Fewer storms today, with a mostly dry weekend likely for Houston

While we expected some storms to develop on Tuesday afternoon, we did not quite anticipate how intense they would be—especially on the southeast side of town where frequent lightning lit the sky, and hail fell from it. Some parts of Friendswood and the Clear Lake area picked up 2 to 3 inches of rain in less than two hours. Meanwhile, parts of northwestern Harris County saw zero rainfall for their troubles. Conditions should be more sedate today, with a drying pattern beginning Thursday through most of the weekend.

Wednesday

Rain showers have developed offshore this morning, and the axis for heavier rainfall appears to be about 50 to 100 miles to the south today. While we expect that some storms will migrate inland later today, they are most likely to be confined to counties immediately along the coast, such as Brazoria, Galveston, and Chambers. Areas north of Interstate 10 will probably see 20 percent rain chances, while they increase to 30 to 50 percent along the coast.

This HRRR model snapshot for 2pm CT Wednesday shows the potential for storms to develop near the coast later today. (Weather Bell)

Accumulations should be less than 1 inch for all but a few isolated areas, and storms should pulse downward during the evening hours. Otherwise, expect a warm day, with partly sunny skies and high temperatures in the mid-90s.

Thursday

This should be a more typical summer day in Houston, with a few scattered showers and thunderstorms developing along the sea breeze, during the afternoon, but nothing too organized. Mostly sunny skies with highs in the mid-90s.

Friday and Saturday

As the weekend arrives, high pressure will build a little bit more over the area. This should, in turn, pretty much shut down any rain chances and leave us with mostly sunny days and highs in the mid- to possibly upper-90s. Lows will be pretty oppressive, with 80s along the coast, and upper-70s inland.

Sunday and Monday

A bit of a kink in the atmosphere may allow the local atmosphere to tap into some Gulf moisture, and produce some scattered showers to start next week. Right now the major forecast models are pretty split on whether this rain comes to pass, so our forecast is squarely in the maybe-it-will, maybe-it-won’t mode. It will be warm, in the 90s, regardless.

Later next week

The middle and end of next week looks quite warm as the influence of high pressure may begin to dominate. We haven’t had a 100-degree day yet in Houston this summer, but that certainly appears possible from the period of Wednesday through next weekend. We’ll see.

Warmer temperatures are likely in Texas next week. (Pivotal Weather)

Finally, in regard to the tropics, they’re starting to heat up a bit. While we see no threats to the Western Gulf of Mexico, Matt will have a full rundown of the situation later today.

13 thoughts on “Fewer storms today, with a mostly dry weekend likely for Houston

  1. Matt Cox

    Yesterday evenings weather had me excited. Nice ominous looking storms on the radar, creeping towards my part of Katy… Dark clouds, high wind, lightning, and thunder… Unfortunately, it all added up to a big fat ZERO at my house.

  2. Jaren H.

    Yesterday’s storms were legit! We had some cute little shelf clouds in Montgomery county, some decent wind and heavy rain. Just wish I was at home on the couch to full enjoy it! 🙂

    1. Geoff

      What happened to my subscription? I stopped receiving email notifications on 7/2. I tried resubscribing, but I must now go to the Space City website for daily forecasts.

      1. Helen Geiger

        The same think happened to me on my art.net address. I had to end up using my gmail address. Problem solved.

  3. Blackhawks Fan

    Big t-storm with lots of lightning within a minute of getting home yesterday.

    Just shy of 4” of rain since 2 PM Saturday.

  4. Brandi Untz

    The storm here in Friendswood was nasty. That wind! Neighbors have some significant branches down and I need to check my roof vent because it looks like the wind gave it a little lift.

  5. Steve C.

    Eric, what’s your favorite general weather app? I’ve been using The Weather Channel on my iPhone, but I’ve been disappointed in its performance. Half the time the radar doesn’t display anything.

    I’m not averse to paying a few dollars for something really useful.

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