Good morning. Alas, there is no real change in the forecast: Houston is hot, and we’re going to get hotter. There is no real relief in sight, and rain chances are near zero for the next 8 to 10 days. We are entering a bonafide heat wave, with high temperatures cresting above 100 degrees for much of the region away from the coast for a few days this week. Some people have responded, “Houston is hot in the summer.” And that’s true, it is. But at this time of year the normal high temperature is 92 degrees, not 102 degrees. We have a chance to set several daily high temperatures over the next week.
So yes, Houston is hot in the summer. But we shouldn’t be this hot, this early, in the summer.
Wednesday
High temperatures will generally reach the upper 90s today beneath mostly sunny skies. Winds will be out of the south at 10 mph or, so, with moderately higher gusts. You already know the nights are going to be warm, don’t you? Galveston has broken its record for “high” minimum temperatures the last two nights, with the temperature only dropping to 83 degrees. Expect more of the same in the days ahead.
Thursday, Friday, Saturday, and Sunday
As high pressure intensifies over the southern United States, Houston will not be spared. Each of these days could hit 100 degrees, with temperatures likely peaking on Saturday. Please take heat and sun precautions when outside during the middle of the day. Skies will be sunny, with moderate southerly winds.
Next week
The overall pattern changes a bit next week, as high pressure ridge starts to ease a little. That probably means our high temperatures will drop into the mid-90s, and perhaps by Wednesday or Thursday of next week a chance of some sea breeze showers will return.
What about the models showing a Cat 4 hurricane in the next 15 days? Should we be worried about it?
I have relied on SCW for hype-less weather forecasting for years. If there was a reasonable chance of a hurricane let alone a major hurricane in the Gulf, SCW would tell us about it. The fact that they are only reporting on a dangerous heat wave informs us that as of now the possibility of a Houston area or Gulf hurricane is very low, if it exists at all.
Mr. Moss.
Track models after 10 days should be viewed as an informational tool only. It suggests that something may be in an area at that time. It is so far out of the confidence of the forecaster to gauge if a storm will strike that far in advance.
If a model consistently insists a storm is headed this way by day 14, keep snoozing. Day 10? Ok keep one eye open, day 7? Ok pay attention and make sure your storm gear is in order but don’t sound the alarm just yet. Day 5? You get the idea.
I saw the same GFS run, I say wake me up day 7 or 8 if it still is around.
Ugh
Without a doubt: global warming, climate change and covid.
Monkey Pox will be here soon. Brace yourself
I thought the vuvuzela blowing beavers from Chile were going to arrive first. Or maybe that was the sniper monkeys….
It never ends, this “stuff”.
Don’t forget the murder hornets!
COVID made it hot? Lolwut?
The Death Ridge is a member of Cobra Kai.
No Mercy.
This is the reason AC was invented in the South. 🙂
As others have said, Space City Weather is the “Home of No Hype”. If there’s a newsworthy weather issue, they will let us know in good time.
So, chill out (while one can) in this abysmal “too hot too early” heat. The heat is for the birds. It is too bad we can’t reflect all of this heat to Neptune. They could use some global warming from average negative 373 to average negative 363 degrees.
I keep waiting for the announcement that was supposed to come early this week that they said some of us will be happy about. This was said in last Friday’s post. Was looking forward to maybe some pleasant news.
The Ideal Gas Law needs to be repealed.
I’m getting summer 2011 vibes from this season. Here’s a good site to monitor reservoir levels, which are still pretty full around here thankfully. https://www.waterdatafortexas.org/reservoirs/statewide
Look on the bright side, we’re only 109 days away from “Fall Day” with a margin of error of say + or – 14 days! Im going with September 27th for this years Fall Day!
That would make a good contest. Correctly predict Fall Day contest. Win a free T shirt or something
Ironically this heat wave is juxtaposed with falling temperatures in the Pacific tropics. Another La Niña to remind me that weather isn’t the climate. And the southwest drought might just be that and not more.