Month: June 2018

Houston heat without much rinse, just the repeat

96, 96, 97, 94, 98, 96, 94.

Those are not winning lottery numbers. They are our high temperatures so far this June. I wish I could say it would get better, but it does not appear that is in the cards. However, we will continue to mention at least some increasing chances for a return to more typical summer weather, which could theoretically mean more typical daily showers and storms than we’ve seen lately. We’re optimists at heart.

Friday & Saturday

For now, there’s not much change expected. Friday should be another hot and dry one. There may be a brief downpour southwest of Sugar Land down 59 or along the coast. But aside from that, just expect sun, clouds, and high temperatures in the low- to mid-90s. I do think the coverage of showers on Saturday afternoon will be at least a little closer to average for this time of year. Odds favor most of us staying dry, but again, optimism. Here’s a look at just one model, the NAM, which suggests the best chances of a bit of rain west of I-45 tomorrow.

The NAM model is a bit aggressive with rain chances west of Houston on Saturday. The takeaway is that the rain chances are not quite as low tomorrow. (Weather Bell)

So don’t be entirely shocked to see some rain tomorrow, but don’t necessarily be too excited for it either. High temperatures Saturday should be low- to mid-90s again after morning lows in the middle 70s.

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Hot and humid, with maybe a pattern change next week

Hot and humid weather will continue for awhile across the region. We won’t see anything too extreme heat wise, but temperatures remain a few degrees above normal for this time of year. We’re also continuing to watch for a pattern change later next week that may cool us down ever so slightly and could bring wetter conditions to the area.

For now, however, the forecast is pretty dull.

As of Thursday morning, lows aren’t too extreme yet over the southeastern Texas, but wait a month or two. (Weather Bell)

Thursday, Friday, and Saturday

With Houston on the periphery of high pressure, our weather is more or less locked in with temperatures in the low- to mid-90s, partly to mostly sunny skies, and perhaps a few isolated showers during the afternoon and evening hours. Nights will remain warm, in the mid-70s.

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Houston starts June with sizzling weather

As summer continues in Houston, so do the warmer temperatures. According to the National Weather Service, through the first five days of this month, Houston has had its second warmest start to a June on record, and Galveston its third warmest. I wish I could tell you that we’re going to see significant relief from the heat in the days ahead, but this is a reality-based website. So, nah. At best we’ll probably fall back a couple of degrees closer to normal temperatures.

Houston hasn’t been record hot to start June, but we’ve been well above normal highs and lows. (National Weather Service)

Wednesday

We have an interesting weather pattern across the region today that may just allow some areas to see some needed rain showers. Unsettled weather off to our southeast, and northeast, may slide back toward the region later this morning. As the region heats up today I think we’re going to see some scattered showers in the vicinity of Houston, which should be a bit more likely to the east of Interstate 45. Rain chances are probably only in the 20 to 30 percent range, but that is certainly better than the next two days. Highs should remain in the mid-90s. Any showers should end this evening, with the loss of daytime heating.

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Storms well north of Houston today, better rain chances Wednesday

With highs generally in the mid-90s, and lows in the upper-70s, temperatures so far this month are running about 5 degrees above normal for early June. We’re probably going to remain in this warmer-than-normal pattern for about another week before we see the potential for temperatures to back off some next week, and rain chances to increase.

Tuesday

Some storms will be possible today, but like on Monday pretty much all of the action should be north-northeast of the region because that’s where the atmospheric disturbances will be most pronounced. The following forecast from the HRRR model is representative of this kind of thinking, showing the potential for isolated, but very gusty storms.

Some isolated storms are likely today well north of Houston. (Weather.us)

I think, for the most part, we can simply expect another mostly sunny and hot day in Houston, with high temperatures around 95 for most of the area and a few degrees cooler right along the coast.

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