Houston will have a splendid second half of the week

We’re going to have a pair of warm and potentially wet days this week before a cool front arrives on Wednesday evening to bring sunshine and more seasonable weather back to the area. We’re still eyeing the possibility of storms Tuesday night and Wednesday, but we’re not overly concerned as we expect the system to weaken as it approaches Houston.

It will definitely be a warm day for the eastern half of Texas. (Pivotal Weather)

Tuesday

You’ve got two choices for weather today: Gray and humid, or humid and gray. Some areas near the coast are seeing foggy conditions, and that should burn off later this morning. We’ll be left with a cloudy day, high temperatures near 80 degrees, and increasingly moist air. But it seems likely that rain showers will, for the most part, hold off until at least the overnight hours.

If you’re heading out to the Houston Livestock Show and Rodeo’s opening night, you probably don’t need sleeves. Temperatures this evening should remain in the low 70s, with only light winds from the southeast. A smattering of light rain is possible, but our guess is that you’ll remain dry.

Wednesday

An upper-level low pressure system will push through the region on Tuesday night and Wednesday, but the models are all over the place in terms of rainfall. They’re struggling with the fact that while there is a fair amount atmospheric moisture, a capping inversion may prevent widespread showers and thunderstorms. At a best guess, I think most of the area probably will see a couple of tenths of an inch of rainfall, but its certainly possible that northern areas (likely north of The Woodlands) could get 1 to 3 inches, and southern areas little to no rain at all. A front arrives Wednesday afternoon or evening to begin to cool us down.

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Clouds and then possibly storms before clearing later this week

Good morning. It’s quite warm this morning, and after several days of mostly sunny skies a thicker cloud deck has streamed in from the west during the overnight hours. Here’s what this building cloud deck looks like on satellite.

NOAA satellite image from 1:30am to 6am CT Monday.

The clouds, warmer weather, and healthy rain chances will be with us through Wednesday before a cold front moves through and clears us out. We’re watching for a risk of strong thunderstorms Tuesday night and Wednesday during the daytime, but right now our concerns for the Houston area are not too great.

Monday

Today should be most gray and warm, with highs in the upper 70s despite cloudy skies. Expect light winds out of the south. Rain chances are probably around 10 percent for most of the area, with anything that falls likely being light. Lows Monday night will only drop into the upper 60s for most of Houston, with the possibility of some fog early Tuesday morning.

Tuesday

By Tuesday our atmosphere will be more moist, and will support the kind of lifting required for rainfall. However, for the most part Tuesday should be similar to Monday with just a bit more widespread light (misty?) rainfall that should not provide any accumulations. Temperatures Tuesday will again be in the upper 70s. If you’re heading out to the opening act of the Houston Livestock Show and Rodeo, Midland, we can’t rule out the possibility of some light rain but we’re not expecting anything too organized. Temperatures will be warm, likely around 70 degrees, during the evening hours.

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Beautiful weather gives way to gusty winds by Sunday

Good morning, and happy Go Texan Day! Throw on the boots and enjoy the beautiful weather today (and tomorrow).

Today

We are starting Friday a good bit milder than yesterday. Most locations are in the upper-30s to low-40s. The balance of the day should feature wall to wall sunshine. It looks absolutely splendid. Yesterday’s 61° should warm close to 70° this afternoon. If you’re heading out to the BBQ Cook-Off, just soak it all in.

Temperatures should ease back from about 70° at 3 PM into the upper-50s by 7 PM.

Saturday

It will be another beautiful day tomorrow. If we are seeking blemishes, there should be a few more high clouds in the sky and pollen remains fairly high. But aside from that, it should be outstanding. Morning lows in the upper-40s will warm into the low-70s by afternoon.

Sunday

One thing you will notice this weekend is that the winds are going to gradually become more noticeable as we move forward. Onshore flow on Saturday will pick up further on Sunday. Look for southerly winds to build to about 10 to 15 mph sustained, with gusts over 20 mph at times. Add about 5 to those values for the coast and bays.

Wind gusts should be around 20 mph over land and 25 mph or so at the coast and over the water on Sunday. (Weather Bell)

Aside from the wind, Sunday should be a typical mild late winter day in Houston. Look for a mix of clouds and some sun. Sunday won’t be a washout, but a few showers are likely in spots through the afternoon. Don’t alter any plans at this point, but just be aware of that chance. With stronger onshore flow Sunday, temperatures will start close to 60°and warm into the low- or mid-70s.

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Warming back into the 70s by Friday for Houston

After Wednesday’s strong northerly winds, conditions have calmed down this morning. The lack of winds has helped temperatures fall down to near freezing in the city of Houston, and brought a light freeze to most outlying areas. Cold though it is, temperatures will bounce back pretty quickly by Friday, with 70s throughout the weekend.

Thursday


Not a whole lot to say about today, winds should remain light, and after a start around freezing high temperatures will generally warm into the upper 50s under full sunshine. Temperatures this evening for the BBQ Cook-Off will fall to around 50 just after sunset, and into the upper 40s later this evening. Overnight low temperatures should be about 5 to 10 degrees warmer than those on Wednesday night.

Friday

This should be an absolutely splendid day for the region. Skies again will be clear, with light westerly winds. We can probably expect high temperatures to crest at about 70 degrees, with low humidity. Does Houston’s weather get much more perfect than that? Probably not. Our only concern at this time is high tree pollen counts, and if you’re stuffy today it’s probably because Wednesday’s winds really spread the pollen around.

The trees are breeding! (City of Houston)

Saturday

This will be another nice day, with highs in the low 70s, and mostly sunny skies. We’ll see winds turn around to come from the south, however this won’t have too much of an effect on our weather until Saturday night. This will see the beginning of the end for our drier air. Lows Saturday night will only fall down to around 60, or just below.

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