Eric Berger

Good morning. A line of thunderstorms associated with a cool front is moving through the Houston region this morning, and these storms are strengthening a bit as they near the coast. For areas inland of Interstate 69/Highway 59, these showers are largely over, and they should clear the coast by mid-morning. These storms may produce briefly heavy rainfall, in addition to thunder and lightning. Please take care.

Tuesday

After the storms move through the area, we should see clearing skies. Drier air will follow, reaching northwest Houston this morning, the central city around noon and areas near the coast this afternoon. The question is whether the front itself makes it all the way to the coast, or lingers just onshore. This will have implications for whether places like Galveston Island and Chambers county see sunshine and drier air this evening, or not. Highs for most of the region will reach 80 degrees, and overnight temperatures will depend how far inland you live. The map below shows the forecast for lows Tuesday night.

Wednesday and Thursday

The front will return inland quickly, and as a result we’ll see increasing moisture levels on Wednesday in the atmosphere. This will basically make for gray, warm, and increasingly humid weather for Wednesday (highs near 80) degrees through Thursday morning. Some light scattered showers will be possible during this period. After that we’ll be on the watch for our next front, a bit stronger one. For now it looks like a capping inversion—warmer air aloft that prevents moist air at the surface from rising too far—should limit thunderstorms with this front. But it’s going to be a close call.

Regardless, it looks like the front will push through during the middle of the day Thursday, with showers ending by around Noon and clearing conditions afterward for most of the area. Winds from the north could be a bit breezy, gusting to around 20 mph. Lows Thursday night should drop into the 50s, with this being the coldest night for awhile.

Friday

Conditions looks quite pleasant for Friday, with sunny skies and highs in the upper 70s.

Saturday and Sunday

The weekend forecast remains somewhat in flux. Saturday now looks warmer and more humid, as the onshore flow resumes, with highs in the low 80s. Skies should be partly to mostly cloudy. Some scattered showers and possibly thunderstorms will be possible Saturday night before the passage of another front. This should set the stage for a sunnier Sunday, with highs near 80 degrees and drier air.

Next week should see a continuation of days with highs of around 80 degrees, and lows in the 50s or 60s.

After a stunning weekend, Houston will see varied conditions as fronts move back and forth across the area this week. By and large, temperatures will be warmer than the last several days, but not overly so. We’ll also see a reasonable number of rain chances, although we’re not expecting anything at all threatening.

Monday

The story today will be winds starting to blow more forcefully from the south, with gusts up to 20 mph, and this onshore flow will yield more clouds and humidity. Highs will reach the mid-70s. Some very light, scattered rain showers will be possible later today and tonight in response to rising moisture levels. Monday night’s lows will only drop into the mid-60s.

Tuesday

This warmer weather will continue Tuesday as a weak front approaches the region. The front may spark a bit more organized showers, with some thunderstorms possible as the front nears Interstate 69, and as it moves toward the coast. Rain chances should end around noon, with sunny skies moving in behind. Highs will get into the upper 70s to 80 degrees. Right now it looks like the front will stall near the coast, with lows dropping to around 60 degrees on Tuesday night.

Wednesday and Thursday

These will be a pair of warm and humid days, with highs around 80 degrees. Skies will be mostly cloudy and each day will have at least a slight chance of scattered, light showers. At some point on Thursday—shortly after noon, during the evening hours?—a stronger cold front will push through Houston and move offshore. This, again, may generate some slightly more organized showers and thunderstorms, but skies should clear up in its wake with overnight lows dropping into the 50s.

Friday, Saturday, and Sunday

Friday and Saturday should be nice, springtime days, with highs of around 80 degrees, and lows around 60. Skies should be mostly sunny. We have more questions about Sunday, as another front is likely to move through Houston at that time and may produce some scattered showers. For now, however, I’d guess the front’s passage will be a dry one, but we’ll have to get back to you on that one.

