Next week’s cool front risk is tantalizing

The last couple days have featured a handful of showers in the area, but not much coverage. That said, those that have been fortunate enough to see rain have seen a fair bit. The next few days will likely see that as well, but your odds of seeing rain on any one day are rather low. Next week’s forecast is sitting out there like a piece of chocolate cake, daring you to take a bite. Tantalizing is the right word here. Let’s walk through things.

Today & weekend

We will see a lot of broken-record type weather this weekend, as Eric put it yesterday. It will be partly to mostly sunny and hot all three days. Look for high temperatures topping out in the mid-90s.

Just another typical August day in Texas with highs in the mid-90s for Houston today, hotter toward Austin and San Antonio. (Pivotal Weather)

Morning lows will be low-80s at the coast to mid- or upper-70s in Houston. Yes, as noted above, you could see a shower, but truthfully, I would expect most of us are dry this weekend. Saturday may have the very slight edge over Friday and Sunday for best rain chance.

A heat advisory was issued on Thursday for Houston and points south by the National Weather Service. I would not be shocked to see that happen again today, with high humidity rolling in with the sea breeze off the Gulf, driving unpleasant weather. Regardless, do exercise typical late summer heat precautions over the next few days, especially in the afternoon.

Monday

At this point, Monday looks like an extension of the weekend, with a slight shower chance and high temperatures in the mid-90s. There may be a slightly better chance of showers or storms than the weekend east of the area toward Beaumont and Port Arthur.

Basically, typical August weather through early next week.

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Houston in a broken-record weather pattern through the weekend

Houston’s weather pattern remains more or less the same, and should hold through the weekend, as moderate high pressure (mostly) keeps a lid on afternoon showers. Rain chances look to go up next week as a “cold” front approaches and possibly even pushes through the region.

Thursday, Friday, and Saturday

Similar weather is similar. We can essentially expect repeat days of high temperatures in the mid-90s, and overnight lows ranging from the mid-70s (inland) to around 80 degrees (along the coast). A few isolated to scattered showers are definitely possible, including some heavier thunderstorms. We saw some of those on Wednesday in Pearland and League City, and there’s enough weakness in high pressure aloft that we should see some more over the next few days.

There will be a few 100 degree temperatures scattered across Texas today. (Pivotal Weather)

Sunday and Monday

More of the same, but with slightly better rain chances, perhaps about 30 percent of the area will see rain each day.

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Dare we say this August won’t be too bad for Houston?

Good morning! We are now almost to the halfway mark of August, and it hasn’t been so bad. Average temperatures this month, so far, have been near normal. And as we look ahead to the rest of the month there appears to be nothing extreme on the horizon. Dare I say it, that we might get through Houston’s hottest month—when we are most drought prone, and exposed to hurricanes—without and really severe weather? No, I will not say it. But I’m thinking it’s a very real possibility.

Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday

The overall forecast pattern for the rest of this week has not changed. Moderate high pressure remains in place, but nothing too suffocating. This means high temperatures will probably peak in the mid-90s, and with a few clouds there will be a slight chance (maybe 10-20 percent inland, 20-30 percent close to the coast) of rain showers. Overnight lows will be in the mid-70s for far inland areas, and about 80 degrees right along the coast.

High temperature forecast for Wednesday. (Pivotal Weather)

Saturday and Sunday

Again, not much change this weekend, with highs in the mid-90s and some isolated to scattered showers for the region. You probably won’t see rain. For the most part, skies will be sunny, and the water inviting due to the daytime heat. If you’re tailgating for the Houston Texans preseason game on Sunday evening make sure to stay hydrated out there. (That a was a joke, friends. I know any tailgaters will probably stay over-hydrated)

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It’s mid-August, and Houston will see August-like weather this week

Apologies for the late post this morning—I had to travel to Los Angeles very early on Monday morning, and only returned around midnight last night. Fortunately, there’s not much to say about our weather. It will be hot and mostly sunny this week. Normally that is something I would grouse about, but after what happened during the last week of August last year, I’m now less inclined to complain about hot and sunny weather during August.

Tuesday

Enough drier air remains today such that rain chances will be near nil, with mostly sunny skies and high temperatures in the mid-90s. Low temperatures Tuesday night, and for the rest of the week for that matter, will be around 80 degrees near the coast, and in the mid-70s for far inland areas. This is August. This is summer. This is Houston.

Sure, it’s hot out there today. But that’s to be expected in August. (Pivotal Weather)

Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday

The pattern remains more or less the same; but with slightly higher moisture levels and high pressure present but not dominant, we could see some isolated showers during the early morning and then later afternoon hours. Rain chances are probably in the range of 20 percent most days, with any accumulations pretty darn slight. High temperatures will remain in the mid-90s.

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