Good morning. Before we get to the forecast and all the trimmings we have a couple of programming notes. Last week we released a new version of the SCW app that—fingers crossed—fixes some of the bugs you may have seen. Dwight Silverman will discuss this more at the end of this post. Additionally, we’re in the midst of our annual fundraiser, and do appreciate your support. You can find merchandise or donate here. Ok, now onto the forecast.

Monday

If you’re a person who likes humidity and warmth, then I advise you to soak it up today. There won’t be much sunshine, as skies will be mostly cloudy, and with warm southeasterly winds we’re going to see highs push up to about 80 degrees. This being Houston, there will be plenty of humidity to go along with it. We’re also on the lookout for some light showers today, and the possibility of a few thunderstorms this afternoon as a cold front approaches. The chance of severe thunderstorms is fairly low in the Houston metro area, but not non-existent. Odds of severe weather increase to the north of Conroe, and for much of East Texas. So if you live up that way, take note.

In terms of timing, I expect the front to reach areas such as Katy and The Woodlands by around sunset or shortly after, push into Houston between 6 and 8 pm CT, and move off the coast by around 8 to 10 pm. Winds will shift almost immediately after the front’s passage, with gusts from the northwest bringing drier air into the region. Lows on Monday night will drop into the mid-50s.

Tuesday

Tuesday will be breezy, cool, and rain-free. Look for high temperatures to peak at around 60 degrees, with partly sunny skies. Gusty winds up to about 30 mph will be possible for much of the daytime before easing off during the evening and overnight hours. Lows on Tuesday night will drop into the upper 40s.

Wednesday

Skies will again be partly sunny, with highs of around 60 degrees on Wednesday. The big difference will be lesser winds, likely out of the north at about 10 mph. Lows on Wednesday night could be a degree or two cooler than Tuesday night.

Thanksgiving

After a chilly start in the 40s, highs on Thanksgiving Day are likely to only rise into the upper 50s, with partly to mostly cloudy skies. We’ve also got to talk about the possibility of rain. Yep, there are hints in the models of a potential disturbance. It’s nothing to get carried away about, and rain chances overall are probably on the order of 30 percent or less; and accumulations will be slight. But it’s possible that Thanksgiving morning will give us a side a light showers. The afternoon and evening hours should be dry, regardless. It will be another chilly night, in the mid-40s for much of Houston.

Friday

Black Friday, as it is called by some, will paradoxically be one of the sunniest days of the week. I’m expecting partly to mostly sunny skies, with highs in the mid- to upper-60s.

Saturday and Sunday

The weekend should start out with highs in the mid-60s, with a mix of sunshine and clouds. However by Saturday night-ish, another front should arrive to keep the region in a colder pattern. Sunday and at least the start of next week should yield cool days, with highs in the 50s and 60s. The pattern could be a rainy and gray one as well. Today will be our last warm day for quite awhile.

An update on our app update

Here’s Dwight with more information on the latest version of the app:

We think—knock on wood!—that the out-of date weather data has been fixed, along with wrong sunrise/sunset times. And hopefully an annoying crash on Apple devices is no more. 

We also added the ability for you to manually refresh all the data we pull in from the National Weather Service. Go into the settings by tapping/clicking on the three-line icon next to the city name in the upper left corner, then select the gear icon. Select the panel that says “Refresh Weather Data.”

Developer Hussain Abbasi has made  under-the-hood changes that should make the weather info load faster and the notifications more reliable. All this is on top of the support for iPad layouts, support for Apple Silicon Macs and the crowd favorite, Dark Mode, from our previous release.

As always, if you spot bugs, send an email to [email protected]. (Please note: the spelling of Houmidity is a feature, not a bug.)

If Wednesday was a pretty nice autumn day, yesterday was definitely a pretty gloomy autumn day. What will today bring? Read on.

As we head into the weekend, another reminder that our annual fundraiser is ongoing for a limited time! So get in there and get some swag if you desire. Or you can just make a donation. Whatever the case, we are grateful and thankful for your support!

