Matt Lanza

Soggy Friday sweeps autumn back into Southeast Texas

Good morning, and it’s a soggy one. This won’t herald a total washout this weekend, but it has brought autumn back to the region after a mostly summery week.

Today

Right off the bat, radar as of about 5:15 this morning shows numerous showers and embedded thunderstorms working across the region.

Radar shows a busy morning in the clouds with widespread rain and thunderstorms. (College of DuPage)

Expect off and on rain to continue all morning, gradually slowing down and becoming more infrequent this afternoon. We should dry out tonight.

The rain is actually occurring behind a cold front that has basically pushed through everywhere as of 5:15 AM.

Temperatures have fallen into the 50s almost everywhere already. They won’t get much higher than this for the rest of the day. (NWS)

Just about all of us are in the 50s now, and don’t expect it to get much warmer. We will probably drop another few degrees this morning before stabilizing this afternoon. By tonight, those temperatures will settle into the upper-40s to around 50 degrees.

It will also be breezy at times today, with a steady north wind around 15 mph, but higher along the coast and Galveston Bay where wind advisories have been hoisted.

Weekend

Saturday should be a bit of a gloomy looking day, but I don’t believe it will be a day where you need to adjust many plans. Look for a mix of clouds and a little sun. In the afternoon, there could be a few showers around. With a dry atmosphere, it would be unlikely that much of the moisture survives the trip from the clouds to the ground. I think the best chance for real showers or some rain to occur would be along the coast by later Saturday afternoon.

On Saturday night, expect a weak system to begin to organize offshore of Galveston. This will spread scattered showers and a chance of thunderstorms into Southeast Texas overnight and during the day Sunday. I don’t think Sunday will be a washout for everyone, but I do think most of us will see at least some rain. Near the coast, it could be heavy at times.

Total rainfall on Sunday and Sunday night should tally a quarter to a half-inch, with some coastal or far inland locales possibly seeing higher amounts. (NWS via Weather Bell)

All told, we should see another quarter to half-inch or so of rainfall, with isolated higher amounts likely, especially on the coast or well north and east of Houston. Temperatures will top off in the mid-50s on Saturday afternoon. They shouldn’t drop much below the upper-40s on Saturday night, and they likely won’t get past the mid-50s in most spots Sunday afternoon as well.

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Cooler weather coming after one of Houston’s warmest November days

Hi all. You get Matt the next couple days. I just want to remind y’all about our annual fundraiser that’s underway through later this month. We have two cool t-shirt designs and umbrellas available to purchase if you’d like. The annual fundraiser helps support Eric and myself and our work keeping the site on time and online. Regardless, we appreciate your kind words and support throughout the year, and we are thrilled you choose us as a vehicle to stay informed.

On to the weather, and someone has to congratulate you for surviving the hottest November day on record in Houston. We hit 89° on Wednesday, which matches, with 9 other days, the hottest November maximum temperature on record in the city of Houston. The last time we hit 89 in November? Way back on November 6th of 2017. Almost a year to the day. The latest in November we’ve hit 89° would be on November 8th, done in back to back years of 1988 and 1989.

If you’re sick of the warm, ridiculously humid weather, we have good news. The end is pretty much here. Let’s walk through the forecast.

Today

We had quite the light show last night over parts of the Houston area.

In fact, some areas did receive over two inches of rain from the storms yesterday evening.

Total rainfall in the last 24 hours exceeded 2 inches near Tomball, The Woodlands, and in parts of northwest Houston. (Harris County FWS)

Some locally heavy rains also fell south of Houston. With the exception of a handful of remaining showers, it’s now quiet this morning. The cold front responsible for last night’s noisy storms is now sitting offshore. It’s still a bit humid, so southern parts of our area will have patchy dense fog to deal with this morning.

Otherwise, I would expect a good bit of cloud cover today, along with a chance for some lighter rain, drizzle, or showers at times. No serious weather is expected though. It will be noticeably cooler today with high temperatures probably not getting much past the low-70s in Houston. Areas south of Houston could still push mid-to upper-70s however.

Tonight & Friday

The next cold front arrives in the Houston area tonight. As it does so, expect showers and some embedded stronger thunderstorms to accompany it on its move south. The front should arrive in the far northern suburbs around midnight, give or take a couple hours, into the Houston area after 1-3 AM, and to the coast after 3-5 AM. Unlike our cold front last week, this edition will not come with a sharp, quick clearing line. In fact, the atmosphere behind tonight’s front will remain chilly, cloudy, and damp into much of Friday. Expect showers, perhaps a thunderstorm, and periods of light rain or drizzle along with a stiff north breeze during the day Friday. We should see around one to two inches of additional rainfall with this front.

Temperatures will remain mired in the 50s most of the day. Rain chances should dwindle as we get toward evening.

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A 50/50 weekend ahead, questions next week

Just to tie a bow around Wednesday night’s cold front and severe weather: An EF-1 tornado was confirmed in Chambers County.

There was also a tornado in Colorado County near the Wharton County line. Texas City and Garden Oaks had straight line wind damage confirmed. The NWS was unable to confirm damage around Sealy, Katy, or Sugar Land, so they do not believe a tornado occurred in those locations at least as of Friday morning. More storm reports can be found here.

Today & Saturday

Today is our first morning officially in the 40s since April 16 of this year. We’ve hit at least 49° at Bush Airport as of 5:30 AM. We’re setup for a beautiful start to the weekend. Look for plenty of sunshine today and a little less wind than we saw on Thursday. High temperatures will rebound from our cool start into the upper-60s or low-70s.

Saturday begins our transition out of this autumn weather. Look for mainly sunny conditions again, but onshore flow will gradually develop through the day. We will start on a cool note with some scattered 40s well outside of Houston, but mainly low-to mid-50s for most. We’ll warm several degrees over Friday during the afternoon, with highs topping off generally in the mid-70s.

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Let the sun SHINE!

When I do Friday posts, I often have a problem where I feel as if I am writing too much about what’s happening with the weather. So I spend a good bit of time editing down some stuff and trying to focus on the important points. Today should be easy, as there is really only one important point: Sunshine!

Today through Sunday

This is the weekend we have been anticipating for months. It will feature mostly clear skies, pleasant temperatures, and pretty comfortable humidity. There are a couple things going on in the background to point out.

Satellite shows just some high clouds around the area this morning. Yesterday’s low clouds are off to our east. We’re setup for beautiful weather. (College of DuPage)

First, a few high clouds will stream across the region today, but they should not do anything other than add character to an otherwise blue sky. Look for temperatures to warm up into the middle 70s this afternoon.

A weak cool front should pass through the area this evening, but it likely won’t do much. Look for mid-to upper-50s in most spots and near 60 at the beach.

Saturday will be sunny and gorgeous. It will be a touch warm, but the low humidity will counteract that a bit. Expect generally lower 80s for high temperatures. We will be a few degrees warmer Saturday night, so expect around 60 in Houston, lower 60s near the beach and upper-50s northwest.

“Sun”day will live up to its name. It will be a little warmer still, with highs in the middle 80s possible. Again, mostly comfortable, low humidity will help.

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