A few stormy, slightly cooler days before some proper summer heat arrives

Good morning. So far we have eased into summertime this year. For the entire month of May, temperatures ended up slightly below normal. And the first several days of June trended cooler as well. That party, I am sorry to say, should end this week.

By Thursday or Friday, as high pressure builds over the region with a warm southerly flow, I expect high temperatures to reach the mid-90s and stay there for awhile. This will be the beginning of what I like to call “Mid summer” in Houston, the second of our four phases of summer.


But we’re not there yet. In the absence of high pressure, and with a moderately disturbed atmosphere, we’ll see decent rain chances for the next few days. The potential for showers and thunderstorms will be highest today, with 60 to 70 percent coverage during the afternoon and early evening hours in Houston. Rainfall amounts will be highly variable, but on average most locations should pick up 0.25 to 1 inch of rain, with perhaps areas south of Interstate 10 seeing slightly higher accumulations. As these storms may be hitting about during rush hour, take a little extra care in getting home this evening. These showers, along with mostly cloudy skies, should limit highs to the upper 80s. Rain chances are lower overnight, with lows falling to around 70 degrees.

NOAA rain accumulation forecast for Monday and Monday night. (Weather Bell)


This day should be similar to Monday, in terms of showers popping up during the afternoon hours. However, I expect less coverage of storms. Skies will be also be partly sunny, so highs may nudge up to 90 degrees in some locations.


This is a bit of a transition day. We’ll still see some showers, but as we’re moving to a hotter and less rainy pattern, look for partly to mostly sunny skies and highs in the low 90s.

Look what’s just around the corner. (Weather Bell)

Thursday and Friday

Rain chances will fall back to about 20 percent each day, with just a slight chance of a sea breeze shower in the afternoon. Otherwise expect mostly sunny skies and highs in the low to mid-90s.

Saturday, Sunday, and beyond

The forecast period from this weekend into the middle of next week simply looks mostly sunny and hot, with high temperatures in the mid-90s. While we can’t entirely rule out rain chances, the pattern does not look to produce much in the way of precipitation. As I said at the outset, summer proper is on the way.

6 thoughts on “A few stormy, slightly cooler days before some proper summer heat arrives”

  1. Not buying into anything yet. Short term forecasts always having surprises. Long term forecasts are always off, especially with local news outlets.

    • It’s definitely depressing to see upper 90s this early in the season but historically it has happened many times in the past. In 2011 it actually hit 105 on this day in Houston. At the time that was the hottest temperature ever observed in the month of June since 1889. Maybe that will help you feel a little better about this year lol

  2. Went to the Smokey Mountains a few weeks ago amazing weather.
    I won’t complain about the heat since I have lived here along time.
    Always enjoy SCW and the posts.

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