Good morning. Matt and I just wanted to thank everyone who generously supported the site as we kicked off our annual fundraiser Tuesday. The response so far has been tremendous. If you want to help, we’re selling plenty of Space City Weather merch, and also accepting donations. Read more about it here.

Overall our forecast remains on track. Houston will have one more somewhat warm and muggy day before a front moves into the region on Thursday morning, setting the stage for sunny, clear, and cool weather through early next week. Some storms may accompany Thursday morning’s front.

Wednesday

Skies are mostly cloudy this morning across the region, with patchy fog. Despite the lack of much sunshine, highs today are going up to about 80 degrees. Winds will be out of the south at about 10 mph, with gusts possibly up to about 20 mph. Some brief, light showers are possible today and tonight, but accumulations, if any, will be slight. Most of us will just see gray skies. Lows tonight will not drop much below 70 degrees for most of the area.

Thursday

Some forecast models are now indicating the potential for at least a broken line of showers and thunderstorms to move into Houston ahead of a cold front on Thursday morning. If you’re planning to attend a Veteran’s Day ceremony on Thursday morning shortly after sunrise, this will be something to have in the back of your mind. Generally, this system should move through the region from northwest to southeast, somewhere in the time frame of 4 am to 10 am CT. A few areas may see a quick inch or two or rain, whereas the majority of the region will probably see one quarter of inch of rain, or less.

Dewpoints will begin falling in the wake of the front, and we should see at least partly sunny skies by Thursday afternoon with highs in the 70s. Lows Thursday night will drop into the 50s. Winds will be out of the north, but we’re not expecting anything too gusty.

Friday

Expect highs in the mid-70s with lots of sunshine and drier air. A reinforcing shot of colder air will arrive Friday night, and this will set the stage for a cooler start to the weekend. Lows Friday night will probably drop to around 50 degrees in Houston, with cooler conditions in outlying areas.

Saturday and Sunday

Despite sunny skies, highs may struggle to reach 70 degrees on Saturday, and Saturday night could bring lows in the upper 40s in Houston. Sunday will be a few degrees warmer, with more sunshine. Plan your weekend activities with confidence.

Next week

Most of next week should see highs in the mid- to upper-70s, with partly sunny skies. Another front appears likely to move through toward the end of next week, perhaps around Friday, November 19. But, my friends, our confidence in that is about as firm as tissue paper.

Space City Weather is free, and always will be. But it costs money to produce and publish this website, and Matt and I put a lot of time and effort into our product. Today, with the opening of our 2021 fundraiser, comes your chance to give back. Your purchases and donations during the next three weeks will support the site next year, allow further upgrades to our app, and more. It’s also a nice way to thank us for our efforts following a wild weather year that included a historic freeze and Hurricane Nicholas.

This year we are selling t-shirts and sweatshirts with two different designs, an umbrella, an insulated tumbler that people loved last year; and new for this year, a baseball hat. You may order any of these items by clicking on the links below, or visiting the entire collection here. All items should arrive a week before Christmas. You may also simply donate money by clicking any of the links, and selecting “donate only.”

• Houston-4H t-shirt (men’s and women’s) and sweatshirt
• Houston All Heart, No Hype t-shirt (men’s and women’s) and sweatshirt
• Space City Weather umbrella
• Space City Weather tumbler
• Space City Weather baseball cap

Thank you for your support—Matt and I are always truly humbled by the response to this fundraiser.

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Tuesday

Conditions are cool this morning, but we’re already seeing the return of some clouds that herald the coming of somewhat more humid air, and warmer nights. With light southeasterly winds, we’ll see partly to mostly cloudy skies for the remainder of Tuesday, with highs pushing into the mid- to upper-70s. Rain chances are near zero. Overnight lows will drop to around 60 degrees in Houston, with cooler conditions inland, and warmer ones near the coast.

Wednesday

This will be another day with a mix of sunshine and clouds, but with rising atmospheric moisture levels there will be a slight chance of light rain, perhaps about 20 percent for Houston. Winds will also be more prominent on Wednesday, likely gusting to 20 mph or higher from the south. Expect highs to top out somewhere from 75 to 80 degrees. This will be the warmest night of the week, with lows only dropping into the mid- to upper-60s for most.

Thursday

A cold front remains on track for Thursday, and it now looks likely to reach the city of Houston by or before noon, and pushing off the coast shortly afterward. There appears to be no line of storms with the front, and if you do see rain accumulations will probably be less than a quarter of an inch. After the front moves through we should see clearing skies and falling dewpoints. So while afternoon highs will reach the upper 70s, it should feel much drier out. Overnight lows should drop into the 50s for all but the coast.

