Over the next 7-10 days, the weather over Southeast Texas will probably agitate those of us that like stability in our seasons. We should see a bit of a roller coaster ride unfold over the area. Let’s jump into details.

Today

Watch out for some changeable visibility this morning. There will be some dense fog near the coast and patchier fog inland through the first part of the morning. We’ll shift to mostly cloudy skies this afternoon, though fog could continue near the bays and coast. There should be a few showers around this afternoon, along with perhaps a rumble of thunder. Look for temps to push toward 70 degrees.

Tonight and Saturday

Our much discussed cold front will make its grand appearance for most us while we’re sleeping. The evening should feature low clouds, humidity, and some drizzle or showers. No serious disruption to Friday night plans here. The main front should sweep through the area from northwest to southeast from about 1 AM through 7 AM. With it, some showers, perhaps a few thunderstorms, and then a big change.

We’ll start the day in the 60s around 5 AM and head toward midday with temperatures in the 40s. We should hold in the 40s for most of the afternoon. With it should be a 15 to 20 mph wind, gustier near the bays and on the coast. It will feel like winter.

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As expected, lows this morning have only fallen to around 60 degrees, amid foggy, misty conditions. Skies will clear out before more rain returns later Friday ahead of a strong cold front—although the front is now looking not quite so strong as anticipated, and most of the region seems unlikely to see a freeze. It will still be plenty windy.

Thursday

After a gray, drizzly day on Wednesday, the exit of low pressure should allow some clearing of our skies later today, and this afternoon could be pretty nice. With partly to mostly sunny skies later today, look for a high in the low 70s. Lows tonight should be in the upper 50s for most of Houston as clouds build back into the area.

Friday

This should be a mostly cloudy day, as southerly winds help to build up humidity and moisture in the air. Any daytime rain showers will likely be isolated or scattered, as highs climb into the low 70s. Significantly better rain chances—probably 80 to 90 percent—will move in Friday night, with a line of storms likely crossing the area between midnight Friday and sunrise on Saturday. Expect accumulations of 0.25 to 1.0 inch of rain for most of the area, as some of these storms will be briefly capable of producing heavy rainfall.

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After a few days during which highs failed to get out of the 50s for most of Houston, our region’s weather pattern will now turn warmer for the next few days. We’ll see on-and-off rain chances through Saturday morning, by which time a strong Arctic front will sweep through the area. Forecast models have backed off with some of the more extreme cold, but much of the area should still see a light freeze.

Wednesday

Winds will shift to come from the south this morning, and this will initiate a period of rising moisture levels and temperatures. Light rain showers will be possible today, with better coverage—perhaps 50 percent—likely closer to the coast. Accumulations won’t be above a few tenths of an inch. Highs should get into the low 60s, and lows tonight won’t fall much below that. Rain chances will continue overnight, with the better rain possibilities again near the coast where moisture levels are highest.

Thursday

Cloudy skies will continue, but in terms of rainfall this should be a mostly dry day with only isolated to scattered showers after sunrise. Expect highs in the low 70s as warm air really starts to move in from the south and southwest. Lows Thursday night probably won’t fall much below 60 for most of Houston.

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