In brief: Happy Fourth of July! We are jumping in with a short post to note the possibility of isolated thunderstorms this afternoon. For most people the impact will be negligible, but a few locations may briefly see some stormy activity.
The Houston region (somewhat) unexpectedly saw a flurry of scattered showers and thunderstorms on Friday, with a few isolated areas picking up as much as 1 inch of rain. I don’t think conditions are quite as favorable today or Sunday, but I also don’t want anyone caught unaware. Especially because so many of us will be outdoors at BBQs, festivals, and other celebrations of this nation’s 250th birthday.

My expectation is that conditions this morning and into the early afternoon will be hot and sunny. However later this afternoon, mostly likely from 3 to 7 pm, we could see the development of some showers and thunderstorms. This will coincide with peak heating during the daytime, and a spark from the sea breeze. To be clear, my expectation is that most of the area will remain mostly sunny. But perhaps 10 to 20 percent of the region could see rain develop, and if it does there may also be thunderstorms. If this is the case please seek shelter. Anything that develops should be long gone before fireworks this evening.
Sunday looks more or less the same, possibly with even less coverage.
