tuesday will remain seasonably pleasant days with highs in the upper 70s to 80 degrees, and lows generally in the upper 50s.

Posted at 6:55 a.m. Thursday

4 thoughts on “Trick-or-treating forecast still appears OK”

  1. My wife waited nearly a week to tell me about your new site. I’m looking forward to your space coverage at ARS Technica (usually my second stop of the morning after your weather blog). I’ve always enjoyed your coverage of the agency I call home.

  2. I’ve lived in Houston 30 years now. You’re the best there has ever been in this town. I don’t miss the days of Dr. Neil’s, “we’re all gonna die,” forecasting.

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