Eric Berger

Tuesday’s front moved through as advertised, dropping between 0.25 and 0.5 inch of rain across the area and pushing our temperatures down dramatically. After a gray day yesterday, expect mostly clear skies well into the weekend. Yes, we’re going to have yet another amazing fall weekend in Houston.

Wednesday

Conditions are generally cold, cloudy, and gusty this morning with low temperatures in the 40s. That will change as the cloud deck follows the front offshore, leading to clearing skies later today for the region. Partial sunshine should allow highs to reach the mid- to upper-50s—so quite chilly for the daytime—before another cold tonight with low temperatures falling into the mid-40s. Winds will die down today, coming from the north at 5 to 10 mph.

Thursday and Friday

These two smashing days will be partly to mostly sunny affairs, with highs in the mid-60s to 70 degrees and overnight lows around 50 degrees. The forecast models are somewhat split as to whether a modest cool front will push through on Friday to reinforce the cooler weather, but I think the biggest question is whether this drives low temperatures on Saturday morning down to the mid-40s, or lower 50s.

See full post

Good morning. The basic forecast for this week calls for warm weather on Monday before a front sweeps through and keeps the region cool through Friday or Saturday. The notable thing about this front is that, tonight and Tuesday, it will bring our best chance of widespread rain in a month.

Monday

Temperatures on Monday will be quite warm, with highs near 80 degrees under mostly cloudy skies. A southwesterly flow will really pump warmth and moisture into the region, and at the surface we should see winds gusting up to 25 mph. The atmosphere generally will not support rain during the day, but that should change later on Monday night. But before the front arrives, we can expect a warm and humid night, with lows perhaps only dropping into the upper 60s.

Tuesday

The cold front should reach far northwestern Harris County by or shortly after midnight, and reach the coast roughly around sunrise. The temperature should drop 10 to 15 degrees in the wake of the front, and highs on Tuesday are likely to fall through the 50s throughout the day. Winds will be quite gusty, out of the north at up to perhaps 30 mph. The front won’t immediately scour moisture from the atmosphere, so we should be left with a gray, wet day—with on-and-off, mostly light to moderate rainfall. Right now, we expect that most people will probably receieve 0.25 to 0.75 inches of rainfall, with a few outliers either way. Rains should end by around sunset on Tuesday.

See full post

Sorry, I know these headlines are getting a bit cheesy. But how many ways can you say the weather is going to be be great?

Several readers have noted the region’s dry weather of late, and it’s true that almost the entire area has seen less rainfall than normal since Tropical Storm Imelda in September. The last 30 days—the percent of normal rainfall for this period is shown below—have been particularly dry. There is a reasonable chance that next week will see the return of a decent amount of precipitation, as we’ll discuss below.

Thursday

Oh noes! For one day this week Houston may not see mostly sunny skies. That day is today. A southeasterly flow will push temperatures up into the 70s today, and bring enough moisture into the atmosphere such that we should see at least partly, if not mostly cloudy skies after this morning. Low temperatures tonight should get down into the low 60s for most.

Friday

After a warmish start during the early morning, a cold front should push into Houston between sunrise and noon. With only a modest amount of moisture return, I would expect most of us to see no rainfall at all, although we can’t entirely rule out a few spotty, very light showers. After the front, skies will clear, and we’ll see a beautiful day in the 70s.

See full post

Good morning. Our absolutely splendid weather continues. The only concern today is some dense fog to the southwest of Houston. Some parts of Wharton, Matagorda, and southern Fort Bend Counties are reporting visibilities of less than a quarter of a mile. This fog should clear by or before 9am.

Wednesday

A weak front is pushing through Houston, which will keep our great weather going. Light, northerly winds today will ensure a sunny day, with a high temperature of around 70 degrees. Wednesday night will be partly cloudy, with low temperatures generally in the low 50s. Can you complain about this? I dare you.

Thursday

Expect a mix of sunshine and clouds as the onshore flow briefly returns. Highs will likely push into the mid-70s, with somewhat more humid air—but this is still going to be a really nice day for the region. Lows will probably only fall to around 60 degrees ahead of a cold front Friday morning.

See full post