Weather-wise, this past September was pretty terrible. There were the floods of Tropical Storm Imelda, which were especially terrible north and east of the Houston metro area. Then there was the heat: Highs were 98 degrees, or above, for the first eight days above, and overall this was by far Houston’s warmest September on record. Finally, the region saw no cool fronts to bring down overnight temperatures, so it remained hot and muggy throughout the month.
Although this region has had worse extreme weather during past Septembers—such as the landfalls of the Great Storm of 1900 and Hurricane Ike in 2008—I would argue that end-to-end this has been the worst overall September weather in Houston. Good riddance. Fortunately, October promises to be better with a cool front likely in about one week’s time.
Tuesday and Wednesday
The heat continues. With Houston falling under the influence of high pressure the region will continue to see hot and mostly sunny days and warm, humid nights. Expect high temperatures on Tuesday and Wednesday to reach 90 degrees, or warmer, for inland areas. Nights will be extra sticky, with lows for much of the region only falling into the upper 70s. Rain chances remain near zero, except possibly for a few isolated areas near Matagorda Bay.
Thursday and Friday
A front will move into north Texas toward the end of this week, and some scattered, mostly light rain showers associated with this could drift into the Houston area—especially north of Interstate 10. However, accumulations should generally be quite low, on the order of one-tenth of an inch for most. It’s not clear how much, of any, drier air from this front will work its way into Houston, but highs should still push up to about 90 degrees for everyone.
Saturday and Sunday
At this point, the weekend looks mostly hot, mostly sunny, and mostly dry. Look for high temperatures around 90 degrees.
The cold front remains on schedule for about next Monday, with about 85 percent of ensemble members in the European model showing its passage early next week. Some light rain is possible on Monday with the front’s passage, but we’ll have to work out those details later. We’ll also have to see how cold things get, but some lows in the 50s for inland areas are possible by next Tuesday or Wednesday morning. And aren’t we just so ready?
A few people have asked about the new, yellow blob on the National Hurricane Center map aimed toward the Gulf of Mexico. We mentioned this yesterday, and told you it had a low chance of development. (The hurricane center gives it a 10 percent chance over the next five days). The bottom line is that the most likely scenario, no matter what develops, is that the aforementioned cool front prevents this system from ultimately moving toward Texas.
Reliant AC contest winner
As you may recall, during this summer, Reliant sponsored two contests for Space City Weather to win two complete AC systems. We’re thrilled to announce the winner of the second and final competition is Wendy Royer. She’s been using that system during this late summer-heat, although we’re hopeful she’ll be able to turn it off next week.
“We are absolutely stunned to have won this incredible gift! Our A/C Unit is fourteen years old so the timing of this is wonderful. We are thrilled to be Reliant customers for life!” Wendy said.
Thank you to Reliant for providing such great prizes during this very hot summer.