Good morning. It is quite warm across the metro region this morning, with low temperatures only in the mid- to upper-60s across most of Houston and dew points not far behind.
We’re going to see another partly to mostly cloudy day today, with brisk southerly winds again bringing up moisture levels across the area. Highs will be near 80 degrees. However a capping inversion, an area of warmer air aloft, should prevent the development of any kind of widespread showers today and this evening. Things become more interesting late tonight as a cold front approaches.
The front should reach northern areas sometime after midnight, and will perhaps move through the city a bit before sunrise and should be off the coast by mid-morning. The front should perturb the atmosphere enough to break the capping inversion discussed above, and most areas might see two to three tenths of an inch of rain, but this is not going to be a real gully washer.
Also, while there is a slight chance of severe weather with the front in the form of hail or damaging winds, I’ve got to say I’m not impressed with this system’s ability to produce such conditions in Houston. Can’t entirely rule it out, though. Highs Thursday will struggle to reach 70 degrees.
We’ll have a beautiful Friday, with highs in the low 70s and lots of sunshine.
Saturday will be nice too, with highs in the upper 70s and partly to mostly sunny skies.
And what of Sunday? Temperatures will be warm, around 80 degrees, and we’ll face the possibility of light rain in the morning, and perhaps storms later on Sunday evening or Monday morning. The timing of the upper-level disturbance bringing these storms is not yet clear, but the back half of the holiday does have the chance of being a bit mess, weather-wise. Confidence in Sunday’s forecast remains low.