Sorry for the late post this morning. I’m still traveling, and Matt had some other business to attend to this morning. We’ll be back to our regular schedule next week. In the meantime, I’m unhappy to report that Houston’s weather still looks fairly lousy.
As the onshore flow ramps back up today, we can expect to see warmer conditions, with high temperatures near 70 degrees. There’s the possibility of a few scattered showers later this afternoon, but for the better rain chances we’re going to have to wait for tonight and Saturday.
Ugh. We’re going to see a spike in atmospheric moisture levels beginning Friday night and into Saturday morning, and in combination with divergence over head (which allows the warm, moist air at the surface to rise), we’re going to see a really healthy chance of rain showers beginning Friday night and through part or most of the day on Saturday.
Right now the best chance of heavy rain seems likely to come on Saturday morning, when a few areas could see some rainfall rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour during the heaviest storms. This could be enough to cause street flooding, so please take care if you plan to be out and about. Overall, I’d anticipate widespread accumulations of 1 to 3 inches, which higher isolated totals possible. Highs Saturday will be around 70 degrees again. We’ll watch the potential of flooding for you, and update if needed.
The storm system should move off to the east on Saturday, and then our next big change in the weather will come on Sunday, when the region’s next front moves into the area. Temperatures will fall behind the front, and while the air will be drier I think we can still expect some scattered showers throughout the day. Sunday’s highs will probably top out at about 50 degrees.
After an overnight low of around 40 degrees, Monday will remain chilly, with highs in the 50s under mostly cloudy skies. We can’t rule out a few showers, but I don’t anticipate anything too heavy.
We’re going to see a warming trend for most of the rest of next week, with highs climbing into the 70s by Wednesday, and possibly reaching 80 degrees later on. Overnight lows will be correspondingly warm, likely falling only into the 60s by Thursday or so. Rain chances will linger for most of the week. Sadly, I don’t expect to see much sunshine for quite awhile.