Eric Berger

Houston experienced another dreary weekend, with unrelenting gray skies and on-and-off rainfall. We’ve had so many of these in 2018 that I joked about them on Twitter.

Yet another weekend of beautiful weather for Houston, courtesy of your friends @SpaceCityWX. pic.twitter.com/XVbqMbu1xM

— Eric Berger (@SpaceCityWX) February 25, 2018

Fortunately, I think this pattern will break in a few days for the region, so let’s get right to the forecast.

Monday

Dense fog has developed for parts of Houston (there’s an advisory in effect until 10am) but other areas are pretty clear this morning. This fog should burn off pretty quickly. Otherwise, that nearly stationary front that helped spur widespread rain showers this weekend has finally pushed off the coast. That doesn’t mean we’re going to see sunny skies today, although I think some sun could peek through briefly. Instead, we’ll see a fair amount of clouds, and a chance of scattered, light showers later today with highs of around 70 degrees. Lows tonight will be in the upper 50s for inland areas, and lower 60s closer to the coast.

Tuesday

Similar to Monday in that our skies will be mostly gray, but we should also see a rise in moisture levels as the onshore flow resumes from the Gulf of Mexico. Again, some scattered rain showers are possible, but nothing to write home about. The warmer flow should allow highs to reach up into the upper 70s.

Wednesday

Temperatures on Wednesday will depend on how much sunshine will poke through the clouds. If it is a mostly cloudy day, highs will be around 80 degrees. If some sunshine breaks through during the afternoon, I think we’ll get into the low 80s. Rain chances are low.

See full post

The cold front that has been driving all of the precipitation finally pushed through the Houston area during the overnight hours, and so we’re generally seeing low temperatures in the 50s this morning—with 40s to the west and far north of Houston. The front lies just offshore, so this cold weather won’t last as the warmer air pushes back onshore.

Thursday

High temperatures today will be in the 70s under cloudy skies. Rain chances remain, but we’re not going to see the prolonged, heavier showers the region experienced on Wednesday. About half of the area probably won’t see any rain at all today, especially along the coast. Lows tonight will be warmer, as the onshore flow resumes.

Friday and Saturday

Friday and Saturday will be warmer and muggier under mostly cloudy skies, as Houston falls back into a pattern we’ve experienced a lot of this month. Expect highs in the upper 70s, with southerly winds, and warm nighttime temperatures in the 60s. Rain chances will be lower on Friday, and a bit higher on Saturday as moisture levels ramp back up and a cold front approaches and moves through the area during the evening or overnight hours.

See full post

A round of thunderstorms moved through Houston during the overnight hours, dropping as much as 2 inches of rainfall for some areas pretty quickly, but now the Houston region is seeing a break that should hold through at least sunrise and probably the morning commute.

Wednesday

The cold front that’s helping to drive these showers (along with some kinks in the atmosphere moving northward into the region) isn’t going away, so there’s the potential for redevelopment of heavy rain later this morning and throughout the day. To that end, the National Weather Service has issued a Flash Flood Watch through 3pm this afternoon for most of the region, excepting the coast.

With that said, I don’t things will get too bad today, and probably at most we are looking at the potential for some short-lived street flooding during heavier downpours. Bottom line—check the radar before heading out for any trips beyond the local grocery store. The front should eventually make its way through most of Houston, leading to a somewhat cooler night in the 50s for most of the area except for probably along the coast.

See full post

Conditions favorable for heavy rainfall will set up over Texas beginning later today, but for now we continue to think that the hardest hit areas will be north of Houston over the next two days. Regardless, we’ll be watching the system closely because of its potential for mischief.

Tuesday

After a warm morning, conditions will remain muggy throughout the day, with highs in the upper 70s and mostly cloudy skies. Winds will be gusty out of the south, and we may see some scattered rain showers this afternoon—but nothing to get too concerned about. We’ll have to wait until the overnight hours for heavier stuff.

Tuesday night, Wednesday, and Wednesday night

The combination of a very slow moving cold front (moving in from the northwest), very moist air, and a series of atmospheric disturbances moving north from Mexico will create conditions for bands of very heavy rainfall across Texas. As the map below from NOAA shows, the best chance for heavy rainfall appears to be north of the Houston metro area.

As always, with these forecasts, they are a guide about general conditions rather than an exact prediction. Given the atmospheric conditions, we definitely will have the potential for heavy rainfall in Houston, too.

See full post