Good morning. Yesterday we launched our 2020 fundraiser, and the response has been tremendous so far. It really is humbling to find out, at the end of each year, how much the greater Houston community supports this site—and it energizes Matt and I to keep doing what we do. So thank you very much. As for our forecast, well, it’s changed a bit for the week ahead with more drier air making it into the area than anticipated. (Not that we’re complaining).

Tuesday

Conditions are quite warm this morning, especially for November, as lows have not fallen below 70 degrees for much of the area. An increase in atmospheric moisture should allow for a decent chance of rain today, with perhaps 30 percent of the area seeing light to moderate showers. Otherwise, high temperatures should rise into the mid-80s under partly sunny skies. The good news is that a much-discussed weak front is now expected to make it all the way to the coast on Tuesday night or Wednesday morning.

Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday

The weak front will bring moderately drier air into the region, and while this will not have too much effect on daytime temperatures—still likely to be in the low 80s beneath sunny skies—nights will be more pleasant for the second half of the week. Look for lows down near 60 in the city of Houston, with warmer temperatures along the coast, and cooler weather inland. Rain chances will be near zero.

Saturday and Sunday

Most of this weekend will probably continue to bring sunshine and warm temperatures in the low 80s. A front will also push through the area, but I can’t tell you now whether that is going to happen on Saturday night, or Sunday night. Also, while we definitely need rain, unfortunately this front does not appear to be of the rainmaking type—at least not at this vantage point. Things could still change.

Next week

Our weather for much of next week looks splendid in the wake of the front, with highs in the 70s and lows generally in the 50s.

Tropics

The 2020 Atlantic hurricane season just will not quit. On Monday, Subtropical Storm Theta formed in the far Atlantic Ocean, and it may eventually threaten Europe with winds and heavy rains. This means we have broken the all-time record for named tropical systems in the Atlantic this year, with 29. Fitting, I’d say, for this year.

Closer to home, where there is virtually no confidence in the track for Tropical Storm Eta. My personal guess is that it will eventually succumb to wind shear and dry air over the eastern Gulf of Mexico, and not make landfall again. But that is solely a guess—the tropics have continually surprised us this year. All I can say for sure is that Texas need not worry about Eta.

After a truly delightful stretch of autumn weather the last week or so, the weather pattern will change this weekend, ushering in slightly warmer temperatures (especially in the mornings) and noticeably higher humidity. Overall, it should still be pretty nice though!

Today

Look for abundant sunshine today. We’ll manage to warm into the low-80s this afternoon after a cool start in the 50s for most.

Weekend

We should continue with partly to mostly sunny skies this weekend, although I think we’ll probably see at least a few more clouds on Sunday. Shower chances should be very low and mainly off to our east. They won’t be zero though, so don’t be shocked to see some sprinkles or a passing shower, especially east of I-45 on Sunday.

While daytime highs should be basically in the low-80s each day, morning lows will build from the upper-50s tomorrow, about 5 or 6 degrees warmer than today, to the mid-60s on Sunday morning.

Next week

We will continue to see temperatures and humidity build a bit on Monday. There should be a good amount of morning low clouds around, followed by some gradual clearing. That said, an isolated shower is possible. Highs should again be in the 80s after starting the day in the mid- to upper-60s. Tuesday sees a cold front approach the College Station area. We will again be warm with highs in the 80s and lows in the 60s, if not low-70s.

The question then becomes: Does that front get to Houston? Right now, the answer is probably not. At least not right away. Expect that front to flirt with us or areas to our west into later next week before perhaps getting a kick through by next weekend. We should see a mix of sun and clouds in the lead up to that. Temperatures will still be warm, but they might be a few degrees cooler than early in the week, however. More on this for you Monday.

We could use some rain

Since Tropical Storm Beta back in late September, the Houston area (officially) has had less than 1 inch of rainfall. Some places have seen some more, others less. While Harris County is not in drought, we are starting to see pockets of drought flare up in surrounding counties.

We could use a bit of rainfall. While the chance of showers isn’t zero over the next week, we aren’t expecting any meaningful rain. Perhaps with next weekend’s cold front push. We’ll see.

Tropics

Tropical Depression Eta is expected to return to tropical storm strength this afternoon or tonight. It will then take a very convoluted track over Cuba, possibly east of Florida, then back west into the Gulf.

We don’t expect Eta to intensify significantly, but nevertheless it will be a tropical storm, capable of doing tropical storm things for Cuba and South Florida. The end game here should see Eta picked up and lifted north into the eastern Gulf Coast later next week as our cold front slides that way, probably still as a tropical storm.

Good morning. If you’ve signed up for email updates from Space City Weather, we know that some of you have been experiencing formatting issues on both your mobile phones and desktops. We’re not sure exactly what is causing this problem, but are aware of it, and are troubleshooting. In the meantime, you can always just click the headline in the email to go to the website. In terms of our weather, not much has changed—we’re still expecting lots of sunshine, and warmer temperatures this weekend.

Thursday

It’s much warmer across the region this morning, with lows in the low 60s in the city and partly cloudy skies. Expect high temperatures to reach around 80 degrees later today, under mostly sunny skies. Although it is fairly humid outside, a pocket of drier air should move into the area later today, and this should allow for a slightly cooler nights. I think most of Houston, except for the coast, will probably dip into the 50s under partly cloudy skies tonight.

Friday

This should be a pretty glorious day with highs in the upper 70s to 80 degrees, sunny skies, and reasonably dry air. Lows Friday night should be a degree or two warmer than Thursday night.

Saturday and Sunday

By this weekend we’re going to see a more pronounced onshore flow, and this will begin to ramp up humidity levels. I think daytime temperatures are still going to remain around 80 degrees, but nights will be warmer—in the mid- to upper-60s. I still expect skies to remain partly to mostly sunny, although the coast may see a few stray showers.

Next week

The start of next week looks warm, with highs pushing into the mid-80s and more clouds. We start to see some slightly better rain chances on Monday and Tuesday in advance of a front, but right now I would not expect more than light showers. The front will cool us off, but it remains to be seen how much cooling will take place, and how long it will last. A stronger front may be in the cards for Friday or Saturday of next week.

Tropics

Hurricane Eta has wrought devastation in Nicaragua and Honduras. The storm’s center, now over Honduras, barely exists now, but it should move into the Caribbean Sea on Friday, and will pose a rainfall threat to Cuba and South Florida by Sunday. After that? The eastern half of the Gulf of Mexico will need to pay attention to the storm, which may be out at sea for another week or so before finally coming ashore.