Eric Berger

Good morning. Before we get to the forecast and all the trimmings we have a couple of programming notes. Last week we released a new version of the SCW app that—fingers crossed—fixes some of the bugs you may have seen. Dwight Silverman will discuss this more at the end of this post. Additionally, we’re in the midst of our annual fundraiser, and do appreciate your support. You can find merchandise or donate here. Ok, now onto the forecast.

Monday

If you’re a person who likes humidity and warmth, then I advise you to soak it up today. There won’t be much sunshine, as skies will be mostly cloudy, and with warm southeasterly winds we’re going to see highs push up to about 80 degrees. This being Houston, there will be plenty of humidity to go along with it. We’re also on the lookout for some light showers today, and the possibility of a few thunderstorms this afternoon as a cold front approaches. The chance of severe thunderstorms is fairly low in the Houston metro area, but not non-existent. Odds of severe weather increase to the north of Conroe, and for much of East Texas. So if you live up that way, take note.

In terms of timing, I expect the front to reach areas such as Katy and The Woodlands by around sunset or shortly after, push into Houston between 6 and 8 pm CT, and move off the coast by around 8 to 10 pm. Winds will shift almost immediately after the front’s passage, with gusts from the northwest bringing drier air into the region. Lows on Monday night will drop into the mid-50s.

Tuesday

Tuesday will be breezy, cool, and rain-free. Look for high temperatures to peak at around 60 degrees, with partly sunny skies. Gusty winds up to about 30 mph will be possible for much of the daytime before easing off during the evening and overnight hours. Lows on Tuesday night will drop into the upper 40s.

Wednesday

Skies will again be partly sunny, with highs of around 60 degrees on Wednesday. The big difference will be lesser winds, likely out of the north at about 10 mph. Lows on Wednesday night could be a degree or two cooler than Tuesday night.

Thanksgiving

After a chilly start in the 40s, highs on Thanksgiving Day are likely to only rise into the upper 50s, with partly to mostly cloudy skies. We’ve also got to talk about the possibility of rain. Yep, there are hints in the models of a potential disturbance. It’s nothing to get carried away about, and rain chances overall are probably on the order of 30 percent or less; and accumulations will be slight. But it’s possible that Thanksgiving morning will give us a side a light showers. The afternoon and evening hours should be dry, regardless. It will be another chilly night, in the mid-40s for much of Houston.

Friday

Black Friday, as it is called by some, will paradoxically be one of the sunniest days of the week. I’m expecting partly to mostly sunny skies, with highs in the mid- to upper-60s.

Saturday and Sunday

The weekend should start out with highs in the mid-60s, with a mix of sunshine and clouds. However by Saturday night-ish, another front should arrive to keep the region in a colder pattern. Sunday and at least the start of next week should yield cool days, with highs in the 50s and 60s. The pattern could be a rainy and gray one as well. Today will be our last warm day for quite awhile.

An update on our app update

Here’s Dwight with more information on the latest version of the app:

We think—knock on wood!—that the out-of date weather data has been fixed, along with wrong sunrise/sunset times. And hopefully an annoying crash on Apple devices is no more. 

We also added the ability for you to manually refresh all the data we pull in from the National Weather Service. Go into the settings by tapping/clicking on the three-line icon next to the city name in the upper left corner, then select the gear icon. Select the panel that says “Refresh Weather Data.”

Developer Hussain Abbasi has made  under-the-hood changes that should make the weather info load faster and the notifications more reliable. All this is on top of the support for iPad layouts, support for Apple Silicon Macs and the crowd favorite, Dark Mode, from our previous release.

As always, if you spot bugs, send an email to [email protected]. (Please note: the spelling of Houmidity is a feature, not a bug.)

We’re only a week out from Thanksgiving, and you’re going to have to forgive me for the holiday puns. I can be a real goose sometimes. In any case, we’re talking puns because the forecast in the days ahead looks really pheasant, I mean pleasant, and there’s not a whole lot to say. We’ll see moderate weather through about Monday, at which time a cool front will arrive to bring weather that feels like Thanksgiving into Houston. So that’s something we can all look forward to.

