If you relish rainfall, Friday and Saturday will offer a feast

Good morning, and Happy Thanksgiving! While this has been a very difficult year I nonetheless have a lot to be thankful for—my family, a great partner on this website in Matt, and an even greater community to write for. Please know that the thing Matt and I value the most is your trust, and we will never stop trying to earn it.

Thanksgiving Day

Temperatures have generally fallen into the 50s this morning for the region, except for coastal communities. You may see some sunshine this morning, but clouds will quickly fill in as winds shift from the northeast to east—say goodbye, because we’re not going to see the Sun again until Sunday. Showers will develop this morning, but remain primarily offshore. However we can’t rule out at least some light precipitation along, and southeast of Interstate 69 during the daytime today. High temperatures will warm into the mid-70s for most areas.

NOAA forecast for total rainfall between now and Monday. (Pivotal Weather)

Friday and Saturday

More organized storms should begin to develop by Friday morning, and then we should see our best chances for heavy rainfall from Friday afternoon through Saturday afternoon. We’re continuing to lean toward the region seeing a “good soaking” rather than “serious flooding.” The forecast models continue to suggest most of the area will see 2 to 5 inches of rain over the two-day period, which is more than manageable considering the dry state of our soils. However, we may see some more localized areas of heavy rainfall, and if rain rates pulse up to 1.5 to 2 inches per hour we will see some street flooding. We think these heaviest rains will probably come right along the coast.

Beyond the potential for heavy rainfall, there may be some small hail, although chances for this or any other type of severe weather remain quite low. Bottom line: If you’re going to be out and about from Friday afternoon through Saturday night, check the radar before you go. Things will probably be fine, but it does not hurt to check.

By Tuesday morning, it will be very cold across Houston. (Pivotal Weather)

Sunday and next week

It still looks like a strong front will push into Houston early on Sunday, reaching the city before sunrise, and likely pushing off the coast around sunrise. Skies should clear quickly after the front’s passage, and Sunday will be a blustery day in the wake of the front, with highs struggling to reach 60 degrees. Next Monday night looks quite cold, with inland areas possibly seeing a light freeze. If you live in, say, The Woodlands, you may want to monitor the forecast to see if precautions are needed to protect tender plants.

Matt will have your forecast on Friday morning. If warranted by heavier than expected rainfall, we’ll update the site this weekend.

15 thoughts on “If you relish rainfall, Friday and Saturday will offer a feast”

  1. HAPPY THANKSGIVING GUYS!!!! Myself and the other 20,000 some odd subscribers are SO thankful for all your honest, straightforward weather reporting that not only keeps us informed but more importantly safe!!!!

  2. Happy Thanksgiving to you Eric and Matt. I am thankful for your trusted reporting. I feel like I’m communicating with a friend. 🦃🍂🏈🍽😊🕉JMT

  3. I appreciate the forecast. As a cyclist I wish you would give more wind data. Speed and direction. Thanks.

    • Bicycling in the last couple of years, I ‘ve noticed that the wind has gotten windier. Or maybe I am just getting lazier.

  4. Guys. Thank you for the great site. My first year in Texas wasent sure what to expect Thanks to y’all I stay a step ahead on weather
    Del Harris

  5. Thanks for the holiday update guys.

    To the rest of the community:
    With today’s update plus all the hurricane updates, they’ve more than earned our support. This has been a hard year for many people, but for those of us whose income hasn’t changed, we can show our gratitude to the whole SCW crew by supporting the fundraiser. If I calculate it right, it ends the day before Giving Tuesday.

  6. Happy Thanksgiving to you all. Thank you for all you do for us. Enjoy your families and friends and be safe.

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