Eric Berger

Good morning. The big (bad?) news this week is that we’ll probably see our warmest weather of 2022, with highs of 90 degrees possible on Tuesday and Wednesday. But fret not, a nice front arrives on Wednesday to bring drier air and seasonable weather into the region through at least part of the weekend.

Monday

Increasing atmospheric moisture levels will combine with and upper-level disturbance to bring a chance of showers into the region, probably 20 percent today, and 50 percent tonight. While we cannot entirely rule out a thunderstorm or two, by far the better chance for this lies well north of the Houston region, including Montgomery County. (Dallas and Fort Worth may well be affected, so bear that in mind if you’re traveling north). For those who do see a stray shower today or tonight, accumulations will probably be on the order of a tenth or two of an inch. Highs will reach the upper 70s beneath cloudy skies, with lows only dropping to 70. Winds will be out of the southeast at 10 to 15 mph, with slightly higher gusts.

Tuesday

Some light rain is possible Tuesday morning before skies clear out. This sunshine should allow temperatures to really pop, likely reaching the upper 80s to potentially 90 degrees. Overnight lows will drop to the upper 60s. Look for warm south or southwest winds of 10 to 15 mph, picking up a little bit more on Tuesday night.

Wednesday

Highs on Wednesday will depend on the timing of the front, which bring cooler and drier air. (It looks like there will be no rain with the front’s passage). For now I’ll peg the front’s push into central Houston around noon, which should help limit highs, especially for areas inland of Highway 59-Interstate 69. However, where the front doesn’t make it by early afternoon, look for highs again in the upper 80s to 90 degrees. The front will shift winds to come from the northwest, with gusts of 20 to 25 mph. Lows Wednesday night should drop into the 50s.

Thursday and Friday

Both Thursday and Friday look fairly breezy, with highs in the 70s to go along with the influx of drier air from the north. Nighttime temperatures should drop to around 50 degrees both nights, with upper 40s possible for inland areas. These days will be quite sunny.

Saturday and Sunday

At this point, and things could change, but at this point Saturday looks to have exceptional weather. We’re talking highs in the range of upper 70s to low 80s, with lots of sunshine and winds dropping off some. The air will still be dry. As the onshore flow gets going, Sunday will probably see the development of more clouds, with highs around 80 degrees, and increasing humidity levels. Next week probably will see this ongoing trend of warmer, and fairly humid weather.

Good morning. Temperatures have dropped into the upper 40s for inland areas, with most of the metro area seeing low 50s this morning. Highs this afternoon will reach the upper 70s, with sunny skies and light winds. For me, this is the kind of very nearly perfect weather we sometimes see during spring and fall in Houston. The only real concern today is tree pollen, but all of the wind and rain on Wednesday should have knocked a lot of that out of the air. In short, if you can spend some time outside today or this evening, you really should do so!

Thursday

Today started brilliantly. If you were up early this morning, that was Venus shining brightly in the eastern sky, near the horizon before sunrise. With weak high pressure in place, winds today will be light, generally out of the north at 5 mph or so. This will provide a nice contrast from the last several days when we were first buffeted by a strong southerly flow, and then winds quickly shifted to come from the northwest on Wednesday with a cold front. Now things will settle down for awhile. With sunny skies, high temperatures will warm into the upper 70s, and lows tonight should drop to within a degree or two of Wednesday night’s lows. With dewpoints in the low 40s, the air will be pleasantly dry. I mean, come on. On a day like this you could almost forgive Houston’s summer.

Friday

Another day not dissimilar to Thursday, but as light to moderate winds shift to come from the east, we’ll start to see atmospheric moisture levels creep up, and this will generate a few clouds. Highs will again be in the upper 70s, probably, but overnight lows likely won’t drop below 60 degrees in Houston.

Saturday

We’ll see a warming trend this weekend as the flow remains southerly, but winds should remain fairly moderate in the 5 to 10 mph range. Highs on Saturday will probably top out between 80 and 85 degrees for most areas, with partly to mostly sunny skies, and slightly sticky dewpoints in the low 60s. Lows on Saturday night should drop to around 60 degrees.

Sunday

Another warmish day, like Saturday, with highs in the 80s, and partly to mostly sunny skies. At some point clouds will start to build in response to increasing atmospheric moisture, but at this point I don’t think that will happen until Sunday afternoon or, more likely Sunday evening. Rain chances this weekend are low, probably 10 percent or less.

