The onshore flow has taken over the region’s weather, and we’re now set up for a pair of gray, on-and-off rainy days with muggy air. The clouds should keep highs in the 70s, but conversely nighttime temperatures aren’t falling much below 70 for most of Houston. A weak front arrives early Saturday, and a stronger one later on Sunday or Monday to bring us back into a late-fall, or early-winter like pattern of cooler weather.

Thursday and Friday

The name of the game for the next two days will be gray skies with scattered showers. Lows this morning are generally in the low- to mid-60s, and with dewpoints at just about the same level, relative humidity is near 100 percent.

Rainfall on Thursday will generally be light, while there is the slight possibility of some thunderstorms on Friday. This is because a fairly strong storm system will be moving across the lower plains, and bringing severe weather, including the potential for damaging winds and a few tornadoes. However, the region where the atmosphere is more disturbed should remain north of Houston, running from Lufkin through Texarkana and into surrounding areas shown in the map above.

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This November has provided some significantly cooler weather than we’re accustomed to, with an average monthly temperature nearly 5 degrees below normal. (A warm start will keep this month out of the top-10 coldest Novembers). However, we’ll now end the month with a string of warmer days and nights that will last into early December before a stronger cold front arrives next week.

Wednesday

A few outlying areas are seeing lows in the upper 30s this morning, but for the most part the city has remained in the 40s or (near the coast) 50s. Winds have already shifted to come from the south, and this will bring us a steady stream of warmer, and more humid air. Highs today will reach into the low 70s, although as clouds build later this afternoon I wouldn’t expect highs to go above that. Lows tonight are unlikely to fall below 60 for most of the area.

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Conditions are quite cold across the region this morning—with near freezing temperatures in most of Houston, and a light freeze over northern areas such as Conroe and Huntsville—as we grapple with our latest strong front. The good news is that we’ll see a warming trend this week, and as of now, the weekend looks pretty nice.

Before jumping into the forecast, I just want to say a truly heartfelt thank you to all of our readers who have contributed to this year’s fundraiser for Space City Weather. We’ve had a tremendous response so far—inspiring, really. With less than 24 hours remaining, we’re on pace to top last year. Again, buying a t-shirt or umbrella, or donating, is entirely optional. We’re committed to keeping the site free, regardless. But we really do appreciate the help.

Tuesday

With high pressure dominating our weather, we’ll see mostly sunny skies today, and we should see a warm-up into the low 60s. Temperatures will be warmer tonight, as the onshore flow kicks in. I’d expect lows to be about 10 degrees above lows on Tuesday morning, so we’re done with the freezing temperatures for now.

Wednesday

This will be something of a transition day, as atmospheric moisture begins to flow back into the region. I’d expect partly sunny skies, with a high in the low 70s, and returning humidity. By Wednesday night clouds should be back in force, and this will keep most of the city at around 60 degrees for lows.

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After a mostly pleasant holiday weekend, a cold front came plowing through on Sunday and has brought us back to early winter as we start a new week. The good news is that it won’t be too cold for too long, nor will we have a lot of significant weather to discuss this week. Let’s get into the details.

Today & tonight

We’re starting off chilly this morning. We didn’t drop below the mid-60s on Sunday morning. But this morning, temperatures running a good 20 degrees or more colder than 24 hours ago.

It will eventually be a nice day today, albeit cool and breezy still. There’s an area of cloud cover that will be moving through the region this morning. It could perhaps have some showers or light rain with it as it passes through.

Once this passes by, we’ll see clearing this afternoon. So we’ll call it mostly cloudy with a chance of showers through about midday, then becoming mostly sunny. Winds will gradually subside through the afternoon. As long as skies clear out around midday, we should manage 50 degrees or lower-50s. If we stay locked in cloud cover into mid-afternoon, look for a struggle through the upper-40s.

Clearer skies and lighter winds tonight will make it the coldest of the next several. Low temperatures will range from the low-30s north of Houston to the mid-to upper-30s in town and low-40s along the coast.

A light freeze is possible for places like Conroe or Huntsville tonight.

Tuesday

Look for another cool day Tuesday but with less wind and plenty of sunshine. We’ll do a few degrees warmer tomorrow than today, with highs topping off in the upper-50s.

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