Eric Berger

The onshore flow has taken over the region’s weather, and we’re now set up for a pair of gray, on-and-off rainy days with muggy air. The clouds should keep highs in the 70s, but conversely nighttime temperatures aren’t falling much below 70 for most of Houston. A weak front arrives early Saturday, and a stronger one later on Sunday or Monday to bring us back into a late-fall, or early-winter like pattern of cooler weather.

Thursday and Friday

The name of the game for the next two days will be gray skies with scattered showers. Lows this morning are generally in the low- to mid-60s, and with dewpoints at just about the same level, relative humidity is near 100 percent.

Rainfall on Thursday will generally be light, while there is the slight possibility of some thunderstorms on Friday. This is because a fairly strong storm system will be moving across the lower plains, and bringing severe weather, including the potential for damaging winds and a few tornadoes. However, the region where the atmosphere is more disturbed should remain north of Houston, running from Lufkin through Texarkana and into surrounding areas shown in the map above.

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This November has provided some significantly cooler weather than we’re accustomed to, with an average monthly temperature nearly 5 degrees below normal. (A warm start will keep this month out of the top-10 coldest Novembers). However, we’ll now end the month with a string of warmer days and nights that will last into early December before a stronger cold front arrives next week.

Wednesday

A few outlying areas are seeing lows in the upper 30s this morning, but for the most part the city has remained in the 40s or (near the coast) 50s. Winds have already shifted to come from the south, and this will bring us a steady stream of warmer, and more humid air. Highs today will reach into the low 70s, although as clouds build later this afternoon I wouldn’t expect highs to go above that. Lows tonight are unlikely to fall below 60 for most of the area.

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Conditions are quite cold across the region this morning—with near freezing temperatures in most of Houston, and a light freeze over northern areas such as Conroe and Huntsville—as we grapple with our latest strong front. The good news is that we’ll see a warming trend this week, and as of now, the weekend looks pretty nice.

Before jumping into the forecast, I just want to say a truly heartfelt thank you to all of our readers who have contributed to this year’s fundraiser for Space City Weather. We’ve had a tremendous response so far—inspiring, really. With less than 24 hours remaining, we’re on pace to top last year. Again, buying a t-shirt or umbrella, or donating, is entirely optional. We’re committed to keeping the site free, regardless. But we really do appreciate the help.

Tuesday

With high pressure dominating our weather, we’ll see mostly sunny skies today, and we should see a warm-up into the low 60s. Temperatures will be warmer tonight, as the onshore flow kicks in. I’d expect lows to be about 10 degrees above lows on Tuesday morning, so we’re done with the freezing temperatures for now.

Wednesday

This will be something of a transition day, as atmospheric moisture begins to flow back into the region. I’d expect partly sunny skies, with a high in the low 70s, and returning humidity. By Wednesday night clouds should be back in force, and this will keep most of the city at around 60 degrees for lows.

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Good morning! Whether you’ve been up all night shopping, up all night waiting on shoppers, or you sensibly just slept off a tryptophan high, welcome to the day after Thanksgiving. We’re now in the midst of the holidays, and our weather will get off to a good start. We’ll have a seasonably warm weekend, and then winter-like weather during the week ahead. We should remain sunny for most of that period.

Friday

A low-pressure system along the coast and an onshore flow will combine to bring some lower-end rain chances into the region today—probably no more than 20 to 30 percent. These showers will move east by around noon or shortly thereafter, and accumulations shouldn’t be much to write home about. Mostly cloudy skies will limit highs to around 70 degrees. A weak front will arrive later this evening, or tonight, but the atmospheric profile does not favor any additional rain with this front, and it just should bring a wind shift (from the north) into Saturday morning.

Saturday

This still looks like a great day for anything you have planned outdoors. Friday night’s front will eventually wash out, but it should bring enough dry air to make for a pleasant, not too humid day in the mid-70s, with mostly sunny skies.

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