Eric Berger

A quick update on next week’s storms

I hope you’re enjoying the beautiful weather today, which may only be marred by slight rain chances this evening. We’ll have another pleasant fall-like day on Sunday, with only a slight chance of scattered showers. The big concern remains the possibility of severe weather next week.

On Monday, as an upper-level low pressure system moves into the western part of the state, the upper Texas coast will see a warm, and muggy November day with highs near 80 degrees. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible, and we can’t rule out the possibility of severe thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening hours.

This forecast of the mid-levels of the atmosphere on Tuesday night shows the potent upper-level system and conditions for severe weather. (Weather Bell)
This forecast of the mid-levels of the atmosphere on Tuesday night shows the potent upper-level system and conditions for severe weather. (Weather Bell)

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After a pleasant weekend, very severe weather possible Monday and Tuesday

Houston will have three more or less pleasant fall-like days through Sunday, but faces the threat of potentially very severe weather on Monday afternoon through Thursday morning.

TODAY

It’s a chilly start today with most of Houston in the 50s, and under partly to mostly cloudy skies we’re unlikely warm much above the mid-60s. Some sprinkles crossing the northern part of the region this morning will clear out by this afternoon. We’ll have another cool night tonight.

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Pleasant weather this week, but strong storms possible after that

From now on, for the convenience of mobile users, I’m going to begin each post with a brief summary: Houston will have several pleasant fall days before a slight chance of rain returns on Sunday. Strong storms are possible on Monday and Tuesday ahead of significant front.

TODAY-SATURDAY

After 0.1 to 0.5 inches of rain fell across most of the Houston area on Wednesday night showers are moving out of the area, and being replaced by much drier air. Highs climbed into the mid-80s for much of Houston on Wednesday, and temperatures for now through Saturday will feel much cooler, in the upper 60s to about 70 degrees. Nighttime temperatures will also feel great, in the low 50s. Expect partly sunny days.

Saturday should be the nicest weekend day in several weeks.

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After the front tonight, a gorgeous second half of the week

What a contrast in conditions this morning across Houston compared to the last couple of days, with temperatures generally in the low- to mid-70s out there. It’s September-like.

TODAY

It also won’t last. A cold front remains on track to cross through the region, likely between about 9 p.m. and early Thursday morning. There’s a chance of rain with the front but I think we’re looking at a tenth of an inch or two, at most. As a result I expect to see scattered light rain this afternoon, with short-duration showers of moderate intensity between 6 p.m. and midnight.

GFS model forecast for rain accumulation tonight. (Weather Bell)
GFS model forecast for rain accumulation tonight. (Weather Bell)

 

Highs today, before the front, will be in the low 80s. It’ll definitely be a muggy day.

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