Storms will cross Houston later today, chilly weather to stay awhile

Houston will see a front bull through the area this afternoon and evening, and this could briefly bring strong showers and thunderstorms into the region. The front will move from west to east, clearing quickly. We’ll then see calm and cool weather until another front arrives Sunday. This second front will bring near freezing conditions to the metro area and a slight chance of snow north and west of the city.

Wednesday

Lows across much of Houston have only fallen to around 60 degrees, with a southeasterly wind providing a moderating flow of air. Skies are cloudy, and will remain so throughout the day due to elevated moisture levels in the atmosphere. Highs will get into the low 70s for most. We may see some scattered showers during the daytime hours, but the big event—the front—will come later. In terms of timing, I expect it to reach a line from Katy to Conroe between 3 and 6 pm today, central Houston an hour later, and to be off the coast between 6 and 9 pm tonight. The main threats are brief, heavy rainfall, and strong wind gusts. There is a very slight chance of an isolated tornado. Total rainfall amounts will likely average 1 to 1.5 inches north of interstate 10, and 0.5 to 1 inch closer to the coast.

NOAA severe weather outlook for Wednesday.

Thursday and Friday

Thursday morning will see gusty winds, perhaps as high as 30 mph, as colder and drier air moves into the region. However, winds should subside somewhat during the afternoon hours. Expect mostly sunny skies and temperatures in the mid- to upper-50s on Thursday and Friday, with lows dropping to around 40 degrees in the city—colder north, and warmer near the coast.

Saturday

This should be another winter-like day for Houston, with highs in the 50s and a chilly night down around 40, with mostly sunny skies.

The next 10 days look rather chilly for Houston. (Weather Bell)

Sunday and beyond

The forecast for our second front this week remains uncertain. However, at this point we can probably pencil in cold, gray, and wet conditions for the second half of the weekend. This front could bring an additional 0.5 to 1 inch of rain to the Houston area on Sunday, but that is not set in stone. Nor can we entirely rule out the possibility of snow or sleet. However, right now it appears the track of air cold enough to allow for wintry precipitation will pass just north of Houston. Bottom line, we’re going to have to watch and see how the forecast evolves.

Anyway, Sunday will be chilly, with highs perhaps in the 50s, depending on the timing of the front. After it passes, much of next week looks cold and sunny, with highs in the 50s, and lows in the 30s and 40s.

Houston may see storms Wednesday, and much colder weather this weekend

Good morning. After several days of calm weather and sunshine, Houston’s forecast will soon turn a bit more dynamic for the rest of the week. We could see some storms with a frontal passage on Wednesday, and then more inclement weather with a front coming this weekend. With the latter front we think there is even a slight chance of wintry precipitation, including possibly snow, which we’ll discuss below.

Tuesday

This morning we have some fog issues for coastal areas, but this should clear up pretty quickly. Highs will reach about 70 degrees later today under mostly sunny skies. As winds come from the southeast later today, tonight will be the warmest one of the year so far, and probably for at least the next week. Lows probably will only drop into the mid-50s for much of the region.

Lows on Wednesday morning will be the warmest of the week. (Weather Bell)

Wednesday

We still have some questions about the timing and speed of the front, but the most likely time for its passage is around sunset in Houston, and a little bit later along the coast. Daytime temperatures therefore should reach about 70 degrees, with mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers. A line of storms is expected to move along with the front, and how fast the front moves will determine rainfall amounts. We probably will see accumulations of about 1 inch or so north of Interstate 10, and approximately 0.5 to 1 inch closer to the coast. Rains will end quickly with the front’s passage, as cooler and drier air moves in during the evening and overnight hours.

Thursday and Friday

The end of the week will be sunny and cool, with highs of around 60 degrees and lows near 40 in the city of Houston—cooler inland and warmer along the coast.

Saturday

The first half of the weekend should be similarly pleasant, with highs of around 60 degrees and partly to mostly sunny skies.

Sunday and beyond

The next front looks set to arrive on Sunday. The details are sketchy, but there is at least the potential for some wintry precipitation. As the front pushes into Houston there will be plenty of moisture along with a southerly storm track, and enough lift to generate precipitation. (Rain accumulations with the front probably will be on the order of 0.5 to 1 inch). The question is whether there will be enough really cold air in the atmosphere for freezing conditions almost all the way to the surface. That’s more likely the further north along Interstates 45 and 69 one goes. Right now I’d estimate that snow chances are decent for places like Huntsville and Livingston. However, we’re probably still at 20 percent, or less, for the city of Houston itself. But it will be something to watch.