We’ve had several questions about weather for Easter Sunday, and I’d love to be able to offer you some kind of helpful forecast. But for now it’s simply too early to say much of anything. The most likely forecast is highs in the 70s, but really it could be anything at this point.

Temperatures this morning, dropping below 50 degrees for many inland areas, are the coldest they’ve been in 10 days after much drier and cooler air blew in over night. The region will now see four or five days of splendid spring-like weather before rain chances begin to creep up next Monday or Tuesday.

Thursday

After northerly winds near the coast gusted up to about 40 mph on Thursday night, they’ve died down a bit this morning. However we’ll have to wait until this afternoon or even the evening to see gusts drop below 20 mph. Conditions otherwise will be sunny today, with highs in the upper 60s. Overnight lows will drop into the upper 40s for everywhere but coastal areas. This should be the coldest night of the week.

Friday

Conditions may remain a bit breezy on Friday, as our northerly flow continues. Temperatures will be about the same as Thursday, with highs in the upper 60s under sunny skies. Overnight lows will probably be a degree or two warmer than Thursday night for most locations.

Saturday

This is about as nice a day as you could draw up for March in Houston. We’ll again see sunny skies, and highs should reach about 70 degrees with ample dry air. Winds will be very light, if not calm. Make your outdoor plans now!

Sunday

We may start to see a touch of humidity by Sunday, but conditions should still be very pleasant, with highs in the low 70s, and partly to mostly sunny skies. Overnight temperatures will be warmer, with some areas possibly not falling below 60 degrees on Monday morning.

Next week

Clouds will increase by Monday, and rain chances will likely be on the way up by Tuesday as the atmosphere becomes a little bit more perturbed. Thus we may see highs around 80 degrees and decent storm chances from Tuesday through about Thursday, after which time the next front may push into Houston. The details of all this remain hazy, however.

Good morning. Today will see a line of thunderstorms move through the Houston area between 7 am and Noon, to be followed by an influx of drier air across the region. This storm system will find more favorable conditions east of Houston, and there is a large area of the southern United States where severe storms—including tornadoes and hail—could form later today. NOAA hasn’t issued a “high” risk warning for severe storms, which is the magenta-colored area centered over Mississippi in the map below, since 2019. This is a serious situation, and any travel east of the greater Houston area today should be carefully considered.

Wednesday

As of around sunrise, a fairly organized line of storms is moving through the College Station area, and this will continue to advance toward Houston this morning. However, due to a capping inversion, we expect the intensity of these storms to weaken as they move into the city. They should exit to the east by around Noon or 1pm. Rainfall accumulation for most will be around 0.25 inch, which is unfortunate because many areas could use a little more than this. We cannot rule out an isolated strong thunderstorm, so take care when out and about this morning in Houston.

Glorious spring time weather eventually awaits us behind the front, and we should see clearing skies this afternoon as drier air moves into the area. Lows tonight will drop down to around 50 degrees, and winds may gust as high as 30mph out of the north.

Thursday and Friday

Thursday will start out gusty as well, but winds should die down some during the afternoon and evening hours. We’ll see sunny skies throughout the end of the work week, with highs in the upper 60s to 70 degrees, and lows in the upper 40s for the most part. It looks like Friday night will be the coldest night of the week.

Saturday and Sunday

Saturday will see full sunshine and highs of around 70 degrees, but as winds take on a more southerly flavor we may see a few clouds start to pop up by Sunday, when highs may climb into the low- to mid-70s. Rain chances remain near zero throughout the weekend.

Next week

We’ll see a continued warming trend into the early part of next week, as highs get into the upper 70s perhaps, with slightly better rain chances and more clouds. It looks like some kind of front will work its way through on Tuesday or Wednesday, but I don’t have any confidence in the details.

So for now, enjoy our amazing spring-like weather in the days ahead, and check on friends and family members in the southeast after the storms there later today and tonight.