Today

It’s always a bit of a roll of the dice in autumn and winter if a low deck of stratus clouds will actually clear. It’s tough to tell on satellite exactly how extensive the low clouds are today, but there are a couple things we can note based on that and observations.

I always love the image above from the College of DuPage because the color scheme accentuates low, middle, and high clouds. In the Houston area, it seems we have a pretty decent batch of middle and upper level clouds moving through that are obscuring the ability to see low clouds on the image (like you can near San Antonio). Those middle and high clouds may have also helped prevent much of the fog and low clouds from expanding near Houston this morning, meaning as the sun comes up, we may see the sun in spots.

Whatever the case, expect increasing sunny breaks today between periods of cloud cover across the area. If you’re south, east, or west of Houston and under some fog, that should lift by mid-morning. Highs will be in the low to mid-70s today, perhaps deeper into the mid-70s if the clouds clear enough.

Weekend

Saturday looks like a winner of a weekend day. We’re expecting sunshine and highs in the mid-70s after morning lows near 60 degrees. Sunday will be a bit trickier. It should start out great, with lows in the 50s and sunshine. If you’re headed to the Texans game, no issues. We’ll see clouds increase through the afternoon, with a chance of showers, especially north and west of Houston. Highs will make it into the mid-70s south and east and low to mid-70s north and west, with some far northwest locations possibly a couple degrees cooler.

Monday

The timing of the front for early next week continues to shift a bit, and we’re now pushing it out to Monday night. For the most part, Monday looks partly sunny, warm, and humid for November, with a chance of a shower or two.

We’ll see highs well into the 70s, if not around 80 degrees or so. In fact, there’s probably about a 60 to 70 percent chance that we hit 80 degrees or better on Monday, as long as the timing of the front stays where it is.

Tuesday

With the front plowing through Monday night, we will wake up to a different season on Tuesday. It will be breezy and much, much cooler Tuesday, with highs in the 60s and offshore winds probably gusting north of 25 mph. Some lingering clouds will stick around, but any showers or thunderstorms with the front will probably occur in the pre-dawn hours.

Wednesday

We’ll have a chilly start to the day Wednesday with lows in the 40s. Daytime highs will only warm into the upper-50s to around 60 degrees. But it looks dry!

For those of you traveling, it looks spectacular basically anywhere within driving distance of Houston. No issues are expected across Texas, Oklahoma, or Louisiana. If you’re headed to Colorado, it looks fine. The only trouble spots may be the Northeast, where a departing storm will likely cause air travel delays into the hubs. Winds will probably be the main issue there. Some lake effect snow is possible in the Great Lakes. And the cold front that gets us on Tuesday morning will be crossing Florida with showers and storms on Wednesday afternoon.

Thanksgiving Day

It looks great. Morning lows in the 40s and daytime highs in the mid-60s or better.

Beyond Thanksgiving it looks like we’ll warm back to 70 or so by the weekend before our next front attempts to make an appearance late in the holiday weekend.

We’re only a week out from Thanksgiving, and you’re going to have to forgive me for the holiday puns. I can be a real goose sometimes. In any case, we’re talking puns because the forecast in the days ahead looks really pheasant, I mean pleasant, and there’s not a whole lot to say. We’ll see moderate weather through about Monday, at which time a cool front will arrive to bring weather that feels like Thanksgiving into Houston. So that’s something we can all look forward to.

I’d be remiss if I did not remind you that we’re in the midst of our annual fundraiser, that time of year when we ask for your help to keep Space City Weather going, and ensure that what we do can be maintained free for everyone. You can visit our store here. To the many of you who have already bought merchandise or made a donation, thank you very much.

Thursday

For the eastern half of the area there is a slight chance of some very light rain this morning, but for the most part we should be mostly cloudy. The clouds may thin somewhat, but the relative lack of sunshine should limit high temperatures to around 70 degrees today, with a light northeasterly breeze. Skies should remain mostly cloudy overnight, with lows perhaps dropping to around 60 degrees in Houston, and a bit cooler inland.

