After another humid day, drier air arrives in the region on Wednesday

Good morning. Yesterday we launched our 2020 fundraiser, and the response has been tremendous so far. It really is humbling to find out, at the end of each year, how much the greater Houston community supports this site—and it energizes Matt and I to keep doing what we do. So thank you very much. As for our forecast, well, it’s changed a bit for the week ahead with more drier air making it into the area than anticipated. (Not that we’re complaining).

Tuesday

Conditions are quite warm this morning, especially for November, as lows have not fallen below 70 degrees for much of the area. An increase in atmospheric moisture should allow for a decent chance of rain today, with perhaps 30 percent of the area seeing light to moderate showers. Otherwise, high temperatures should rise into the mid-80s under partly sunny skies. The good news is that a much-discussed weak front is now expected to make it all the way to the coast on Tuesday night or Wednesday morning.

The front will make it to the coast on Wednesday morning, but its effects will be much more pronounced for inland counties, as seen in this map of 24-hour temperature differences. (Weather Bell)

Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday

The weak front will bring moderately drier air into the region, and while this will not have too much effect on daytime temperatures—still likely to be in the low 80s beneath sunny skies—nights will be more pleasant for the second half of the week. Look for lows down near 60 in the city of Houston, with warmer temperatures along the coast, and cooler weather inland. Rain chances will be near zero.

Saturday and Sunday

Most of this weekend will probably continue to bring sunshine and warm temperatures in the low 80s. A front will also push through the area, but I can’t tell you now whether that is going to happen on Saturday night, or Sunday night. Also, while we definitely need rain, unfortunately this front does not appear to be of the rainmaking type—at least not at this vantage point. Things could still change.

Next week

Our weather for much of next week looks splendid in the wake of the front, with highs in the 70s and lows generally in the 50s.

Tropics

The 2020 Atlantic hurricane season just will not quit. On Monday, Subtropical Storm Theta formed in the far Atlantic Ocean, and it may eventually threaten Europe with winds and heavy rains. This means we have broken the all-time record for named tropical systems in the Atlantic this year, with 29. Fitting, I’d say, for this year.

Track forecast for Tropical Storm Eta. (National Hurricane Center)

Closer to home, where there is virtually no confidence in the track for Tropical Storm Eta. My personal guess is that it will eventually succumb to wind shear and dry air over the eastern Gulf of Mexico, and not make landfall again. But that is solely a guess—the tropics have continually surprised us this year. All I can say for sure is that Texas need not worry about Eta.

10 thoughts on “After another humid day, drier air arrives in the region on Wednesday”

  1. Very happy to hear that the 2020 fundraiser is off to a roaring start – if there’s anything that deserves support, it is this website, Eric, and Matt.

    And, I’m good with drier air. Sure, we haven’t had rain in a while but humid air doesn’t allow much rapid drying and we’re sure to get replenished with about 5 inches of water at once. So, I’m enjoying this respite while it lasts.

  2. You are my go to weather site, and have been for years. I proudly wear a Space City Weather t-shirt.

    Thanks for being there for us.

  3. Since it’s Tuesday, any chance that Matt can address the disturbance just south of PR? NHC’s five day outlook has me piqued.

    I’m not worried about it on a local forecast level, assuming that it’s the time of year where Costa Rica and Nicaragua are going to take over from LA as the tropical storm punching bag, Just curious to know how Iota(?) would be affected by Eta’s churn through the Western Caribbean – although I guess that never really cools off.

  4. The Woodlands was in that 30% chance of rain. Very nice steady but light drizzle for nearly 2 hours. Exactly what the soil needed

  5. Can confirm it rained late last night in the woodlands!! It was really a really pleasant light tropical rain. Now this morning the sun is back out and its comfortably warm and humid. Im going to miss the humidity once the front comes through!! >.>
    I love how Houston is a paradise in November. It was way too hot and humid in August but so nice in the fall!!

    • Whewww! You and I have vastly different definitions of paradise. Daytime highs in the mid 80s with 70 dew points and 70 degrees overnight does not fit mine. Glad someone enjoys it.

  6. Eric, Matt, do y’all have any kind of long range forecast for Thanksgiving Day (that is unless we get one of these danged storms that are forming up)? I would love to do Thanksgiving dinner on the patio if possible. Any clues for me?

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