Good morning. We have now made it through October, and thanks to a few fairly strong cold fronts Houston ended with an average temperature of 70.0 degrees. This is 1.8 degrees below normal for the region. Looking ahead to November, NOAA is predicting that we will likely see warmer than normal conditions this month. That seems like a reasonable forecast to me, as looking ahead to the next two weeks I don’t see much evidence for a strong influx of colder air. Things could always change later this month, however.

Tuesday

As expected much of the southern half of the Houston region is seeing light to moderate showers this morning as an atmospheric disturbance combines with moisture from the Gulf of Mexico. These showers are strongest near the coast this morning, but some of these heavier showers may migrate inland a bit later today. Showers will be possible throughout the area into the afternoon hours before ending this evening. Accumulations of one-half inch or more are possible south of Interstate 10, with lesser amounts inland. Expect highs today near 70 degrees, with light easterly winds for the most part. Lows tonight will drop into the 60s.

Astros forecast

Due to concerns about thunderstorms popping up in the middle innings on Monday night, Game 3 of the World Series between the Astros and Phillies was canceled. There are no weather concerns tonight. Look for game time temperatures in the low 60s at 7 pm CT, and not dropping a while lot. Winds will be very light (breathe easy, Yankees fans). Skies should be clear. Let’s go Astros!

Wednesday and Thursday

Back in Houston, skies should clear out some by Wednesday morning, and I expect a pair of partly to mostly sunny days as a result. Look for highs in the upper 70s on Wednesday, and perhaps around 80 degrees on Thursday. As dewpoints rise to near 70 degrees, the air will feel fairly humid, and lows will struggle to fall much below 70 degrees.

Friday and Friday night

Friday looks to be the warmest day of the week, with highs in the low 80s and muggy air. It won’t be summer, but it certainly won’t be crisp outside. Look for partly sunny skies. At some point—probably after sunset Friday, and before sunrise on Saturday—it looks like a line of showers will form ahead of a modest cool front moving down into the region. It is too early to have much confidence, but this line of storms could bring some severe weather with it. We should get a better sense of this in a day or two.

Saturday

Showers associated with the front should end on Saturday morning, and in their wake we should see clearing skies and breezy northerly winds. Highs on Saturday likely will get into the mid-70s. Lows drop into the 50s.

Sunday

This looks like a mostly sunny and fine day, with highs likely in the upper 70s. The morning will start out with ample dry air, but the southerly flow will reestablish itself fairly quickly, so look for increasingly humid air by Sunday night. Lows will likely only drop into the 60s.

Next week

I would expect a couple of warmish days in the low 80s next week before some sort of additional front comes through. I don’t have any confidence in the details, however.

Good morning. The overall forecast for this week will see generally mild conditions, with a healthy chance of light showers on Tuesday, and a slow warming trend before some sort of front arrives this weekend. This is definitely fall in Houston, so get outside and enjoy the weather.

Monday

There will be few tricks for our weather today, or during trick-or-treating hours this evening. Skies will be partly sunny, with highs in the upper 70s and light winds from the northeast. Temperatures will likely fall into the upper 60s after sunset, which is fairly typical for this time of year. Late tonight we may see some rain showers moving into the area from the southwest, but they should hold off until at least midnight, if not later. Lows will drop into the low 60s.

Astros forecast

We predict an Astros win tonight. Oh, you meant a weather forecast. Game time temperatures at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia this evening for Game 3 of the World Series, which starts at 7:03 pm CT, will be about 60 degrees, with light southerly winds. They won’t drop much throughout the game.

Our major concern is rainfall, with about a 50 percent chance during the evening hours. However, any rain that does fall before midnight looks to be fairly light, so it probably will be something the game can be played through. Nevertheless, forecasters will be watching closely for any stray thunderstorms.

Tuesday

Ok, back to Houston weather. An atmospheric disturbance will pass over much of Texas on Tuesday, and it will combine with increasing moisture levels to produce a healthy chance of showers over our region. Chances are best along and south of Interstate 10, where moisture levels are highest. Those areas probably have a 50 percent, or greater, chance of rain, whereas the odds are lower for inland areas. Most locations will see a tenth of an inch of rain, or two, so we’re not anticipating any serious issues. With mostly cloudy skies in place, look for highs around 70 degrees, with easterly winds. Rain chances start to fade during the late afternoon and evening hours.

Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday

The second half of the work week will see partly to mostly sunny skies, with highs warming from the upper 70s on Wednesday into the low-80s by Friday. Lows will generally be in the 60s. Rain chances are essentially zero until Friday evening or overnight, when the next front approaches the region.

Saturday and Sunday

The weather to start the weekend will be determined the timing of the front, so for now the forecast is written in pencil. I’d anticipate a healthy chance of showers on Friday night and into Saturday morning, with winds becoming fairly breezy out of the northwest as the front hits. After the front moves through skies should clear out fairly quickly, so my expectation for conditions by Saturday afternoon, as of now, is partly sunny skies and highs in the mid-70s. We’ll see. Confidence in Sunday’s forecast is higher, with temperatures in the 70s, drier air, and sunny skies. I think we’ll warm up fairly quickly after this front, but there’s probably another one on the way by the middle of next week.

