On our “scale of excitable dogs” tonight is probably a 7 for areas north of Houston

Summary: If you live in central or northern Houston, there is a healthy chance of storms tonight after midnight.

Good afternoon, everyone. Just a brief update to say that, as expected, widespread showers and thunderstorms that developed this morning are now winding down. The heaviest rains did, indeed, fall closer to the coast with some locations near Alvin and Santa Fe picking up about 5 inches of rain. These areas are now probably done for today and tonight.

Instead the focus shifts up north, where a line of storms is expected to propagate from west to east, generally along and north of Interstate 10. In terms of timing, this line will probably reach the Bryan-College Station area around midnight or shortly before, push through Montgomery County an hour or two later, and reach Beaumont-Port Arthur by around 3 am give or take.

The HRRR model forecast for radar reflectivity at 1 am CT on Friday. (Weather Bell)

For the most part these probably will be thunderstorms—hence the invocation of our excitable dogs scale. On a scale of 1 to 10, we’re probably looking at about a 7 tonight in terms of dogs barking and carrying on. There is a risk for some more severe weather, in terms of hail and possibly damaging winds, but the overall atmosphere is not ideal for this to occur in the Houston metro area. For those who live east of Houston, particularly the Beaumont-Port Arthur area, I do think there is a higher chance of severe thunderstorms with this system’s passage.

Our weather quiets down on Friday morning with a weak front and some drier air. Matt will have full details for you in the morning.

14 thoughts on “On our “scale of excitable dogs” tonight is probably a 7 for areas north of Houston”

  1. Re the excitable dog scale my dog knows when a storm is about to hit, probably a good 20 minutes, before it arrives. Is that due to variations in pressure that alarms the mutt or something else?
    B

    • I’ve often wondered the same thing. My dog is now a little deaf so he doesn’t react as much anymore, so I’m guessing he can hear the far off thunder.

    • When mine were puppies they were taught that thunder, fireworks, or gunfire meant fun, such as playing, hunting, or defense. The fear of storms is a learned, and reinforced thought process.

  2. 🐕🐕🐕🐕🐕🐕🐕
    haha we need a graphic showing the SED (Scale of Excitable Dogs)

  3. Meaning our Great Pyrenees livestock guardian dog which would gladly take on coyotes will be in the front hallway, escaping the dastardly thunderm

  4. I love your humor! Who else would have thought of the excitable dog scale for storms! You guys are the best!

  5. Well, just under 1.1″ so far so the crops are saved after weeks of nothing around here.

  6. For short term, also need a “tree fuzz” scale… thought Friday’s storms cleared out the oaks, but now everything is covered with that crap again after todays downpours..

  7. Holy smokes. I can’t remember sheets like this falling since I’ve moved to upper Kirby 2 years ago. I think there’s a movie called “hard rain” that can’t possibly outmatch tonight’s display. Can’t wait to scan for leaks tomorrow…

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