I’d be remiss if I did not remind you that we’re in the midst of our annual fundraiser, that time of year when we ask for your help to keep Space City Weather going, and ensure that what we do can be maintained free for everyone. You can visit our store here. To the many of you who have already bought merchandise or made a donation, thank you very much.

Thursday

For the eastern half of the area there is a slight chance of some very light rain this morning, but for the most part we should be mostly cloudy. The clouds may thin somewhat, but the relative lack of sunshine should limit high temperatures to around 70 degrees today, with a light northeasterly breeze. Skies should remain mostly cloudy overnight, with lows perhaps dropping to around 60 degrees in Houston, and a bit cooler inland.

Friday

Expect a pleasant day with partly to mostly sunny skies and highs in the mid- to upper-70s. With dewpoints at around 60 degrees the morning will be a bit sticky, but the afternoon humidity should be comfortably low. A weak, reinforcing cool front arrives on Friday but it won’t be particularly noticeable. Lows on Friday night should again drop to around 60 degrees.

Saturday and Sunday

The weekend continues to look fine, especially Saturday, for outdoor activities. Highs on Saturday will reach the mid- to upper-70s with light northerly winds shifting to come from the east. After another mild night with lows down around 60 degrees, Sunday will again be mostly sunny with highs in the 70s. It will, however, be a tad more humid and we can’t rule out some light showers during the afternoon hours. Overall chances remain pretty low, however, perhaps 20 percent or less.

Next week

The timing for the region’s next significant cold front continues to bounce around, and now we’re back to Monday afternoon or evening. Ahead of the front we’re going to see a warm day (for November) with highs of around 80 degrees and pretty decent humidity. Some light to moderate rain is possible ahead of, or along with the front, but we’re not expecting anything serious.

The arrival of the front will put and end to the humidity, and bring a slug of much drier air into the region for a few days. Highs on Tuesday and Wednesday will likely in the low 60s, with lows dropping into the 40s. So, expect a chilly start to Thanksgiving Day. Accurately forecasting high temperatures for Turkey Day this far out is difficult, and will depend on the extent of cloud cover. But I’d ballpark highs somewhere in the mid-60s, with a milder night in the 50s. Rain chances for the holiday look low, to non-existent. A warming trend may bring highs to around 70 degrees before the next front.

Good morning. After several days of gray and rainy weather, we’ll begin to transition to drier and sunnier weather. Our forecast for the days ahead really looks remarkably consistent, and for November, quite pleasant. Conditions start to look more dynamic next week as a stronger front moves through on Monday or Tuesday, setting up a cooler pattern that will likely persist through the Thanksgiving holiday.

Tuesday

By and large the rain is over. Over the last several days the Houston region, generally, picked up 2 to 4 inches of much needed rainfall that will help our ongoing recovery from this summer’s deep drought. There is still the potential for some isolated, light showers today, but with the low pressure system continuing to push eastward, the impetus for widespread rain has departed the building. We should actually see a bit of sunshine later today as the clouds start to break a bit. As a result high temperatures will reach about 70 degrees, with a light northerly wind. Low temperatures tonight will drop into the mid-50s, generally, in Houston. It will be a bit cooler for outlying areas.

Wednesday and Thursday

As high pressure builds over the area, we should see a pair of mostly sunny days with high temperatures in the low 70s. Winds will be light, generally from the north. Expect lows to drop into the mid- to upper-50s.

Friday

Friday may be a bit warmer, with highs in the mid-70s, and perhaps a few more clouds. Lows on Friday night will drop into the upper 50s.

Saturday and Sunday

The first half of the weekend looks splendid for any outdoor plans you have. Skies should be mostly sunny, with reasonably dry air, and highs in the low 70s. Lows on Saturday night will probably drop into the 50s, although there’s a bit of uncertainty. Sunday looks similar, although it will probably be partly cloudy due to a passing disturbance, and we can’t entirely rule out some light showers later in the day and during the evening hours. Call it a 20 percent-ish chance.

