The much discussed cold front is advancing toward the Houston metro area, and will push through the region this morning. It is producing a squall line of strong thunderstorms. This line of storms, presently along a line from Victoria-to-Sealy-to-near-The Woodlands, should reach areas such as Sugar Land, Tomball, and downtown Houston by around or before 7 am CT; League City and Baytown by around 8 am, and have exited the area shortly after that.
The good news is that, as these storms have moved eastward overnight across Texas, they have lost some of their severity. Therefore, while there remains a chance of hail and tornadoes, that threat should diminish somewhat as the storms moves through our region this morning. Probably the biggest severe weather worry at this point is straight-line wind gusts of 50 or possibly even 60 mph.
The other concern is heavy rainfall as the squall line moves in. Some areas may quickly pick up 2 to 4 inches of rainfall this morning, flooding streets for a short time as high rainfall rates overwhelm roadways. Again, this threat should end quickly as storms exit to the east.
Unfortunately, the Houston metro area will be affected this morning as people are heading to work, and children going to school. If it is possible to delay travel until the squall line as passed your area, that would be for the best.
Beginning later this morning, high pressure will ensure that our weather is fair for the remainder of the week, with plenty of sunshine and pleasantly dry air.
Could you add Beaumont, Orange to your anticipated times in the future. A number of us to the east read the site.
You guys really screwed the pooch with this storm forecast. For almost a week, you were preaching that Monday afternoon/evening would be quite rough and eventful. What actually happened in the greater Houston area on Monday? Jack squat. I cancelled work for Monday evening and as a consequence lost revenue. I spread the word to family and friends about the probability for severe weather and potential tornadoes late Monday and into the overnight hours based on Space City Weather’s forecast. Some people with critical and stressful jobs didn’t get much sleep last night thanks to y’all. Back in mid January when severe weather ACTUALLY impacted Houston, you guys completely failed to predict it. Look, I get that no one has a crystal ball and predicting the weather is tough, but either get it right or don’t do it at all. Is your motto “Hype-free forecasts” or is it not? This was was all hype, boys.
…. Self Accountability is key 🙂
This is the silliest thing I’ve ever read. Do better.
The report never asked you to alert your friends and family, stay up all night and cancel your work endeavors. That’s all you, dude. How you react to a weather report is on you. I can hear the frustration in your post but maybe take a step back and look at how ridiculous it is to get upset about something as unpredictable as the weather. Grown adults here…our reactions to information and warnings is all on us. It will be okay. God Bless.
Fair points. I do freelance agriculture spraying and my entire world revolves around weather. I should have known better than to trust anything other than FAA/NOAA resources. Thanks for the reply.
If the rules for the job are “get it right or don’t do it at all”, we would have no meteorologists. You understand that right??
I dunno, seems pretty bad at my house.
Wow. Just wow. Totally uncalled for.
Spacecityweather…some of appreciate your work and dedication.
The weather model shown above (HRRR) predicted that there would be supercell thunderstorms near Houston to the northwest late yesterday evening around 10-11 pm. Some other models showed the front stalling out over parts of Houston. Instead, all this took place well northwest of here, around College Station. But it’s not SCW’s fault that the models were wrong.
You don’t know what the word “forecast” means, do you? Not really a fan of personal responsibility, are you?
Dilbert, you are disrespecting the people who actually did have effects with this storm. Please be more considerate. If you look at the comments yull see people pointing out tornadoes and strong thunderstorms. Be grateful and feel blessed nothing happened in your are.
Everything I remember reading on this site said it would be a late evening/overnight Monday into Tuesday event for the Houston area. Which it was. I don’t get the issue you have?
Bruh you really need to get a life. Imagine yelling at the SCW because a storm wasn’t as bad as they said it might possibly be lollllllolololol wow
Read what you write, Dilly. You present yourself as a poor victim. You have the same online, TV, and other weather info resources as we all do. You decide how to live your life based on YOUR best guess on who will be the most accurate. IMHO, these guys do a great job. anyone else do a better job on this? If you don’t appreciate the info they provide, get your info elsewhere. .
Victim? Abso-freaking-lutely not. I am the complete opposite. It’s why I seek out (supposedly) good resources such as this one, and why I hold them to account when they fail. What’s wrong with having high standards? This world would be a better place if we all valued accuracy and truth a bit more.
Looks like you stand alone, Dilbert. The forecasts for the past 24 hours are spot on. I went to bed expecting storms between 4-6 am and here they are. The only drama king appears to be you.
Guess you missed the part yesterday where they said to expect “strong thunderstorms around sunset.” Happily for you, you either didn’t read this or misread it, and they were wrong to boot!
I guess you didn’t read the update from last night? Their update clearly indicated that there was a lower chance of severe weather, and it will most likely be isolated in some areas. Expect some heavy rain, and maybe a few strong storms here and there, so it looks pretty accurate to me.
I did indeed read. I also understand what a forecast is and thus checked regularly for updates throughout the day and evening. If you’ve lived here for 5 minutes you should know storms change. ‘Tis a free country, so feel free to get your forecasts elsewhere. 😉
You’re making my point for me. I will indeed be getting my forecasts elsewhere since Space City Weather has been a letdown so far this year.
Don’t let the door hit you on the way out.
I am grateful for having gone to bed, prepped and with no anxiety. My plants are up, outside chairs flipped over so as not to blow into pool, and I moved under cover my husband’s long-saved-for red ceramic grill to avoid hail or wind. My kids charged my phone and got out our flashlights and replaced batteries.
Would much rather wake to a “non event” and cheerfully put everything back – than to any disaster predicted. And am glad we live in a time when the storms the took out so many Galvestonians unawares are not the norm and nearly inconceivable because of the fair warning we are given.
Space City Weather does not use terms like tornado and hail lightly. And emphasized do not have anxiety, just be cautious. (If only our thunder-freaked dog could take this to heart).
This storm had some seriously nasty effects in other parts of Texas. Praying for anyone affected by it. (Even if psychological).
Peace be with you,
KT
Just be grateful,that we are not looking at strong tornadoes and large hail. Several areas of Texas experienced that! I appreciate everything these men do to keep us safe!
Read Stage 1 Flood alert: Minor isolated impacts. Just because one area is not impacted does not mean that somewhere else wasn’t. Be thankful for the heads up and grateful if it doesn’t happen.
This was SCW’s prediction from last night:
“Some of you are likely prepared to shout “BUST!” at us, but as we’ve been discussing…”
Now that’s accurate forecasting!
I just hit the closet in my boxers after a nasty little hook echo went right over my house. How dare you SCW guys not let me know so I could set my alarm and be dressed.
“The weatherman is always right. It’s just his timing is off.”
If you depend on accurate weather forecasts, maybe utilize multiple outlets / resources? A situation like what we are currently experiencing evolves over time.
Thank you, Eric and Matt, for the no-nonsense FORECASTING of this event.
If you listened to the Weather Nannies (or maybe that’s ninnies) on TV this morning, you would think we were all going to drown. All just to keep people watching the TV.
Weather reporting is not an exact science correct?.
SCW seems to be closest to a reliable source,that’s why I stick by their Information.
Thank’s for keeping it real.
Yikes…HOLY COW! We are in Clear Lake…from all your posts, what happened here last evening, overnight and this morning was what I expected …thanks!
Appreciate you guys, Eric and Matt, for putting out your predictions amidst the knuckleheads that, unfortunately, have access to keyboards and somehow learned to use a keyboard. Hope all fared well through this storm. It was pretty bad this morning around Beltway/Gulf Freeway 0600-0700