Weekend forecast looks decent, wetter early next week for Houston

It has been a wet week for much of coastal Texas, with the combination of moist air moving inland, and the absence of high pressure to keep rainfall at bay. The Valley was hit especially hard, with areas near Harlingen and McAllen receiving in excess of 10 inches and experiencing some pretty significant flooding. Closer to home, parts of the coastal Houston region saw 3 to 5 inches of rainfall. We’ll now mostly dry out for a few days before the potential for some heavier rain returns early next week.

Seven-day rainfall totals. (NOAA)


Today should see the return of mostly sunny skies to Houston, although we can’t entirely rule out the possibility of a few isolated, pop-up storms. But for the most part, we’re just going to see a warm, June summer day with highs in the low 90s and moderate southerly winds. Overnight temperatures may lower into the mid-70s—if you’re lucky, and live far enough away from the coast.


This should be a similar day to Thursday, although we’ll probably see rain chances on the order of 10 to 20 percent, again in the form of some pop-up showers. Otherwise, expect mostly sunny skies with highs in the low- to mid-90s.


Of the two weekend days, Saturday now looks the fairer for outdoor activity. High pressure will be sliding away, westward, but atmospheric moisture levels should remain at relatively moderate levels to start the weekend. Effectively this means rain chances of only around 20 percent, and at least some partly sunny skies. Highs probably will get to around 90 degrees—so this is a day for cautious optimism if you’re planning to be outside.


As tropical moisture pushes into Houston, we’re likely to see rain chances jump up to the 40 or 50 percent range, but accumulations should be fairly slight. With partly to mostly sunny skies, any showers that pop up will quickly pass, leaving a humid air mass in place. Expect highs of around 90 degrees.

July will start out cooler in Houston. (Weather Bell)

Next week

Rain chances will increase next week, with perhaps Tuesday seeing the best chance of showers as moisture levels surge and the atmosphere setup favors rising air. None of the global models are going too crazy, so I think most areas will probably see 1 to 2 inches of rainfall, with the potential for higher amounts through Wednesday under slower-moving storms. Hopefully these showers behave. Looking a bit further, July 4th, at this point, should be drier and hotter.

9 thoughts on “Weekend forecast looks decent, wetter early next week for Houston

  1. Jamil Paradela

    How does Sunday morning look? We have our kids birthday pool party in Pearland in the morning

    1. Russian Hacker

      So, I tracked your comment and found your exact address. I have a special computer that knows exactly at what time and how much it will rain at your address. According to my calculations, you will recieve exactly 1.372564 inches of rain between 2 and 4 PM on Sunday. Thank you for asking. Glad I could help.

    2. Keith

      There is a 100% chance the kids will get wet at the pool party. Sorry for the bad news :o)

  2. Anne

    How bad do you think the storms will make it driving east on I 10 Tuesday afternoon and Wednesday?

    1. Sean

      Anne. Tuesday is five days away! How in the world are these guys supposed to know what volume of rain will descend upon your car, on what stretch of 10, at what time in the afternoon? Do you think before asking these kinds of things?

  3. Arianda

    At least your forecast doesn’t sound nearly as ominous as NOAAs with their “flooding rains” bit for Tuesday.

  4. Katy needs to evacuate

    I’ve really liked the break in temps over the last week or so with the rain and cloud cover.

    Please continue to dial up Houston Summer Lite through the end of September so we can avoid ugghhust!

    Appreciate the assistance and your check is in the mail!

  5. Chuck

    This continued reprieve from the “UGHUST” weather of last week is fantastic. Keep it coming!

    We got a deluge in The Woodlands today, had to be 3-4 inches very quickly.

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