Next week and Turkey Day

Monday should be in the 70s ahead of the passage of a cold front, perhaps during the afternoon or maybe not until the overnight hours. There is a fairly decent signal for rainfall with this front, so I’d count on a healthy chance of precipitation on Monday and Tuesday, and perhaps lingering longer. We’ll see. In terms of temperatures it now appears as though the front will knock highs down to about 60 for a few days, with lows perhaps in the 40s or 50s. We’re getting to the fuzzy point of the forecast now, but at this point Thanksgiving does appear to be on the chillier side. Whether the holiday is rain free, well, I don’t have great confidence one way or the other.

Space City Weather fundraiser

We’re in the midst of our annual fundraiser, which is your one opportunity to support Space City Weather during the year. You wouldn’t believe how many people write to me during the spring or summer months and ask if they can’t buy a t-shirt. So don’t miss your chance now: Head on over to our pop-up store to pick up some merchandise or make a donation. Thank you!

Good morning. Much of the area picked up 0.5 to 1 inch of rain overnight, and we’ll see continued light rain for most of the rest of the day—certainly nothing to worry about in terms of flooding. We’ll see sunny skies by midweek, with generally mild temperatures. The weekend looks pleasant, likely with partly sunny skies and high temperatures in the 70s.

Additionally, we’re in the midst of our annual fundraiser, during which you can buy merchandise or donate to Space City Weather to support the work we do. Please visit our pop-up store here to help keep the site running.

Monday

Additional rainfall accumulations today will be on the order of 0.5 to 1 inch for most locations, with the greater totals likely nearer the coast, and lesser totals for inland areas. It will also be a bit breezy as this coastal low pressure system passes nearby, with gusts perhaps reaching 25 or 30 mph at times from the northeast. These winds will peak during the afternoon hours. High temperatures today will likely hang around 60 degrees. We’ll only drop off a few degrees tonight, and we’re likely to see additional, on-and-off, light rain showers.

Tuesday

As the low pressure system moves off to the east, we’ll see a bit of a transition day. Some light showers may linger near the coast, but we’ll also see more, drier air moving in from the north. As a result, skies will be mostly cloudy, with highs in the mid-60s. Northerly winds will blow at about 10 mph, but may gust at times to 20 mph. Temperatures will drop into the 50s on Tuesday night.

Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday

Have you missed the sunshine? It will return by the middle of the week, with partly sunny skies for the rest of the work week. We’ll be on a gradual warming trend, with highs of around 70 degrees on Wednesday, reaching the mid-70s by Friday. Similarly, lows on Wednesday morning in the mid-50s will climb to around 60 degrees by Friday night.

Saturday and Sunday

The weekend should bring continued, mild conditions. We probably will see more partly sunny skies, with high temperatures in the mid-70s. Lows will be around 60 degrees. Saturday looks nigh on perfect for outdoor activities. There is a slight chance of some showers later on Sunday, as a disturbance passes nearby, but for now I’d bet on the majority of the Houston metro area staying dry.

Next week, and an early peek at Thanksgiving

At some point early next week, most likely on Monday or early Tuesday, the region’s next front will push into the area. Some showers may accompany this front, but that is not entirely clear. This front is likely to usher a significantly drier air mass into the Houston region. But how much colder will it be? We can’t be sure. So Tuesday and Wednesday of next week should be a bit cooler, perhaps with highs in the 60s.

And what of Thanksgiving? Unfortunately there is a very broad spread in the model outlook at this point, with a high temperature forecast anywhere from the mid-50s to about 80 degrees. At this point I don’t really feel like guessing because the forecast could go many different ways. Will we get a reinforcing cool front in the middle of next week? Will the onshore flow return, instead, opening up the possibility of showers by Thanksgiving? As soon as there is any clarity, I’ll let you know.