Next week

We’ll continue to see warm weather, with temperatures in the mid- to possibly even upper-80s early next week ahead of a cold front arriving later on Tuesday or Wednesday. There are some decent rain chances on Monday night into Tuesday, but right now the forecast models aren’t too enthused about accumulations. We’ll see. At this distant vantage point, the end of next week looks quite nice, with highs in the upper 70s or 80s degrees and drier air. Hopefully the spectacular weather lines up with the weekend!

Good morning. A thin line of showers associated with a cool front will move through the region this morning, setting the stage for a breezy afternoon. This will lead to mostly sunny weather for most of the remainder of this week, and a warm weekend.

Wednesday

Conditions are warm and muggy in Houston this morning, with lows only falling into the 70s across much of the region. The front should reach central Houston by late morning, and push off the coast by around noon or shortly thereafter. Some showers and and briefly strong thunderstorms may accompany the front’s passage, especially north of Interstate 10, but they will quickly move through. After the front much drier air moves in, and a “red flag” warning is in effect for the area from 1 pm to 7 pm as northwesterly winds gust to 20 or 25 mph. This means that any fires that start will spread quickly, so please take care. Winds will slacken tonight as lows generally drop into the low 50s.

Thursday

A lovely day, with sunny skies, light winds, and highs in the upper 70s. Lows should be similar to Wednesday night, albeit a tad warmer.

Friday

Expect another spring-like day, with mostly sunny skies. There will be a bit more humidity as winds turn easterly, however, and lows Friday night will only drop into the 60s.

Saturday and Sunday

Conditions will be warmer this weekend, with highs generally in the 80s and lows in the low 60s. We’ve still got a few questions about the details, but most likely we’ll see partly to mostly sunny skies to go along with moderate southerly winds.

Next week

As moisture piles up in our atmosphere, humidity levels will increase further early next week, with highs remaining in the in low- to mid-80s. Nights will start to become muggy again. Rain chances increase on Monday night and Tuesday ahead of the next front, which should arrive on Wednesday or so. This will probably push overnight lows back into the 50s.

Good morning. Today will see very windy conditions as the onshore flow kicks into high gear, and this will set up a frontal passage on Wednesday morning. This front will bring a thin line of rain showers, which may include a few strong thunderstorms. This will set the stage for mostly sunny, and milder weather for the rest of the week.

Tuesday

During the spring we get days like this, when there is higher pressure offshore and a potent low pressure system in the middle of the United States. This effectively sets up a tight pressure gradient and strong onshore winds. Intuitively, to me, these kinds of days feel like summer is trying to force its way back into the area after a few months of mostly cooler and drier weather. Anyway, it will feel like that today, with southerly winds gusting as high as 30 to 35 mph this afternoon and overnight. Despite partly to mostly cloudy skies, highs should still get into the low 80s. Dewpoints in the 60s will make it feel fairly humid. Lows tonight may not drop below 70 in parts of Houston.

Wednesday

The aforementioned low pressure system will drive a surface front through the area on Wednesday, likely reaching areas north and west of Houston by around sunrise, reaching the city during the mid-morning hours, and the coast around noon. A line of thin showers and thunderstorms should accompany the front, but overall accumulations will probably only be on the order of a few tenths of an inch of rain. We can’t rule out a few thunderstorms, but by far the better chances for severe weather lie well to our north and east (which you should note if you’re traveling toward Louisiana, Mississippi, or Alabama). Dry air and clearing skies will see temperatures jump up into the mid-80s, or so, during the afternoon hours before lows drop into the low- to mid-50s overnight.

Thursday

As noted yesterday, Thursday’s weather should be superlative. Look for a high near 80, with sunny skies, light winds, and dry air. Lows Thursday night will again drop into the mid 50s.

Friday

Another nice day, although there will be some clouds perhaps, and humidity levels will start to creep up along with the onshore flow. Highs should again be near 80 degrees.

Saturday, Sunday, and beyond

A reinforcing cold front should arrive Friday night or Saturday morning, bringing a low chance of rain back into the forecast. However, this should clear out by the afternoon. Look for highs in the low 80s on Saturday with clearing skies, and around 80 degrees on Sunday with sunny skies. More clouds return Monday, with a healthy chance of rain entering the forecast by Tuesday or so of next week.