There is a little bit of support for snow on Sunday in Houston in the European model ensemble forecast. (Weather Bell)

Temperatures should be cold in the wake of Sunday’s front, with daytime highs generally in the 50s, and nighttime lows in the 30s and 40s to start next week.

Houston may soon see a sustained stretch of colder weather

Good morning. Houston will now see a couple of warmer days—with temperatures peaking in the low to mid-70s—before colder, winter-like weather returns. We then may see a sustained stretch of truly colder weather (for Houston, at least) with several days during which high temperatures do not climb out of the 50s. If you have been waiting for winter proper, it appears to be at hand for Houston.

Monday

Some central parts of Houston are seeing a thin layer of fog develop, but this should burn off fairly quickly after sunrise. High pressure will continue to drive our weather, and this will lead to a mostly sunny day with high temperatures likely reaching into the low- to mid-70s for most of the area. A few clouds will develop tonight, as temperatures fall into the 40s for most of the area except for the immediate coast.

Low temperature forecast for Tuesday morning

Tuesday

We’ll see another sunny day, with high temperatures likely reaching about 70 degrees. Winds will start to come from the east, and then the southeast, and this will begin to slowly increase moisture levels and set the stage for some healthy rain chances on Wednesday. But there will be none of that on Tuesday, when we should see mostly sunny skies. As clouds begin to increase during the overnight hours, this should prevent lows from falling below the low 50s for most of the region.

Wednesday

The day should start cloudy, with a chance for scattered showers during the morning hours. A front should sweep through during the afternoon hours, from west to east, and most all of the area should see at least brief rainfall from these storms. Accumulations for most people should be less than 1 inch as the storms push through, but isolated areas may see a bit more than that, and some of these thunderstorms may be briefly intense. As the front clears the area during the late afternoon or evening hours, rain chances will end, and lows will drop into the 40s.

Thursday and Friday

After the front moves through we may see some breezy conditions overnight, but winds should begin to subside by Thursday and Friday. This will set the stage for a sunny, cool end to the work week. I’d expect highs in the upper 50s to about 60 degrees with lots of sunshine both days. Lows probably will drop to around 40 in the city of Houston.

Houston will see plenty of days in the 50s in the days ahead. (Weather Bell)

Saturday, Sunday and beyond

So what does the weekend hold? Temperatures remain cold through Saturday, when we may see a few more clouds begin to develop. Sunday may see a bit of a warmup before another front approaches the area, but I think mostly cloudy skies will probably keep highs in the 50s. The timing and details with the next front are unclear, but it’s expected to bring another shot of rainfall and then quite a bit more colder air. We probably will see lows in the 30s next week, but it’s difficult to have much confidence in the details for now.

Happy New Year, Houston—enjoy the winter-like weather

Good morning. Just a short update today, due to the holiday, and also because frankly there is not much to say about Houston’s weather in the wake of our stormy New Year’s Eve frontal passage.

High pressure will dominate our weather for the next several days, and in January that means cool, mostly sunny days, and mostly clear nights. Highs for New Year’s Day and Saturday will likely only reach the mid-50s, with lows dropping down to around 40 degrees in the city of Houston. Highs by Sunday and Monday should reach into the mid- to upper-60s.

Low temperature forecast for Saturday morning. Sunday will be similar. (Weather Bell)

The warming trend will continue through about Wednesday, when we may see some scattered showers ahead of the next front—sliding through on Wednesday evening, perhaps? The front should lack the fireworks that we saw with the New Year’s Eve front. It should set the stage for more cool, clear, and winter-like weather heading into next weekend. We’ll have more for you on Monday morning.

All that’s left to say now is Happy New Year! We hope it is a better one for you, and our region. We’re going to continue to work to improve the site, and we’ll be announcing some big things in the coming weeks. We really appreciate this community, and Space City Weather set all kinds of traffic records in 2020 due to our growing readership and the dual threats of Hurricane Laura and Tropical Storm Beta:

• 12.6 million page views
• 3.8 million visitors
• 358 posts

We’d gladly take half of that traffic in 2021 if it means the tropics remain quiet!