Our extreme heat will slowly subside as high pressure moves away for now

The very worst of the heat is over, at least for now. The very thick ridge of high pressure influencing our weather continues to retreat westward, and this should help nudge high temperatures downward a bit, toward the mid-90s eventually. Additionally, our rain chances will improve moderately over the next several days. However, it appears as though the potential for heavy rainfall from a tropical system will remain to our east, over Louisiana.


The high temperature on Monday at Bush Intercontinental and Hobby airports reached 103 degrees, and today should be a couple of degrees cooler to go along with mostly sunny skies. The century mark will still be reachable for much of the region away from the coast, however, so please continue to take heat precautions. Winds will be very light, perhaps blowing at 5 mph out of the southwest or west. Rain chances are about 20 to 30 percent near the coast today, and perhaps 10 to 20 percent inland. If there were a way to buy multiple rainfall raffle tickets, I’d definitely be in “Take my money!” mode.

High temperature forecast for Tuesday. (Weather Bell)


Another day a lot like Tuesday.

Thursday and Friday

These days may be a bit cloudier, and cooler, with highs perhaps topping out in the mid-90s. I’m hopeful that daily rain chances will be in the range of 40 percent, and there should be a few lucky areas picking up 1 inch or so. The rest of us? Probably not so lucky.

Saturday and Sunday

The weekend looks similar, with highs probably slotting somewhere in the mid-90s, and rain chances perhaps in the 30 percent neighborhood. Skies should be mostly sunny.

Next week

The forecast for early next week is still somewhat uncertain. It does seem possible that high pressure will start to build back in over the region, pushing temperatures up. However, there are also some scenarios in which conditions stay in the mid-90s, with pretty healthy daily rain chances. I realize that’s not very helpful, but it’s the best I can do right now.

NOAA rainfall accumulation forecast for now through Sunday. (Weather Bell)


The National Hurricane Center is continuing to predict that a tropical blob near the Louisiana coast has a 30 percent chance of becoming a tropical depression or storm during the next five days. This is likely to make for very wet weekend in Southern Louisiana, with 5 to 10 inches possible in and around New Orleans. Unfortunately, Houston is likely to fall just outside the heavy rainfall boundary as the system moves into Louisiana.

9 thoughts on “Our extreme heat will slowly subside as high pressure moves away for now”

  1. Continued thanks for the no-hype weather updates! And, it is pretty telling on the brutality of the heat that I get happy at hearing “The very worst of the heat is over, at least for now.”

    While any tropical blob isn’t a welcome visitor on the Gulf Coast, I am sad that it isn’t shifting just a wee bit westward so that we can get some cloud cover and/or light rain. Still, we can wish for it.

  2. Another instance of the rich getting richer, and the poor getting poorer with rainfall. Louisiana and the rest of the mid south having a wet summer having more of the same. Tx will stay in the oven til further notice.

  3. The last time I prayed (literally) for rain we got Ike, so I don’t do that anymore!! I might hint, but …

  4. We need way more tropical blobs to come up through Texas from Houston to Amarillo. Any tropical blob apart from a cat 5 hurricane would be welcome

  5. I assume “tropical blob” is an official AMS-approved term? If not, it should be. Along with “that thing out in the Gulf”.

    Channel 13 had us at 100 or better for the foreseeable future. Not surprised. I’ve commented on their morning forecasts before.

  6. Pray for rain but be specific folks. We want just a little mild TD and not a Allison, Harvey or Ike visiting. About 6-10 inches total spread out around the state over a about 3 weeks Lord. I thought I moved from Phoenix but it has followed me!! LOL

    • Paul, one thing I’ve learned in my life is to be specific in your requests and not give God too many options. He has a sense of humor.

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