Warm and gray until the weekend, when it becomes cooler, wet and gray

Houston saw some blips of sunshine Sunday, which is a good thing because most of this week looks cloudy. Our region will also remain quite warm, with high temperatures of around 80 degrees, until a front arrives later this week. Not only should this front help cool the region down; the combination of moderately stronger winds and rainfall should help to control some of the very high oak pollen levels in the air that may have stuffed you up in recent days.

Monday

Houston remains trapped under a pattern—most predominantly high pressure over the Gulf of Mexico—that is essentially drawing a current of air from the southwest into the region. This explains our moist, warm air. And today will be no different, with mostly cloudy skies, highs near 80 degrees, and light winds at the surface of about 5 to 10 mph from the south. We can’t rule out a slight chance of afternoon showers, but most of the region will stay dry. Overnight lows will only fall into the upper 60s.

Sunny skies (indicated by dark colors on this ensemble forecast) will be few and far between this week in Houston. (Weather Bell)

Tuesday

A kink in the atmosphere may nudge up rain chances on Tuesday, but I still think most of the area will just see mostly cloudy skies, rather than rainfall. Highs will likely reach the low 80s.

Wednesday and Thursday

This pattern does not change a whole lot on Wednesday and Thursday, with some modest rain chances, mostly cloudy skies, and highs of around 80 degrees.

Friday, Saturday, and Sunday

The pattern begins to change on Friday as a cold front pushes down into the region from northwest to southeast. In terms of timing, I’d guess the front reaches northwest areas during the afternoon, downtown Houston perhaps around sunset, and the coast during the late evening hours. We are probably looking at highs in the 60s, and lows in the 50s for the weekend, after the front passes.

Cumulative rainfall forecast for now through Sunday. (Pivotal Weather)

As this will be a shallow front, it appears as though warm air will ride up over the cooler air at the surface. This means that instead of seeing clear skies we’re likely to see clouds, and a healthy chance of rain throughout the weekend. I don’t have great details for you, but I’d estimate that most of Houston sees 0.5 to 1.5 inches of rain through Sunday.

Next week

Most of the model guidance shows temperatures snapping back to around 80 degrees by Tuesday of next week with hopefully some sunshine along with it.

6 thoughts on “Warm and gray until the weekend, when it becomes cooler, wet and gray”

  2. Saw some Bluebonnets yesterday on my way back to Houston. It made me wonder if there are weather conditions which make for a great display. As a non-Texas native, these flowers are part of the beauty of Texas at this time of year. Any information appreciated!

  3. When is the last time Houston was “below normal” for a prolonged time temp wise. I feel like its ALWAYS “above” where we are supposed to be. Maybe normal isnt so normal anymore?

  4. Can’t wait for this front! Not just for the cooler weather, but allergies..it’s frustrating when I get stared at every time I sniffle because of all this pollen.

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