Friday

Expect a pleasant day with partly to mostly sunny skies and highs in the mid- to upper-70s. With dewpoints at around 60 degrees the morning will be a bit sticky, but the afternoon humidity should be comfortably low. A weak, reinforcing cool front arrives on Friday but it won’t be particularly noticeable. Lows on Friday night should again drop to around 60 degrees.

Saturday and Sunday

The weekend continues to look fine, especially Saturday, for outdoor activities. Highs on Saturday will reach the mid- to upper-70s with light northerly winds shifting to come from the east. After another mild night with lows down around 60 degrees, Sunday will again be mostly sunny with highs in the 70s. It will, however, be a tad more humid and we can’t rule out some light showers during the afternoon hours. Overall chances remain pretty low, however, perhaps 20 percent or less.

Next week

The timing for the region’s next significant cold front continues to bounce around, and now we’re back to Monday afternoon or evening. Ahead of the front we’re going to see a warm day (for November) with highs of around 80 degrees and pretty decent humidity. Some light to moderate rain is possible ahead of, or along with the front, but we’re not expecting anything serious.

The arrival of the front will put and end to the humidity, and bring a slug of much drier air into the region for a few days. Highs on Tuesday and Wednesday will likely in the low 60s, with lows dropping into the 40s. So, expect a chilly start to Thanksgiving Day. Accurately forecasting high temperatures for Turkey Day this far out is difficult, and will depend on the extent of cloud cover. But I’d ballpark highs somewhere in the mid-60s, with a milder night in the 50s. Rain chances for the holiday look low, to non-existent. A warming trend may bring highs to around 70 degrees before the next front.

After starting off nice yesterday, clouds did creep back for the afternoon. Most of that has cleared or is off to our east now. But we’ll fight the cloud cover forecast a bit again today. Hey, if clouds are the hardest part of our forecast, we’ll take that.

Meanwhile, just a quick reminder that our annual fundraiser is ongoing. We have a merch shop open for a limited time, or if you just want to donate to the site, you can do that too. We sincerely appreciate all the support!

Today

Clouds are going to linger this morning east of Chambers County, especially in the Beaumont-Port Arthur area. These are stubborn low clouds that are a little more difficult to eradicate in mid-November, but hopefully some sunny breaks can emerge in those areas today.

Some model guidance does nudge those clouds back west a bit, so places like Baytown or Mont Belvieu run the risk of seeing some clouds perhaps for a time later today. But overall, let’s call today mainly sunny with highs in the low-70s.

Thursday & Friday

Both days look partly to mostly sunny and calm. We should see warming conditions with highs in the mid-70s tomorrow and upper-70s perhaps on Friday. Morning lows stay in the 50s. There could be a little patchy fog on either morning, but that should lift rather quickly after sunrise.

Saturday

A weak “cool” front will swing through late Friday or early Saturday. You probably won’t notice it at all, but it will act to sort of reinforce this autumn air mass a bit. We’ll top off in the mid-70s, with morning lows again in the 50s. Expect a mix of sun and clouds.

Sunday & Monday

Clouds increase on Sunday, and we should see at least some scattered showers return to the picture by later in the afternoon or evening. Highs will be in the mid-70s, but they could be slightly warmer if clouds arrive slower Sunday afternoon.

A cold front will swing through Sunday night or Monday morning sometime it appears, which is a bit faster than it appeared yesterday. With it, showers appear likely, but rain totals should lag what we just saw recently in the area. Expect a cooler day on Monday, with low to mid-70s, although at some point, temperatures could drop 10 degrees or so, depending on the exact timing of the front.

Tuesday through Thanksgiving

Behind that cold front, we’ll have a bonafide cool day on Tuesday, with highs probably in the low-60s at best and morning lows in the low to mid-50s. Wednesday morning should see 40s for lows, as could Thanksgiving morning. Highs should be in the 60s both days. The forecast appears to be dry for both Wednesday travel and Thursday festivities. We’ll keep an eye on things, however, just in case. Warmer temps should follow into Black Friday and the weekend.