Friday, Saturday, and Sunday

The weekend looks clear and cool, with highs generally ranging from the upper 60s to mid-70s. Lows should drop into the 40s for inland areas, about 50 degrees in central Houston, and a bit warmer along the coast. Saturday should be the coolest day. Enjoy the fall weather, y’all!

Next week

Highs next week should recover to the upper 70s, but there’s not yet a clear picture on when our next front comes through—Wednesday? Friday? It’s too early to have any confidence.

Houston’s clear and fine weather will continue Monday before we see an increase in humidity and overnight temperatures running into Thursday. After that time another cold front should arrive, setting the stage for a clear and cool weekend. The weekend mornings look chilly, with widespread lows in the 40s.

Monday

With calm winds this morning, some patchy fog will be possible across the area, but it should burn off fairly quickly. Skies will be mostly sunny, with light winds out of the southeast, and highs pushing up into the mid-70s. With these winds, dewpoints will continue their slow rise, and as a result overnight temperatures will probably be 5 to 10 degrees warmer on Monday night that Sunday night. Still, much of the region should still drop into the 50s.

Tuesday and Wednesday

These will be warmer, more humid days, with highs between 75 and 80 degrees. Winds will start to pick up out of the south and southeast, becoming more noticeably gusty on Wednesday. Both days should see a mix of sunshine and clouds. Rain chances should be about 10 percent, or less, and anything that falls would probably be almost a mist rather than any real rain. Overnight lows will start to get a little sticky, probably only falling into the mid-60s for the city, and low 70s along the coast.

Thursday

The next front should arrive some time on Thursday, probably during the afternoon hours, although confidence in its timing remains fairly low. We probably will see some scattered showers on Wednesday night and Thursday ahead of the front, but right now the ingredients aren’t really lining up for any serious storms as the front blows through. Lows Thursday night will probably drop to around 60 degrees in Houston, with cooler conditions inland and warmer temperatures along the coast.

Friday

This should be a mostly sunny day, with highs around 70 degrees. Winds will be noticeable out of the north, perhaps gusting to 20 mph or a little higher. With clear skies, Friday night into Saturday morning could be quite chilly, with lows dropping into the low- to mid-40s across much of Houston, away from the coast.

Saturday and Sunday

Are you spoiled yet? We look set for another clear and sunny weekend, with highs in the mid-60s on Saturday, and low 70s on Sunday. Winds will be generally light and dewpoints low. By Monday we should start to see a warming trend, although right now I don’t anticipate high temperatures will get above the 70s next week.

Yesterday felt like the first real day of autumn: Cloudy skies, temperatures hobbling into the mid to upper-50s, a little breeze. It was rather raw. Today? Much different! This sets the stage for a fantastic weekend, our second in a row.

Today

Temperatures are rather cool this morning. There are pockets of 30s up toward Conroe and Huntsville, 40s away from the coast and low-50s closer to the coast.

Look for any lingering clouds at the coast to dissipate this morning, and the day should roll on with sunshine. It will warm up much more than yesterday, and we should manage mostly mid, maybe upper-60s with a light north wind.

Weekend

Both Saturday and Sunday should see wall to wall sunshine. Look for morning lows in the 40s tomorrow, with temperatures warming to near 70 degrees.

On Sunday, we’ll see morning lows in the 40s and 50s and daytime highs in the lower 70s. A slow warm up.

PS: Don’t forget we “fall back” on Saturday night, so we will have earlier sunrises (which if you have young kids, they will definitely make sure you see it) and sunsets beginning on Sunday. And the microwave clock you forgot to change will be lying to you.

Monday & Tuesday

We look to turn things back onshore Monday and Tuesday, which means we’ll slowly warm up some more and see minor amounts of humidity return. Look for more sunshine on Monday and a few extra clouds building in through the day on Tuesday. Morning lows will generally be in the 50s, with highs in the 70s on both days, possibly upper-70s to near 80 degrees in spots on Tuesday, depending on sunshine.

Next front next week

Our next front is penciled in right now for next Thursday or Friday. This one may be a little more complex to forecast than the one we just experienced, as it will be attached to what is expected to be a somewhat stronger Plains or Midwest storm. There are still some uncertainties on the exact track and intensity of that storm. While we don’t expect significant direct impacts from it, that does impact the timing of the front some. There could be widespread 80s for highs on Thursday, with a breezy onshore wind. We could also see some showers or thunderstorms with the front later Thursday or Friday and some gusty winds behind it too. Nothing too serious it doesn’t appear, but a definite change in the weather. We’ll update you on that Monday.