Eric Berger

We’re going to have a pair of warm and potentially wet days this week before a cool front arrives on Wednesday evening to bring sunshine and more seasonable weather back to the area. We’re still eyeing the possibility of storms Tuesday night and Wednesday, but we’re not overly concerned as we expect the system to weaken as it approaches Houston.

Tuesday

You’ve got two choices for weather today: Gray and humid, or humid and gray. Some areas near the coast are seeing foggy conditions, and that should burn off later this morning. We’ll be left with a cloudy day, high temperatures near 80 degrees, and increasingly moist air. But it seems likely that rain showers will, for the most part, hold off until at least the overnight hours.

If you’re heading out to the Houston Livestock Show and Rodeo’s opening night, you probably don’t need sleeves. Temperatures this evening should remain in the low 70s, with only light winds from the southeast. A smattering of light rain is possible, but our guess is that you’ll remain dry.

Wednesday

An upper-level low pressure system will push through the region on Tuesday night and Wednesday, but the models are all over the place in terms of rainfall. They’re struggling with the fact that while there is a fair amount atmospheric moisture, a capping inversion may prevent widespread showers and thunderstorms. At a best guess, I think most of the area probably will see a couple of tenths of an inch of rainfall, but its certainly possible that northern areas (likely north of The Woodlands) could get 1 to 3 inches, and southern areas little to no rain at all. A front arrives Wednesday afternoon or evening to begin to cool us down.

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Good morning. It’s quite warm this morning, and after several days of mostly sunny skies a thicker cloud deck has streamed in from the west during the overnight hours. Here’s what this building cloud deck looks like on satellite.

The clouds, warmer weather, and healthy rain chances will be with us through Wednesday before a cold front moves through and clears us out. We’re watching for a risk of strong thunderstorms Tuesday night and Wednesday during the daytime, but right now our concerns for the Houston area are not too great.

Monday

Today should be most gray and warm, with highs in the upper 70s despite cloudy skies. Expect light winds out of the south. Rain chances are probably around 10 percent for most of the area, with anything that falls likely being light. Lows Monday night will only drop into the upper 60s for most of Houston, with the possibility of some fog early Tuesday morning.

Tuesday

By Tuesday our atmosphere will be more moist, and will support the kind of lifting required for rainfall. However, for the most part Tuesday should be similar to Monday with just a bit more widespread light (misty?) rainfall that should not provide any accumulations. Temperatures Tuesday will again be in the upper 70s. If you’re heading out to the opening act of the Houston Livestock Show and Rodeo, Midland, we can’t rule out the possibility of some light rain but we’re not expecting anything too organized. Temperatures will be warm, likely around 70 degrees, during the evening hours.

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After Wednesday’s strong northerly winds, conditions have calmed down this morning. The lack of winds has helped temperatures fall down to near freezing in the city of Houston, and brought a light freeze to most outlying areas. Cold though it is, temperatures will bounce back pretty quickly by Friday, with 70s throughout the weekend.

Thursday

Not a whole lot to say about today, winds should remain light, and after a start around freezing high temperatures will generally warm into the upper 50s under full sunshine. Temperatures this evening for the BBQ Cook-Off will fall to around 50 just after sunset, and into the upper 40s later this evening. Overnight low temperatures should be about 5 to 10 degrees warmer than those on Wednesday night.

Friday

This should be an absolutely splendid day for the region. Skies again will be clear, with light westerly winds. We can probably expect high temperatures to crest at about 70 degrees, with low humidity. Does Houston’s weather get much more perfect than that? Probably not. Our only concern at this time is high tree pollen counts, and if you’re stuffy today it’s probably because Wednesday’s winds really spread the pollen around.

Saturday

This will be another nice day, with highs in the low 70s, and mostly sunny skies. We’ll see winds turn around to come from the south, however this won’t have too much of an effect on our weather until Saturday night. This will see the beginning of the end for our drier air. Lows Saturday night will only fall down to around 60, or just below.

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What can be said about Tuesday’s weather? It was nigh perfect and will easily go down as one of the 10 nicest days of the year in Houston. The region will soon get back to pleasant weather, but we’re going to have to get through a cold, blustery day today, and a very chilly night before we do so.

Wednesday

Blustery is indeed a good word for this morning. During the hour before sunrise, airports at Hobby, Ellington, and Galveston all recorded wind gusts above 30mph as a cold, northerly air mass sinks into the region. This combination of winds, cold air, and partly cloudy skies will make for a cold day, with highs only topping out somewhere in the low- to mid-50s. Skies will begin to clear this evening, and as the sun sets winds should die down as well. This mix of clear skies and light winds will allow for ideal cooling conditions tonight, with inland areas likely seeing a light freeze.

Thursday

After a cool start, look for high temperatures to rebound into the upper 50s for most of the area on Thursday. With only light winds and full sunshine, this should not feel too cold, even though absolute temperatures likely will only be a few degrees warmer than on Wednesday. If you’re heading out to the Houston Livestock Show and Rodeo BBQ Cook-Off, expect evening temperatures of around 50 degrees. Overnight lows will be 5 to 10 degrees warmer than Wednesday night—so comfortably above a freeze.

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