Sunny weather to continue through the weekend

Houston will remain under the influence of high pressure for several more days, allowing Houston’s skies to remain sunny through early next week. The only notable change will be an increase in humidity levels beginning Friday night as the flow becomes more southerly across the area.

Thursday

Conditions today will be similar to what we experienced on Tuesday and Wednesday, with sunny skies, highs near 90 degrees, and light northerly winds. The air isn’t exactly dry, but it’s not humid either. Overnight lows will drop into the low 60s inland, upper 60s in Houston itself, and low 70s along the coast.

With high pressure dominating, Houston’s weather will be sunny for awhile. (NOAA)

Friday and Saturday

Basically, more of the same. Saturday will see rising dewpoints but it will still be reasonably nice outside. Highs again will be near 90.

Sunday and Monday

A front approaches the area on Sunday, but in all likelihood it will peter out before reaching Houston. So we should see mostly sunny skies both days, with high temperatures near 90 degrees. There’s a slight chance of rain, perhaps 10 or 20 percent, on Sunday night and Monday due to the dying front. Overnight lows will be back in the 70s, area-wide. Hello, humidity!

Low temperatures will be going back up this weekend, as dewpoints rise. (Weather Bell)

Next week

Our forecast becomes a little more uncertain later next week, when there’s a chance some sort of front may work its way through during the middle of the week, or more likely, not until the weekend. In any case, we’ll likely see more clouds and highs backing off a few degrees. There’s a decent chance that next weekend feels more fall-like in Houston, but it’s still too far to have much confidence.

Houston’s calm weather continues, with not quite summer, and not quite fall conditions

Good morning. Houston’s weather remains exceptionally calm, with light winds, warm temperatures, and moderately drier air. This pattern will persist into the weekend, when the onshore flow returns, and humidity levels rise. Rain chances remain zero through the weekend.

Wednesday

Today will bring sunny skies, and highs in the upper 80s. Winds will be light, out of the north at 5 mph or less. With dewpoints in the 60s, the air will be feel drier than is typical during the summer, but not exactly dry. Lows overnight will drop into the low 60s for inland areas, mid-60s for Houston, and low 70s for right along the coast.

Low temperatures on Thursday morning will likely be a degree or two warmer than Wednesday. (Weather Bell)

Thursday and Friday

More of the same.

Saturday and Sunday

Winds will start increasing from the south and southeast later on Friday and this will start to drive up humidity levels this weekend. Saturday will still feel a tad dry as highs push up to around 90 degrees, but Sunday should feel more like “Houston” humid out there. Skies should be mostly sunny, regardless, with no chance of rain. Plan outdoor activities with high confidence.

Next week

The forecast for next week is written very much in pencil. Low to moderate rain chances return by Monday or Tuesday. A front should near the area during the early part of the week, but will likely wash out before pushing into Houston. A stronger front is likely next weekend, but any details right now are pretty sketchy.

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Tranquil weather for days and days ahead

The forecast for the week ahead is pretty straightforward and locked in, so we’re not going to take up too much of your time this morning. Expect lots of sunny skies and somewhat drier air through about Saturday, after which the onshore flow returns. Some slight rain chances return late Sunday or Monday.

Tuesday

Some readers have groused that this isn’t much of a front, and I’m here to tell you there’s a reason why we characterized it as a weak one. The truth is, we’re mostly just seeing a northerly flow rather an abundance of colder air. Nevertheless this flow will have a salutary effect on our humidity levels for awhile. Today should be the driest day, with dewpoints dropping into the 50s, and accordingly I think Tuesday night and Wednesday morning will see the lowest temperatures for the week. Highs today should be in the mid- to upper-80s, with lows tonight dropping to about 60 degrees for inland areas, and low 70s right along the coast.

An upper level low pressure system over the central United States is driving a northerly flow into East Texas. (earth.nullschool.net)

Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday

Rinse and repeat. These will be sunny days, with highs in the upper 80s and lows in the 60s for most. The air will not be super dry, but it won’t be sultry and humid either. Take what you can get in early October, I say.

Saturday and Sunday

Saturday should more or less see a continuation of the weather we see most of this week, albeit with slightly rising humidity levels. Sunday should feel more like “Houston,” as the onshore flow resumes, and dewpoints start to climb toward 70 degrees. Highs this weekend will be in the upper 80s to 90 degrees, with mostly sunny skies. A slight chance of showers returns Sunday night.

Wednesday morning’s temperatures, shown above, will be the coolest of the week. (Weather Bell)

Next week and beyond

Most of next week looks warm, with highs near 90 degrees, but right now there’s no real signal in the models for too much in the way of rainfall. When is the next real cold front coming to Houston, you might ask? Right now there’s a pretty decent signal in both the European and GFS ensembles for something about 12 days from now, circa October 17. But that’s a long, long, long way out for us to have any confidence in the model forecasts. So we’ll just have to wait and see.

Houston will experience “fall lite” conditions this week

The threat of heavy rainfall has passed, and Houston will now enter a period of tranquil weather. Drier air will move into the region today in the wake of Sunday’s front, and we should see moderately cooler nighttime temperatures through Friday or Saturday morning. After this morning, rain chances are basically zero until at least next Monday or Tuesday. Enjoy the sunshine.

Radar estimated rainfall for Friday through Sunday. (NOAA)

Monday

Some clouds remain this morning across the region, but these should mix out as the day progresses to leave us with mostly sunny skies. Winds will be light, out of the north at 5 to 10 mph. With ample sunshine, highs will reach the upper 80s for most of Houston. But as dewpoints fall through the day, we’ll see pleasant conditions this evening, with lows dropping into the mid-60s in Houston, with warmer conditions along the coast, and cooler for inland areas.

Tuesday through Friday

Conditions more or less remain the same for the rest of the work week, with sunny days and highs in the upper 80s. Lows will be in the 60s. Dewpoints will bottom out on Tuesday, so this will feel like our driest day, but humidity levels will remain reasonable for the whole week.

Houston will now enjoy a stretch of moderately drier and cooler weather. (Weather Bell)

Saturday and Sunday

More of an onshore flow returns this weekend, and temperatures will return to more summer-like levels, with highs near 90 degrees and overnight lows in the 70s. The humidity won’t be oppressive, but it will be noticeably higher. After this point we’ll be on the lookout for the next cold front, but most likely an approaching front will stall before entering Houston early the following week.