Good morning. If you live in the southern half of the Houston region, roughly along or south of Interstate 10, you already picked up about one-half inch of rain overnight. A storm system will bring a few additional waves of rain today, with the main belt of showers moving through this afternoon and early evening. The ensuing front will set the stage for several cooler and drier days. In short, after getting some much needed rainfall, fall-like weather will prevail for a while. Hard to complain about that!

Friday

This morning most (but not all) of the storm activity is offshore, and based on radar trends it looks as though these showers will remain so for now. However, the main driver of storm activity, a low pressure system in the atmosphere, is still moving toward the area so I don’t expect the largest chunk of showers and thunderstorms, some possibly severe, until late this morning and into the afternoon hours.

These storms will move from west to east across the area, with the heaviest rains likely exiting to the east by around sunset if not before. What should your expectations be? I still think most of the area will see 1 to 2 inches of rainfall, but there is still some uncertainty in that. Within stronger thunderstorms, there will be the potential for damaging winds, and a lesser chance of hail or possibly a tornado. High temperatures today are unlikely to rise above the mid-70s, with mostly cloudy skies.

If you’re traveling to the Astros game this evening, you should anticipate the possibility of some slowdowns due to weather on the way to the game, but afterward the weather should be fine except for the possibility of some lingering, light showers.

Saturday

While the showers should end on Saturday, it now looks like we’ll see cloud cover linger over the area for much of the day. This should help to limit high temperatures to about 70 degrees to go along with northwesterly winds gusting up to 20 mph. Lows on Saturday night should drop into the 50s, with partly cloudy skies.

Sunday

This will be a fine, fall weekend day with highs in the mid-70s and partly to mostly sunny skies. Winds will be light, generally from the northeast. Temperatures on Sunday night should be a degree or cooler than Saturday night.

Monday

Halloween will definitely bring treats rather than tricks this year. Look for highs in the mid- to upper-70s with partly sunny skies. Expect mild conditions on Monday evening. While the potential for some rain will return during the early part of next week, at this point I think it holds off until Tuesday morning.

Next week

The rest of the week should see a warming trend, with highs getting to about 80 degrees by Friday or so. As mentioned, some light showers are possible on Tuesday and Wednesday. Some sort of front is likely to arrive by, or during the weekend, but the details of this are yet to be determined.

Good morning. After a chilly start this morning, Houston will see increasing temperatures and humidity today, which will set up a day with widespread showers on Friday, and a chance of stronger storms. After a front moves through, expect clearing skies this weekend with pleasant highs in the low 70s.

Thursday

Temperatures have fallen to around 50 degrees this morning for much of the metro area. However, with sunny skies and light winds shifting from the northeast to southeast today, we’re likely to see highs climb into the upper 70s. A few areas may see 80 degrees. Low temperatures tonight will be quite a bit warmer, with most of the area falling only to the mid-60s. Humidity will also start to increase noticeably, as moisture surges in from the Gulf of Mexico.

Friday

The upper-level pattern will become much more favorable for storms on Friday, particularly for the southern half of the metro area. I expect the morning to start out mostly cloudy, with fairly scattered, probably mostly light showers. The best chance for stronger storms will come between about noon and sunset, moving from west to east. In terms of rainfall expectations, if you live north of Interstate 10 I would anticipate between 0.5 and 2 inches of rain, and if you’re south it might be on the order of 1 to 3 inches. Some areas will see less, and some more. In areas where stronger thunderstorms set up, there could be some brief street flooding.

Along with the threat of heavy rainfall, there is the potential for strong, gusty winds, and a lesser threat of hail or a few tornadoes. The potential for stronger storms is greatest to the south of Houston, particularly in the Matagorda Bay area. Otherwise, conditions will be muggy on Friday, with temperatures in the low 70s. The front will bring dry air in overnight, with rain chances lessening during the evening hours and dropping off by Saturday morning. If you’re headed to the Astros game, be prepared to dodge some showers on the way in. The roof, needless to say, will likely be closed.

Saturday

After a partly cloudy start on Saturday morning, I expect to see clearing skies. Look for highs around 70 degrees, with moderate northerly winds gusting to perhaps 20 or 25 mph during the afternoon. These winds should fade as evening comes on. Lows Saturday night will drop into the mid-50s in Houston, with cooler conditions inland.

Sunday

This should be a fine weekend day, with reasonably dry air, mostly sunny skies, and highs in the mid-70s. Lows on Sunday night drop into the low- to mid-50s. Enjoy!

Monday

Halloween should be another fine day, with moderately dry air and highs in the mid- to upper-70s. Look for mild trick-or-treating conditions, with temperatures in the upper 60s to 70 degrees. Far from frightful!

Rest of next week

Houston will see a gradual warming trend, with highs getting back to around 80 degrees by Wednesday or Thursday. But it’s not going to be oppressively hot or humid. Lows will rebound into the mid-60s. The next front, and the potential for some rain, may come next weekend. But that’s too far away to forecast with any confidence.