Eric Berger

Good morning. It’s quite warm this morning, and after several days of mostly sunny skies a thicker cloud deck has streamed in from the west during the overnight hours. Here’s what this building cloud deck looks like on satellite.

The clouds, warmer weather, and healthy rain chances will be with us through Wednesday before a cold front moves through and clears us out. We’re watching for a risk of strong thunderstorms Tuesday night and Wednesday during the daytime, but right now our concerns for the Houston area are not too great.

Monday

Today should be most gray and warm, with highs in the upper 70s despite cloudy skies. Expect light winds out of the south. Rain chances are probably around 10 percent for most of the area, with anything that falls likely being light. Lows Monday night will only drop into the upper 60s for most of Houston, with the possibility of some fog early Tuesday morning.

Tuesday

By Tuesday our atmosphere will be more moist, and will support the kind of lifting required for rainfall. However, for the most part Tuesday should be similar to Monday with just a bit more widespread light (misty?) rainfall that should not provide any accumulations. Temperatures Tuesday will again be in the upper 70s. If you’re heading out to the opening act of the Houston Livestock Show and Rodeo, Midland, we can’t rule out the possibility of some light rain but we’re not expecting anything too organized. Temperatures will be warm, likely around 70 degrees, during the evening hours.

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After Wednesday’s strong northerly winds, conditions have calmed down this morning. The lack of winds has helped temperatures fall down to near freezing in the city of Houston, and brought a light freeze to most outlying areas. Cold though it is, temperatures will bounce back pretty quickly by Friday, with 70s throughout the weekend.

Thursday

Not a whole lot to say about today, winds should remain light, and after a start around freezing high temperatures will generally warm into the upper 50s under full sunshine. Temperatures this evening for the BBQ Cook-Off will fall to around 50 just after sunset, and into the upper 40s later this evening. Overnight low temperatures should be about 5 to 10 degrees warmer than those on Wednesday night.

Friday

This should be an absolutely splendid day for the region. Skies again will be clear, with light westerly winds. We can probably expect high temperatures to crest at about 70 degrees, with low humidity. Does Houston’s weather get much more perfect than that? Probably not. Our only concern at this time is high tree pollen counts, and if you’re stuffy today it’s probably because Wednesday’s winds really spread the pollen around.

Saturday

This will be another nice day, with highs in the low 70s, and mostly sunny skies. We’ll see winds turn around to come from the south, however this won’t have too much of an effect on our weather until Saturday night. This will see the beginning of the end for our drier air. Lows Saturday night will only fall down to around 60, or just below.

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What can be said about Tuesday’s weather? It was nigh perfect and will easily go down as one of the 10 nicest days of the year in Houston. The region will soon get back to pleasant weather, but we’re going to have to get through a cold, blustery day today, and a very chilly night before we do so.

Wednesday

Blustery is indeed a good word for this morning. During the hour before sunrise, airports at Hobby, Ellington, and Galveston all recorded wind gusts above 30mph as a cold, northerly air mass sinks into the region. This combination of winds, cold air, and partly cloudy skies will make for a cold day, with highs only topping out somewhere in the low- to mid-50s. Skies will begin to clear this evening, and as the sun sets winds should die down as well. This mix of clear skies and light winds will allow for ideal cooling conditions tonight, with inland areas likely seeing a light freeze.

Thursday

After a cool start, look for high temperatures to rebound into the upper 50s for most of the area on Thursday. With only light winds and full sunshine, this should not feel too cold, even though absolute temperatures likely will only be a few degrees warmer than on Wednesday. If you’re heading out to the Houston Livestock Show and Rodeo BBQ Cook-Off, expect evening temperatures of around 50 degrees. Overnight lows will be 5 to 10 degrees warmer than Wednesday night—so comfortably above a freeze.

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Skies are clearing out today, setting the stage for a clear and cool pattern. The primary concern we have this week is the potential for a light freeze on Thursday morning—aside from that it should be almost all sunshine. This includes weather for the Houston Livestock Show and Rodeo BBQ Cook-Off, which may be a bit chilly, but will have no concerns with rains or winds.

Tuesday

Lows this morning are generally in the 50s, with some areas already seeing clear skies. Others soon will. Highs today will likely reach into the 70s—making for a perfectly pleasant day—before a stronger front pushes through the region this evening. The front will probably arrive in downtown Houston at around sunset, or shortly thereafter, and will be notable for its strong northwesterly winds. They could gust up to about 30mph during the overnight hours as temperatures drop into the 40s. We can’t entirely rule out some very light rain showers during the pre-dawn hours on Wednesday.

Wednesday

This will be a sunny, cold, and breezy day. Expect highs only to reach the mid-50s, and the day will feel quite cool with northerly winds gusting as high as 25mph. As winds die down late Wednesday night we will see ideal conditions for cold weather late Wednesday and early Thursday, when a light freeze is likely for most inland areas (see the map above).

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