Summary: After this morning Houston will see a warming trend. The biggest question about this week’s weather concerns the potential for rainfall on Thursday, with chances for accumulations above 1 inch increasing. Things clear out on Friday, setting the stage for a grand spring weekend.
One of the final cold nights
It’s a fairly chilly morning for late March. Nearly all of the Houston metro area, aside from the immediate coast, has fallen into the 40s. Some locations in Montgomery County have even reached the upper 30s. As of 6:50 am CT, the city’s official station has dropped to 43 degrees. I think it’s possible this is the coldest weather we see until at least next October, if not later. (Last fall, the season’s first night colder than this came on Nov. 1). In any case, we face a potentially chilly spell about 10 days from now, but I’m not sure we are going to get this cold. So if you like your weather on the cooler side of the mercury, make sure and soak up this morning.
Tuesday
I’m showing my biases here, but today is going to be one my favorite kind of days in Houston: Sunny skies, light winds, dry air, and highs in the upper 60s. It’s going to be just absolutely pleasant. There will be subtle changes later today, however, as winds shift to come from the south. That will allow temperatures to be several degrees warmer tonight, dropping only into the 50s. Even so, this should be our coolest night for the next week.
Wednesday
Under the influence of a warmer flow, look for highs around 70 degrees with partly sunny skies. Winds will still be fairly light and the humidity still fairly low.
Thursday
A coastal low pressure system will approach the Houston region, and this will bring a healthy chance of rain showers to the area. My sense is that light rain will begin during the pre-dawn hours on Thursday, with perhaps somewhat stronger showers developing during the morning hours and persisting into the afternoon. During recent runs, forecast models have gotten a bit more bullish on totals, so I think it’s reasonable to expect 0.5 to 2 inches for most of the area, with a better chance of seeing the higher end totals closer to the coast. Highs will be in the low 70s with rains ending during the afternoon or evening. Lows drop to around 60 degrees.
Friday
In the wake of this system the weather should return to pleasant conditions, with sunny skies, highs in the mid-70s and lows dropping into the upper 50s.
Saturday and Sunday
The weekend looks swell. We’re going to generally see lows in the upper 50s and highs in the mid- to upper-70s. Sunshine will likely prevail on Saturday, with a few more clouds on Sunday. If you have outdoor plans, you picked a great weekend for them.
Next week
We’re likely to see the return of some showers on Monday or so, but there’s not a strong signal for significant rain accumulations. At least at this point. Some kind of front should drag into Houston later on Monday, but I don’t have great confidence in its strength. Regardless, next week probably will see more mild March weather.
Good-bye winter, loved having you around.
Come back soon, like maybe July if you can.
this is a gut punch for those who like cooler weather since we’ll be talking football, World Series (hopefully), and election next time we see this temperature. Wouldn’t be so hard if it were 7 more months of March, but it’s 7 months of dreadful heat and eventually hurricanes.
The weekend looks swell? I’m just gobsmacked at the weather. Thanks for the low down, as always!
It looks like a good weekend to make tracks out of the apple with my iron to see the bluebonnets. I probably should take my dame to the juke joint instead, but I’m such a dead hoofer, that would be a boondoggle.
It’s like a different language. 😉
Great weekend for the Bayou City Art Festival in Memorial Park!
Except, as I learned today, it’s NOT in Memorial Park. It’s downtown. In fact, the festival locations are switched for good. The spring one will now always be downtown, the fall one in the park.
Should Katy evacuate? With the dangerous weather coming
The weather in Houston is horrid most of the year. It is lovely to be able to breathe today.
We usually have a couple of night in the 40s in April. In rare cases we can get morning lows in the 40s in early May. I highly doubt that will happen this year but one can dream can’t they?
Hoping the rainfall forecast for Thursday delivers. I really don’t want to enter another likely La Niña summer with a rainfall deficit and we need all the precipitation we can get before it gets hot in day mid May.
Definitely agree! I got less than a quarter-inch over the weekend and I’m not looking forward to more water restrictions and high water bills trying to keep my lawn alive.
As of 9:15am thunderstorms rolling over Corpus Christi area. Any predicting of weather now days is becoming obsolete. Storms already to the south this morning.