Widespread rain expected this weekend ahead of a front

Summary: Rain is coming, but it’s likely to hold off until Friday. If you have weekend plans outdoors you’ll need to consider them carefully as Saturday, especially, looks rather wet. Significant flooding is not a major concern at this point, but we should see plenty of rain this weekend that will put a damper on activities. Things should clear out by Sunday afternoon or evening.

Excessive rain outlook for Saturday and Saturday night. (NOAA)

Thursday

Today is the last day when it probably won’t rain for most of the area, for awhile. A slowly advancing front—still far away from Houston at this point—will nonetheless set the stage for a more disturbed atmospheric pattern. However, the chances of showers and thunderstorms today will be low due to a capping inversion that will likely prevent the atmospheric lift that is necessary for widespread rain. As a result, we’re likely to see just clouds today, with an occasional very light shower. Highs will be in the low- to mid-80s, with gusty southerly winds, and plenty of humidity.

Rodeo forecast

It will be mild heading into the show this evening, with temperatures in the mid- to upper-70s. While I cannot rule out an isolated rain shower, chances are it will be dry. Winds will still be gusty from the south, but less than earlier in the day. Temperatures after the show will still be in the 70s, and the overnight low is only going to drop to around 70 in Houston. So warm and humid, for sure.

Friday

As the front advances closer to our region, rain chances will improve on Friday. Most locations should have about a 50 percent chance of seeing rain showers, with the possibility of a thunderstorm. While the overall conditions for heavy rain are more favorable on Saturday, Friday is definitely a day to be weather aware. Otherwise, expect cloudy skies with highs of around 80 degrees.

Saturday and Sunday

The weekend looks wet, and there’s no real way to get around that. I expect most of the region to pick up 1 to 4 inches of rainfall by Sunday evening, with higher isolated totals. This will be driven by the front, now on our doorstep, in conjunction with a series of passing disturbances. Rain is most likely from Saturday morning through around Sunday at noon, after which chances will start to lessen—so potentially improving conditions for the evening of Saint Patrick’s Day. I’m not expecting much, if any flooding, but it’s something we’re going to be watching out for and we’ll be updating as warranted.

NOAA rain accumulation forecast for now through Sunday. (Weather Bell)

Temperatures will be in the 70s this weekend with mostly cloudy skies. The front finally pushes through on Sunday, likely during the afternoon hours. This will bring cooler and drier weather into the area during the overnight hours, with lows likely dropping into the upper 50s on Sunday night.

Next week

Highs will drop into the 60s and low 70s for the first half of next week, with clearing skies and cooler nights in the upper 40s to lower 50s. If you’ve been wanting to see some sunshine, this will be your chance. A coastal low pressure system may bring improved rain chances back into the forecast by later Wednesday and Thursday, but the details are very from from being set in stone.

13 thoughts on “Widespread rain expected this weekend ahead of a front”

  1. I think it is so ironic that it always seems that the work-week is perfectly clear, then Sat/Sun it rains and the come Monday its bright and sunny. I feel like there is a conspiracy theory in there somewhere.

    • It is. As a Republican everything is based on lies. We must strip all rights from these leftists.

    • Bartenders and employees of businesses closed on Mondays could use a sunny Monday off day every once in awhile.

      • Which one? Do you mean the 1986 law that protects vaccine manufacturers from wrongful death or injury? Because that’s a real law [42 U.S. Code § 300aa–22]. Are you, perhaps, a capitalist that cares more about profit than life? Or perhaps are you just a common plebian that regurgitates what the system tells you. What is your tribe so afraid of?

        I bet you won’t respond unless you can come up with some strawman. Cowards lmao. Keep accelerating.

  2. Well, assuming this is another big Houston rain bust, I won’t have to do yard work this weekend. An excuse to stay inside and watch hockey all weekend.

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