Heat, heat, more heat—and if we’re lucky a bit of rain

One of my favorite Led Zeppelin songs is titled The Song Remains the Same, and that’s an apt tune for our weather. Houston’s weather forecast remains the same. Which is to say we’re going to be hot, with slight rain chances, for days and days and days to come.

Today through Monday

High pressure is off to the west, but that doesn’t mean conditions are overly favorable for rainfall, with only modestly high levels of moisture in the atmosphere. One global model (the European) suggests most of the area will get 0.25 to 0.50 inch of rain between now and Monday, cumulatively, whereas the GFS model sees less than 0.10. The European model tends to be correct more often and has been consistent with its forecast, so that’s a good thing. But I wouldn’t describe my forecast for some rain during the next five days as high confidence.

In any case, when it doesn’t rain temperatures will remain very hot, with highs in the mid- to upper-90s and lows in the upper 70s to 80 degrees.

Tuesday and beyond

As we’ve been suggesting this week, strong high pressure will build over the central United States next week.

That's a big ridge of high pressure just to the north of Houston next week. (Weather Bell)
That’s a big ridge of high pressure just to the north of Houston next week. (Weather Bell)

It still appears as though Houston will be on the southern periphery of the ridge, which means our temperatures will probably remain in the 90s, rather than top out in the 100s. It also means that we may see a few afternoon showers later next week, rather than a total clamp down on rain activity.

In other words, as bad as it’s been this month—it could be worse.

9 thoughts on “Heat, heat, more heat—and if we’re lucky a bit of rain”

    • They didn’t. Other than New Orleans, no southern city was heavily populated until after air conditioning was invented.

      http://imgur.com/tWE7i

      New Orleans was the largest city in the Confederate States of America. The second largest “city” was wherever the Union Army of the Potomac was camped.

      • We only had window units in the home I grew up in and no AC in school that was the 1960’s, Houston was well on its way to big city status.

  1. One of my favorite Led Zeppelin songs is Over the Hills and Far Away. It appears that is where the rain is right now.

    • How Many More Times can the low stay above 80? It leaves me Sick Again to feel this heat and humidity. Another day without relief and I’ll surely be Dazed and Confused. This must be what it feels like In My Time of Dying. Is this better than the Good Times Bad Times we had this spring with cool temps but too much rain? Houston weather extremes, You Shook Me, but luckily SpaceCityWeather.com is here to keep us informed and prevent a Communication Breakdown. If July doesn’t get better, I’m Going to California. Nevermind….Houston, I Can’t Quit You Baby.

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