Unsettled weekend, but real winter lurking

Unsettled weather is going to be the story of the next several days. We have a lot to discuss, so let’s break it down.

Today & Weekend

No big issues for Friday, as we’ll see clouds thicken and seasonably cool temperatures. There could be a sprinkle later today, but steadier light rain won’t begin to break out until probably after Midnight. Rain may become steady to heavy at times on Saturday morning. Here’s the good news though: Rain will likely end early to mid afternoon Saturday, and the bulk of New Year’s Eve night will be dry. If you have outdoor plans, don’t cancel them, but I encourage you to follow the forecast just to be safe.

We’ll ring in 2017 the same way we spent much of 2016: Milder than usual and a bit damp.

While there will continue to be a slight chance of showers Sunday, I think the majority of the day will be dry. It will continue to be mild, with temps in the 70s.

For Monday, the weather gets a little more interesting. A vigorous upper level disturbance will arrive, bringing renewed showers and thunderstorms. There are a lot of details that are TBD with this one, but it could potentially produce some strong to severe thunderstorms, especially north of I-10. We’ll keep you posted if this becomes more than just a “potential.”

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Christmas weekend in Houston: Eggnog and fog

Though it won’t feel like it, Christmas weekend is upon us. Some of us may have trouble seeing it though; not due to too much eggnog but probably due to some dense fog. Let’s dive into the details.

Today

A warm front is lifting through today, allowing warmer and more humid air to begin to flood northward. As this happens, we are seeing some fog around this morning. We already have low clouds, drizzle, showers, or steady light rain around also, and that may continue throughout the day.

Today shouldn’t be a washout, but occasional light rain, drizzle, or showers is likely. (Weather Bell)

Even with clouds and showers, we will warm up to the low 70s this afternoon.

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Good news for Houston in water infrastructure bill

President Obama recently signed the Water Infrastructure Improvements for the National Act (WIIN) into law. Like many major spending acts, there’s a lot of “stuff” in this bill. It includes funding to help Flint, Michigan recover from its lead crisis, help for water projects in California, as well as re-authorization of several big conservation and restoration acts.

For those of us in Southeast Texas, there was one potentially important item in the bill. It includes a provision to speed up feasibility studies for a coastal storm surge protection system for Galveston Bay and the Houston area. This is what is more commonly known as the “Ike Dike.” The provision was added by Senator John Cornyn.

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Houston’s weather whiplash continues

If you’re suffering from weather whiplash in the Houston area, I can’t say I blame you. It’s been a rocky month so far, with a lot of big swings in temperature.

Official temperature readings at IAH have been full of turbulence.

We’re back on the way up today, charting a course that will translate into a wild swing in temperature Sunday.

Today & Saturday

The changes are already underway, as we have begun to slowly pump in humidity off the Gulf this morning. Expect a lot of cloud cover today, and don’t be shocked if you see a few raindrops also in the form of light rain, showers, or drizzle. We’ll peak in the upper 60s to low 70s this afternoon, and as we go into tonight, temperatures may hold steady or continue to slowly rise. In fact into tomorrow, it still looks as though we could push 80°, which would tie the record high for the date set in 1908, 1984, and 1990. December’s all-time record of 85° set on 12/3/1995 should be safe. That said, some model guidance is suggesting we could hit as warm as 83-84° tomorrow; summer-lite for sure.

Saturday’s weather should feature a lot of clouds and a chance for a few showers here or there. The other issue Saturday, especially in the morning and evening, will be dense fog along the coast and bays.

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